Here we go: It’s time for the Final Four. The second of the two Final Four games features Duke and Houston, both No. 1 seeds.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Houston | +5.5 (-105) | +235 | Over 136.5 (-110) |
Duke | -5.5 (-115) | -292 | Under 136.5 (-110) |
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This game will feature the No. 1 overall teams in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency.
Duke is the No. 1 team in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging 130.1 points per 100 possessions. Conversely, Houston is No. 1 in adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing an average of 87.4 points per 100 possessions.
That said, my pick is Duke. This team cannot be stopped offensively. They’ve shot 50% or better from the field in all four tournament games and above 60% in two.
Houston’s defense can’t be overlooked, but Duke has too much firepower with Cooper Flagg, Khaman Maluach, Kon Knueppel, and Tyrese Proctor. They all had 14 points or more in the 85-65 win over Alabama.
Let’s also not forget that Duke allows just 90.5 points per 100 possessions (fourth).
Duke wins decisively. They’ll hold down Houston’s offense.
MY PICK: Duke -5.5 (-115) at Caesars
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Time: 8:49 pm ET
Date: Saturday, April 5
Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX
How to Watch: CBS
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