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Woman's NCAA Tournament Odds & Predictions 2025: South Carolina Favored to Repeat

Contributors
Updated December 19, 2024
12 min read
  • Odds tighten among the top three on BetMGM’s NCAAW Championship betting board: South Carolina +250, Connecticut +275, and Notre Dame +300

  • UCLA is undefeated at 10-0 and remains No. 1 in the AP poll, but odds have shifted from +500 to +900 since Week 5

  • Notre Dame has recorded wins over No. 2 UConn, No.3 USC, and No. 4 Texas. No other team has even played that many top-five teams, let alone beaten them

As conference play draws near, we have seen more teams tested against quality/ranked opponents. Of course, as teams get tested, bettors get a better idea of whose NCAAW Championship Odds to put money on, and the odds for several teams inevitably shift.

But the action is only going to get better from here on out. Contenders will surely rise while others will fall. So, be sure to check back with this page to stay up to date on the latest NCAAW championship odds. As teams win or lose, the odds are bound to change yet again.

On that note, let’s take a look at the latest 2024-25 NCAAW National Championship odds.

NCAAW Tournament Odds

The following table contains a list of the national championship odds for the week 7 top 25 with odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Bettors new to BetMGM can claim the following bonus: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*

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Team Week 7 Record Odds (BetMGM)
UCLA 1 10-0 +900
BET HERE
South Carolina 2 10-1 +250
BET HERE
Notre Dame 3 9-2 +300
BET HERE
UConn 4 9-1 +275
BET HERE
LSU 5 12-0 +1800
BET HERE
Texas 6 10-1 +850
BET HERE
USC 7 10-1 +650
BET HERE
Maryland 8 10-0 +10000
BET HERE
Duke 9 9-2 +6000
BET HERE
Oklahoma 10 9-1 +6000
BET HERE
Ohio State 11 10-0 +15000
BET HERE
TCU 12 10-1 +8000
BET HERE
Kansas State 13 11-1 +10000
BET HERE
West Virginia 14 10-1 +10000
BET HERE
Michigan State 15 10-0 +20000
BET HERE
Kentucky 16 9-1 +30000
BET HERE
Georgia Tech 17 11-0 +50000
BET HERE
Tennessee 18 8-0 +8000
BET HERE
North Carolina 19 10-2 +20000
BET HERE
Michigan 20 9-1 +20000
BET HERE
NC State 21 8-3 +8000
BET HERE
Iowa  22 9-2 +10000
BET HERE
Nebraska 23 10-1 +30000
BET HERE
Cal 24 11-1 NA
Ole Miss 25 7-3 +20000
BET HERE
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Women NCAA Tournament Prediction

NCAAW Preseason Championship Trends

  • 18 of 43 preseason No.1s went on to win the national championship.

  • Ten of the last 21 winners were preseason No. 1s.

  • But only one in the last seven seasons (South Carolina, 2022).

  • Every national champion since 2003 was ranked inside the top 16 of the preseason rankings.

  • 19 of the last 21 national champs were ranked inside the preseason top ten.

  • The two outliers were LSU in 2023 (preseason No. 16 and Maryland in 2006 (preseason No. 14).

2025 NCAAW National Championship Odds: Favorites Win to NCAAW Tournament 

If preseason trends continue to run true this season, then we can theoretically narrow down the pool of potential winners quite a bit. Of course, that doesn’t mean you should automatically rule out a team not ranked inside the preseason top 25 (or 16).

But it may be wise to proceed with caution and keep wagers on long shots to a minimum. After all, a $1 bet on a long shot to win the national championship at +25000 will win you $250. Are you essentially throwing that dollar away? Maybe, but there are certainly worse ways to spend a dollar.

For our purposes, as it pertains to our preseason projections, we’ll be sticking with teams inside the preseason top 25. On that note, let’s take a brief look at some of the top contenders in the NCAAW so far:

UCLA (+900) at BetMGM

  • 2024 Recap: Lost in Sweet 16 to LSU

  • 2024-25 Record: 11-0 overall, 1-0 in conference play

  • AP Rank: No. 1

So, how does the No. 1 team in the country see their odds go from +500 to +900 without losing a game and while remaining in the top spot? I don’t think it’s a reflection of the Bruins, who have continued their dominant winning ways over the last couple of weeks.

It’s the competition. The Bruins, with 798 points, have just a 35-point buffer between them and No. 2 South Carolina and an 82-point one with No. 3 Notre Dame.  But if you wanted to put something down on the Bruins, now may be the time.

Their odds will go down in time, either because they continue to win and beat a few ranked teams or because South Carolina and/or Notre Dame slip up. So, betting on them now while their odds are +900 may not be a bad idea.

They have already faced their first Big Ten opponent, but the rest of their conference schedule gets underway on Dec. 29 when the Bruins face No. 23 Nebraska.

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South Carolina (+250) at BetMGM

  • 2024 Recap: Defending NCAAW National Champions

  • 2024-25 Record: 10-1

  • AP Rank: No. 2

If the loss to UCLA is still in the back of your mind whenever you think about betting on the Gamecocks, South Carolina’s recent wins over No. 8 Duke and No. 9 TCU should put those concerns to bed. This is a well-coached, talented team with depth. That doesn’t mean they can’t lose, but it does mean they aren’t going to lose very often.

They will get conference play underway on Thursday, Jan. 2, vs. Missouri.

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Notre Dame (+300) at BetMGM

  • 2024 Recap: Lost to Oregon State in the Sweet 16

  • 2024-25 Record: 9-2 overall, 1-0 in conference play (ACC)

  • AP Rank: No. 3

At this time of year, fans are often looking for a ‘proof of concept.’ They want a reason to believe their team may be as good as they think/hope it is. With back-to-back losses to TCU and Utah, fans may have begun to have a little doubt about how competitive their team will be this season.

But then they handled then-No. 4 Texas in OT and beat Paige Bueckers and the then-No. 2 Connecticut Huskies. They won their conference opener vs. Syracuse and will continue it when they face Virginia on Sunday, Dec. 29.

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UConn (+275) at BetMGM

  • 2024 Recap: Lost to Iowa in Final Four

  • 2024-25 Record: 10-1overall, 1-0 in conference play

  • AP Rank: No. 4

No one likes to lose, but the loss to Notre Dame recently could be a good thing in the long run. Nothing brings an undefeated team back down to earth quite like their first loss of the season. Fans can at least take solace knowing their team didn’t lose to a bunch of scrubs (then-No. 6 Notre Dame).

They certainly haven’t let the loss get them down. Since then, they’ve recorded a 79-44 win over Georgetown for their first conference win of the season. The Huskies followed that game with a 101-68 win over Iowa State. They’ll have their hands full this weekend when they play host to No. 7 USC on Saturday, Dec. 21.

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LSU (+1800) at BetMGM

  • 2024 Recap: Lost to Iowa in the Elite Eight

  • 2024-25 Record: 13-0

  • AP Rank: No. 5

When you’re scoring 93.5 points per game, you are probably not too concerned about our defense. But the Tigers have a solid defense (No. 77, 58.2 points per game allowed) to go with the No. 3 scoring offense in the country. Of course, these rankings are likely influenced by a relatively easy schedule.

But if the Tigers can play just as well when conference play gets underway (Thursday, Jan. 2, vs. Arkansas), their odds will not remain as long as they are for much longer.

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NCAAW Championship Winner - My Picks

Favorite - South Carolina (+250) at BetMGM

I see no reason not to bet on South Carolina. The loss to UCLA did not paint the team in a favorable light, but they have bounced back with a trio of wins over ranked teams. This is a talented team with depth and one of the best head coaches in the country.

If you haven’t bet on them, now may be the time to do it. Once they start knocking off conference opponents, their odds will not stay as long as they are for, well—long.

Dark Horse - UCLA (+900) at BetMGM

I’m a little surprised that a team ranked No. 1 in the nation has odds of winning the championship as long as UCLA’s. I get it—the competition is intense, but they’ve already shown that they can hang with the best (they beat then-No. 1 South Carolina).

There is no reason to doubt whether UCLA can win it all. Once they prove that to the rest of the world, their odds will not remain as long as they are.

Long Shot - LSU (+1800) at BetMGM

The Tigers have a solid win over a ranked NC State team but otherwise don’t have a win worth bragging about. But they’ll get a chance to show what they’ve got soon when conference play gets rolling. But for now, having the No. 3 offense in the land and the No. 77 scoring defense.

If they can continue running up the score and playing solid defense once conference play begins, LSU’s national championship odds  could shoot up betting boards.

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NCAAW Championship History

The Women’s NCAA Division I basketball tournament began in 1982, with 32 teams participating. Louisiana Tech won the first title, defeating Cheyney 76-62. Over the years, the number of teams participating has ranged from 32 to 64 (since 1994). As of the 2022 Tournament, the number of teams expanded to 68.

UConn holds the record for most appearances as a No. 1 seed with 22 followed by Tennessee with 21. 

Past NCAAW Championship Winners

The following table contains the list of the teams that have won the women’s national championship and their records.

YearWinner
2024South Carolina (38-0)
2023LSU (34-2)
2022South Carolina (35-2)
2021Stanford (31-2)
2020Canceled due to Covid-19
2019Baylor (37-1)
2018Notre Dame (34-3)
2017South Carolina (33-4)
2016Connecticut (38-0)
2015Connecticut (38-1)
2014Connecticut (40-0)
2013Connecticut (35-4)
2012Baylor (40-0)
2011Texas A&M (33-5)
2010Connecticut (39-0)
2009Connecticut (39-0)
2008Tennessee (36-2)
2007Tennessee (34-3)
2006Maryland (34-4)
2005Baylor (33-3)
2004Connecticut (31-4)
2003Connecticut (37-1)
2002Connecticut (39-0)
2001Notre Dame (34-2)
2000Connecticut (36-1)
1999Purdue (34-1)
1998Tennessee (39-0)
1997Tennessee (29-10)
1996Tennessee (32-4)
1995Connecticut (35-0)
1994North Carolina (33-2)
1993Texas Tech (31-3)
1992Stanford (30-3)
1991Tennessee (30-5)
1990Stanford (32-1)
1989Tennessee (35-2)
1988Louisiana Tech (32-2)
1987Tennessee (28-6)
1986Texas (34-0)
1985Old Dominion (31-3)
1984Southern California (29-4)
1983Southern California (31-2)
1982Louisiana Tech (35-1)

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NCAAW Championship

Now that we’ve gone over the NCAAW Championship odds and several of the top contenders to win this year’s title, it’s time to figure out which sportsbook you want to use. Here is a quick look at a comparison of three of the top sportsbooks in the industry, but you can check out our sportsbook reviews here: 

BetMGMCaesarsFanDuel
NCAAW Championship Odds for the Betting Favorite - South Carolina+250+300+280
Welcome BonusGet Up to $1,500 in Bonus BetsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 BetsBet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Payment Options- Credit/Debit Cards
- PayNearMe
- Play+ Card
- PayPal
- Bank Transfer
- Online Banking
- Discover Card
- Apple Pay
- BetMGM Gift Card
- Casino Cage/In-person
- GameOn Card
- Credit/Debit Card 
- Discover
- PayPal
- Venmo
- PayNearMe
- Online Banking
- Play+ Prepaid Card
- eCheck
- VIP Preferred
- In-person
- Credit/Debit Card 
- Wire transfer 
- PayPal
- ApplePay
- Trustly
- Venmo
- PayNearMe
- Online Banking
- VIP Preferred
- In-person

Deposit TimeInstantInstantInstant
Withdrawal TimeInstant or 1-5 business days1 - 5 working days1-2, 3-5, or 7-10 business days, instant
Bet on NCAAW ChampionshipBET HEREBET HEREBET HERE

How to Read NCAAW Championship Betting Lines

NCAAW Championship odds are considered a futures market with a three-digit number preceded by a plus (+) or minus (-) sign. The number and sign are the odds of the market and tell bettors how much they’ll win. 

For example, if you were to bet on South Carolina’s preseason odds to win the national championship +160, a $100 wager will result in a $260 payday, your stake plus $160 in winnings.

But let’s say you wait until the end of another undefeated regular season, and the Gamecocks odds are -180. That means it will take a $180 wager to win $100. Betting $100 is not mandatory, of course. To see how much you can win when you bet XXX, plug your stake and the odds into our odds calculator.

States With Betting Restrictions on the NCAAW Championship Odds

The following states have restrictions regarding betting on college basketball (and college sports in general). States listed do not allow betting on teams from in-state colleges and universities unless otherwise specified:

  • New Jersey

  • Illinois

  • Tennessee: Live betting is also prohibited.

  • Virginia: Live betting is also prohibited.

  • New Hampshire

  • New York: Betting on events held in New York is also prohibited.

  • Oregon: Betting on college teams can only be done at casinos.

  • Rhode Island: Betting is also prohibited on events held in-state.

  • Washington DC

  • Connecticut

  • Delaware

  • No live betting in Mississippi

  • New Mexico

  • South Dakota

  • Washington

NCAAW Championship FAQ

Who is favored to win the 2025 NCAAW tournament?

Who won the NCAAW Championship last year?

Who has the best NCAAW Championship odds?

Where can I bet on NCAAW Championship odds online?


When does Women’s March Madness 2025 start?

When will the NCAAW National Championship game be played?

tip_r

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Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NCAAB
WNBA
Betting Picks
Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
Experience: 17 years
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