Mountain West Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds, Favorites to Win 2025

• Utah State, the last undefeated Mountain West Conference (MWC) team, lost its first conference game on Jan. 15 to UNLV, 65-62

• Utah State is the only ranked team from the MWC, No. 22 in the AP Top 25

• Movers and Shakers since New Year's Day: Utah State +100 to +110; Boise State +475 to +700; UNLV +3000 to +5000; San Diego State +500 to +425

Conference play is often the great equalizer, where the best of the best rise above the fray and where a team that’s been playing well can become a contender. Now that we are 6-7 games into the conference schedule, that is precisely what’s going on in the Mountain West Conference (MWC).

Several teams have already started to separate from the rest of the pack and stand out as potential contenders. Several have fallen by the wayside after one too many losses. But that doesn’t mean someone else can’t rise or fall. There’s still plenty of time for that to happen.

Let’s take a look at the latest odds of winning the Mountain West Conference.

Mountain West Conference Betting Odds

Here are the latest odds to win the Mountain West Conference (MWC) listed at BetMGM Sportsbook. To place a bet, click on the words ‘Bet Here’ button located below the player’s odds.

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Favorites to Win the 2025 Mountain West Conference

The season began with seven teams with odds of winning the MWC shorter than +1000 (between +400 and +800). It should be a pretty competitive conference, right? As of mid-December, that number was down to five.

As conference play got underway around New Year’s Day, there were four with odds from +100 to +500. In mid-January, we are already down to three—Uth State, New Mexico, and San Diego State.

Does that mean you should focus on those three? Well—I wouldn’t say that, but it might be wise to start with those three before considering one of the other teams. Boise State is still on the hunt despite early conference losses against San Diego State and Utah State.

After watching Colorado State get crushed by San Diego State recently, it’s harder to make a legitimate case for them winning the conference—however, the Rams rank among the upper half of the MWC in several statistical categories. CSU may be worth keeping an eye on for now until they face San Diego State and Utah State next month.

As for the rest of the field, their odds are +10000 or higher for a reason, giving them less than a 1% chance of winning the conference. Does that mean you should ignore them? Not necessarily, but I wouldn’t bet any money on them and expect to see a return on your investment.

Mountain West Conference 2024-2025 Odds: Betting Favorites

MWC odds boards have begun to separate into three tiers of competition: the contenders (Utah State, New Mexico, Boise State, and San Diego State), the teams you don’t want to start overlooking (Nevada, UNLV, and Colorado State), and everyone else (Wyoming, Fresno State, San Jose State, and Air Force).

Let’s take a closer look at the top five teams on betting boards:

Utah State Aggies (+110) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 16-2, 6-1

The loss to UC San Diego was perplexing, and the same can be said for their first conference loss of the season to UNLV. Not that the Rebels are a bad team, but the Aggies should have been able to handle them with relative ease. But the season is still young, and there’s plenty of basketball to play.

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New Mexico Lobos (+225) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 14-4, 6-1

I had these guys as my dark horse pick, and when they crushed San Diego State (62-48 on Jan. 11), I got excited, thinking I might have put my money down on them just in the nick of time. But then they lost to a lackluster San Jose State team, and now I don’t feel as good about that bet.

They have some challenging games coming up, though, in Boise State (Jan. 17), UNLV (Jan. 25), and Utah State (Feb. 1).

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San Diego State Aztecs (+425) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 11-4, 4-2

The Aztecs are perennial contenders in the MWC and appear to be one this year. Their one-point loss to Utah State shows that they can hang with the best the conference has to offer. Had one bounce gone their way and/or against the Aggies, the outcome would have been different.

However, the dismal outing against New Mexico is a concern. Yes, the Lobos are a good team, but scoring only 48 points the whole game and losing by 14 points? That loss is a lot harder to reconcile. They’ll see the Aggies again on Feb. 22 and the Lobos on Feb. 25.

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Boise State Broncos (+700) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 13-5, 5-2

The Broncos were expected to be good and have been, but their recent losses to San Diego State and Utah State will make it hard for them to win the MWC. They will need to win the rematch against both teams, win the games they should win, and hope for a bit of help.

But they do have time to improve before they see the Aztecs (Feb. 15) and Aggies (Feb. 26) again.

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Colorado State Rams (+3000) at BetMGM

• 2024-25 Record: 10-7, 4-2

The Rams have been a good but not great team this season. Their non-conference schedule was a little rough. Their losses to New Mexico and, more recently, to San Diego State are evidence of how bad they can be, but their 22-point win over UNLV shows how good they can be.

I’d like to see them beat a contender before putting money down, though. They face Boise State on Jan. 22, New Mexico on Feb. 5, the Aztecs on Feb. 8, and Utah State on Feb. 11.

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MWC Odds: Picks and Predictions

Favorite - Utah State (+110) at BetMGM

The Aggies are the team to beat—for now. They won against San Diego State and Boise State by one and two points, respectively. So, neither win was dominant; one bad or good possession would have changed the outcome.

But they did what matters—they won. However, the loss to UNLV (by three) is a good reason to pause before putting money down.

Dark Horse - San Diego State (+425) at BetMGM

The beatdown UNLV took at the hands of Boise State and Colorado State is forcing me to pick a new dark horse this week. I thought about rolling with the Broncos, but I have to go with the Aztecs instead.

From a statistical perspective, San Diego State is one of the top offenses and defenses in the conference. While the beatdown New Mexico gave them concerns me, this team is good. Their odds will not remain as long as they are for—well, for long.

Longshot - Colorado State (+3000) at BetMGM

These guys might be the perfect long shots. They’ve lost enough for their odds to be nice and long. But they have played well, and they aren’t necessarily bad at anything. They’ll need to keep growing and evolving as the season progresses and win the big games going forward. But when that happens, their odds will get really short, really fast.

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MWC Betting Odds: History

The last decade has seen four schools taking turns winning the MWC: Utah State, San Diego State, Boise State, and Nevada. San Diego State has the most wins with five, their last coming in the 2022-23 season, their conference-leading ninth.

Since the conference began playing men’s basketball in the 1999-2000 season, ten different schools have won the regular season.. After San Diego State’s nine wins, BYU has the most with six, followed by Utah with five, New Mexico (4), Nevada (3), Wyoming, Utah State, and Boise State (2).

UNLV and Air Force have both won once (several seasons saw teams tie for the best record in the conference).

How to Read MWC Odds

If you have never placed a bet but are familiar with betting, you probably know how to read Mountain West Conference betting odds. But for those brand new to betting on sports, let’s review.

Odds are presented in one of three formats: fraction (7/4, ¼, etc.), decimal (1.91, 2.00, etc.), and American (+400, -110, etc.). Sites will let you choose the form odds will appear in, but the default setting for online sportsbooks in the U.S. is, of course, American.

American odds consist of three-digit numbers preceded by a plus sign (+) to designate that team as the underdog or a minus sign (-) for the favorite. Let’s go over a couple of examples.

The odds New Mexico wins the MWC are currently +360. At those odds, the Lobos have a 21.74% chance to win the conference. But if they do, a $100 wager will result in a $460 payday, your stake plus $360 in winnings.

But let’s say the regular season is almost over, the Lobos have crushed the competition, and their odds to win the MWC are -250. That means New Mexico has a 71.43% chance, and it will take a $250 wager to win $100.

You don’t have to bet $100, of course. To see what your payout would be with any stake and odds,check out our odds calculator.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Mountain West Conference

All of the information we have covered is useful, but it means nothing if you don’t know which legal online sportsbook to bet with. To save you from spending a lot of time researching the major sportsbooks, we’ve created solid, comprehensive reviews of each of the sportsbooks.

The following table will give you a brief review of what three of the more popular online sportsbooks have to offer: