Odds taken from DraftKings
Team | Spread | Total |
Iowa Hawkeyes | -3.5
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O 150
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Iowa State Cyclones | +3.5
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U 150
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The battle of the State of Iowa is going down this Thursday. Whenever Iowa and Iowa State face each other, people watch, and that is why I am writing about this game.
The casual observer would pick Iowa State to win this game because they are ranked and Iowa is unranked. Luckily, I am not a casual observer. Iowa is the better team and are not getting the credit that they deserve. The Hawkeyes score 15 more points per game than the Cyclones and have a significantly harder schedule. They are also playing at home.
All signs point to the Hawkeyes, which is why I am choosing them.
Pick:
Iowa beats Iowa State 78-71, Under 150 points.
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Iowa | Head-to-Head | Iowa State |
Fran McCaffrey | Head Coach | T.J. Otzelberger |
7-2 (0-2, 13th in Big Ten) | Standing | 8-0 (0-0, 2nd in Big 12) |
Leader (Per Game) | ||
Keegan Murray (23.9) | PPG | Izaiah Brockington (16.0) |
Keegan Murray (8.0) | RPG | Izaiah Brockington (7.5) |
Joe Toussaint (4.1) | APG | Tyrese Hunter (5.4) |
Joe Toussaint (1.6) | SPG | Tyrese Hunter (2.4) |
Keegan Murray (2.2) | BPG | George Conditt IV (0.8) |
Flip Rebraca (.594) | FG% | George Conditt IV (.667) |
Tony Perkins (.538) | 3P% | Caleb Grill (.467) |
The Hawkeyes win games by running up the score. They have a fast-paced offense and shoot well The problem is they do not play a lot of defense. As a result, they give up 70.1 points per game, ten more points per game than Iowa State.
Even though the Hawkeyes are coming off two straight losses (to #1 Purdue and unranked Illinois), they need to keep playing the way they have been playing the whole year. They need to be fast-paced, shoot the ball well, pass the ball a lot, and play defense when it matters. Of course, Iowa will need to fix their system at some point because the defense is incredibly important, but not today.
It is also worth mentioning Iowa forward Keegan Murray is the leading scorer in DI. I expect Murray to be a massive part of the offense in this game as he is in every game.
I may have made it sound like Iowa State has no chance of winning this game in the predictions segment. That is not true. Iowa State is the underdog and on the road, but they can win this game. They are a good team, but they have a significantly easier schedule than Iowa.
There is one big thing Iowa State needs to do to win this game: Stop Keegan Murray. Murray is one of the best players in the NCAA, so it is imperative that Iowa State does whatever it takes to slow him down. If Keegan Murray plays well, Iowa State loses. However, if Iowa State stops him, they win. It is that simple for the Cyclones.
Forward Keegan Murray is, without a doubt, the best player on his team. Murray is Mr. Do Everything. He scores, gets some steals, passes sometimes, gets blocks, and shoots well. He is very difficult to guard because he has many different offensive skills and very hard to score on because he is 6’8” with a 6’11” wingspan.
Murray leads his team in points per game (23.9), rebounds per game (8.0), blocks per game (2.2), minutes per game (26.6), and is one of the best shooters Iowa has to offer. The sophomore from Cedar Rapids, Iowa, is a fantastic talent and the most important piece of his team. He will need to do it all against this tough Cyclones team. If he does not, and he struggles tonight, the Hawkeyes are going to lose and fall into a losing streak.
Izaiah Brockington is no Keegan Murray, but he is really good. He is a talented scorer with 16 points per game and a solid rebounder with 7.5 rebounds per game. The 6’4” senior guard from Philadelphia also shoots well, hitting almost half of his shots and over 75% of his free throws.
Brockington is the key to success for the Cyclones. He runs the offense, so the offense’s efficiency falls on him. It is a daunting role, but he appears to be welcoming it. If Brockington can run an efficient offense and score a lot, Iowa State might have a chance to win. It will still be difficult, but victory will be within their reach.
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs #17 Iowa State Cyclones Information | |
What | Iowa vs #17 Iowa State |
Where | James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa |
When | Thursday, December 9, 9:00 PM EST |
How to Watch | ESPN2 |
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