Mountain West Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds, Favorites to Win 2025

• San Diego State and Boise State were the preseason betting favorites to win the Mountain West Conference (MWC) at +400 (odds via BetMGM)

• As of Dec. 17, San Diego State, Nevada, and Utah State were the betting favorites to win the MWC at +300. Utah State is the only undefeated team in the conference at 10-0.

• Significant MWC odds movement since preseason: Utah State +500 to +300; Wyoming, Fresno State, San Jose State, and Air Force +10000 to +25000

New Mexico won the Mountain West Conference tournament last year and Utah State the regular season, but neither was named the favorite in the preseason conference poll. That honor went to Boise State, who, along with San Diego State, entered the 2024-25 season as the betting favorite.

Fast forward to mid-December and neither team has disappointed. Boise State has gone 8-3 and San Diego State is ranked inside the top 25 (No. 23) with a 7-2 record. But the Broncos are no longer a  betting favorite as their odds have gotten longer since the season got underway.

San Diego State remains a betting favorite, but they are not alone atop betting boards. Let’s examine the latest odds of winning the Mountain West, a brief preview/review for some of the top contenders and our picks & predictions.

Mountain West Conference Betting Odds

Since the 2024-25 regular season has yet to begin, the Mountain West Tournament odds will not be available. Most major sportsbooks might drop the Mountain West Tournament odds in February or early March because they do not know how teams will perform in the regular season or their seeding in the conference tournament.

Here are the latest odds to win the American Athletic Conference (AAC) listed at BetMGM Sportsbook. To place a bet, click on the words ‘Bet Here’ button located below the player’s odds.

Bettors new to BetMGM Sportsbook can claim the welcome promo: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets

Favorites to Win the 2025 Mountain West Tournament

With the advent of the transfer portal, it has become more and more challenging for teams to repeat as conference champions after losing several players to the portal. Now, everyone has the opportunity to add players, but even if a roster looks good on paper, it still has to develop chemistry.

Some teams and players can take longer to do so than others, if at all.

New Mexico (tournament champ) and Utah State (regular season champ) were both hit hard by the portal. The Lobos lost co-freshman of the year JT Toppin and Jama Mashburn Jr., two players with conference POY potential.

As bad as losing two star players was for New Mexico, it pales in comparison to Utah State’s fate. The Aggies saw 12 players enter the portal. To put this number into perspective, rosters can have a max of 15 players. Mason Falslev and Ian Martinez came back, but that still left the Aggies with some serious recruiting to do.

But with the only undefeated record in the conference, first-year Utah State head coach Jerrod Calhoun must have done something right. New Mexico isn’t doing half bad either with an 8-3 record.

Losing Chibuzo Agbo stung for Boise State. But the perception of the team was still high enough that they were named the preseason favorite. They’ll get conference play underway on Saturday, Dec. 21 vs. Air Force.

Several teams have been playing well this season, but with the start of conference play approaching for most teams, everyone still has a chance.

Mountain West Conference 2024-2025 Odds: Betting Favorites

There is definitely some separation as to the level of competitive play in the MWC. Seven teams have odds of +2000 or shorter and five of them between +300 and +600. UNLV and Colorado State look like solid longshots at +2000 and +1800 respectively.

The remaining four (Wyoming, Fresno State, San Jose State, and Air Force) have seen their shot of winning the conference go from .99% to .4%.

Let’s take a closer look at the top five teams on betting boards:

San Diego State Aztecs (+300) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 7-2 overall, 1-0 in conference play

• 2023-24 Recap: 26-11 overall, 11-7 in conference play

• Lost to UConn in Sweet Sixteen of NCAA Tournament

‘Rebuild’ was the word of the offseason for the Aztecs as the team lost four starters from last season’s Sweet 16 team. But head coach Brian Dutcher has had some good luck with the transfer portal during his time at San Diego State, and this year was no different.

Nick Boyd is the team’s second-leading scorer with 13 points per game, its leading rebounder (4.8 per), and the assist leader (4.2 per). Wayne McKinney and Jared Coleman-Jones are chipping in 6.9 and 7.3 ppg.

They have faced three ranked teams, losing to No. 3 Gonzaga and beating No. 21 Creighton and No. 6 Houston.

Use WSNSPORTS at BetMGM for $1,500 Bonus

Nevada Wolfpack (+300) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 8-3 overall, 0-0 in conference play

• 2023-24 Recap: 26-8 overall, 13-5 in conference play

• Lost to Dayton in first round of NCAA Tournament

Nevada lost its backcourt to the transfer portal, but with the guys they added, an argument could be made that they upgraded it. Cal Poly transfer Kobe Sanders hasn’t disappointed; he leads the team in scoring with 15.4 points per game. Nick Davidson, one of the holdovers from last season, is chipping in 15.2 points a game.

The team’s other top two transfers, Xavier DuSell and Branon Love are adding 8.8 and 8.0 points per game, respectively. They have yet to face a ranked team and probably will not do so until they face San Diego State in conference play.

Claim $1,500 in Bonus Bets at BetMGM

Utah State Aggies (+300) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 10-0 overall, 1-0 in conference play

• 2023-24 Recap: 28-7 overall, 14-4 in conference play

• Lost to Purdue in the second round of the NCAA Tournament

After losing most of the roster and their first-year head coach Danny Sprinkle to the tranfer portal and Washington, it is not shocking that the Aggies were picked to finish sixth in the conference. But the school seems to have found another great head coach in Jerrod Calhoun (formerly with Youngstown State).

But between the few guys that came back and a solid transfer portal and recruiting class, the Aggies are playing stellar basketball again. After starting the season 10-0, they lost their first game on Dec. 17,  75-73 to UC San Diego.

Join BetMGM for $1,500 in Bonus Bets

Boise State Broncos (+450) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 8-3 overall, 0-0 in conference play

• 2023-24 Recap: 22-11 overall, 13-5 in conference play

• Lost to Colorado in First Four of NCAA Tournament

Fans knew the team would be in good shape with Tyson Degenhart (the early favorite to win Mountain West Player of the Year) and O’Mar Stanley coming back (arguably the best duo in the conference). But then factor in Alvaro Cardenas (San Jose State transfer), and they have a trio that could dominate the conference.

They’ve been playing well enough on both ends of the court to rank inside the top 100 in the nation for both. However, their primary weakness could prove costly in today’s game— three-point shooting. So far this season, they rank No. 311 in made three-pointers and No. 297 in three-point percentage (30.4%).

Visit BetMGM and Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets

New Mexico Lobos (+600) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 8-3 overall, 1-0 in conference play

• 2023-24 Recap: 26-10 overall, 10-8 in conference play

• Lost to Clemson in first round of NCAA Tournament

The Lobos were hit hard by the portal, but head coach Rick Pitino still has plenty of talent to work with. With Jamal Mashburn Jr. moving on, the other half of last year’s backcourt tandem, Donovan Dent, would be expected to step up. So far, so good.

Dent, one of the preseason favorites for conference player of the year, hasn’t disappointed. He leads the team in scoring (17.7 points per game) and assists (7.5). His partner in the backcourt, North Texas transfer CJ Noland is chipping in 9.2 points per game.

Three other players, along with Dent, are averaging double digit points per game for the ninth best scoring offense in the country 87.8 points per game.

BetMGM Offers $1,500 in Bonus Bets

MWC Odds: Picks and Predictions

Favorite - Utah State (+300) at BetMGM

I hate to go with an easy pick like the Aggies. Not only do they have the best record in the conference, but they also have the No. 2 scoring offense and defense in the conference. That combination of stellar offense and solid defense can take them far.

Dark Horse - New Mexico (+600) at BetMGM

With the No. 9 scoring offense in the country, I thought about rolling with the Lobos as my favorite. But I opted to go with Utah State since their combination of offense and defense gives them the best scoring margin in the conference.

It will be interesting to see how they play once the conference schedule gets underway.

Longshot - UNLV (+2000) at BetMGM

It was a toss-up for me between the Rebels and Colorado State for my long-shot pick. But I get a little greedy when it comes to long shots, and since UNLV has longer odds than the Rams (+1800). UNLV has some really talented players in guys like Dedan Thomas Jr., J. Thomas, Rob Whaley, and former Oral Roberts guard Jailen Bedford. Jeremiah Cherry might be the best big in the MWC.

Claim $1,500 Bonus Offer at BetMGM

MWC Betting Odds: History

The last decade has seen four schools taking turns winning the MWC: Utah State, San Diego State, Boise State, and Nevada. San Diego State has the most wins with five, their last coming in the 2022-23 season, their conference-leading ninth.

Since the conference began playing men’s basketball in the 1999-2000 season, ten different schools have won the regular season.. After San Diego State’s nine wins, BYU has the most with six, followed by Utah with five, New Mexico (4), Nevada (3), Wyoming, Utah State, and Boise State (2).

UNLV and Air Force have both won once (several seasons saw teams tie for the best record in the conference).

How to Read MWC Odds

If you have never placed a bet but are familiar with betting, you probably know how to read Mountain West Conference betting odds. But for those brand new to betting on sports, let’s review.

Odds are presented in one of three formats: fraction (7/4, 1/4, etc.), decimal (1.91, 2.00, etc.), and American (+400, -110, etc.). Sites will let you choose the form odds will appear in, but the default setting for online sportsbooks in the U.S. is, of course, American.

American odds consist of three-digit numbers preceded by a plus sign (+) to designate that team as the underdog or a minus sign (-) for the favorite. Let’s go over a couple of examples.

The odds New Mexico will win the MWC are currently +600. At those odds, the Lobos have a 14.29% chance to win the conference. But if they do, a $100 wager will result in a $700 payday, your stake plus $600 in winnings.

But let’s say the regular season is almost over, the Lobos have crushed the competition, and their odds to win the MWC are -250. That means New Mexico has a 71.43% chance, and it will take a $250 wager to win $100.

You don’t have to bet $100, of course. To see what your payout would be with any stake and odds, check out our odds calculator.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Mountain West Conference

All of the information we have covered is useful, but it means nothing if you don’t know which legal online sportsbook to bet with. To save you from spending a lot of time researching the major sportsbooks, we’ve created solid, comprehensive reviews of each of the sportsbooks.

The following table will give you a brief review of what three of the more popular online sportsbooks have to offer: