With sportsbooks carrying 100+ markets on each of the Final Four games, bettors will have plenty of options to choose from. But even the most dedicated fans may have trouble sifting through all the options to find the best Final Four bets. That’s where we come in.
We’ve gone through the available markets in search of the best Final Four bets. We came up with the following list of Final Four bets. Florida vs. Auburn starts at 6:09 p.m. EST, to be followed by Houston vs. Duke at 8:49 p.m. EST. Both games are on CBS.
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Much of the internet seems to think Florida is going to win this game, but I’m not convinced. However, I don’t have a strong feeling that Auburn will. So, for my best bets, I’ve got two same-game parlays, one with Florida winning and the other with Auburn winning.
Florida -2.5 (-112)
Walter Clayton Jr. to Score 25+ Points (+205)
Florida has already beaten Auburn once, 90-81, during the regular season. Hitting 13 three-pointers was crucial to that win, and success from behind the arc will be critical in this one, too.
Clayton has been shooting well from three-point range during Tournament play (45.2%) and is coming off a 30-point effort vs. a good Texas Tech defense. He only had 19 vs. Auburn earlier in the year, but was 4-8 from three-point range.
With a chance to play for a national championship on the line, he’ll find a way to turn his game up a notch and lead the Gators past the Tigers by a comfortable margin.
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Walter Clayton Jr. UNDER 20.5 Points (-113)
Johni Broome OVER 19.5 Points (-110)
Auburn lost the regular-season matchup vs. Florida because they couldn’t defend the perimeter (Florida hit 13 threes) or hit their free throws (14-23). So, if they are going to win this time, a couple of things have to happen.
They’ve defended the perimeter well all season and need to do so here. If Clayton goes 4-8 again and the Gators hit 13 threes, the Tigers are sunk. So, to win, they have to keep Clayton from heating up behind the arc. If they do, he will not score 20+ points.
But they’ll also need Johni Broome to have a good day. In the regular season game, he had a quiet 18-point night. Auburn needs him to score 20+ points, as he did in his match with Michigan State (25) and Michigan (22).
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Johni Broome OVER 10.5 Rebounds (+114)
OVER 19.5 Points (-110)
If you are on the fence about Auburn winning but believe Johni Broome’s elbow is as good as he says, consider this SGP. He’s picked his game up in the last two rounds, scoring 20+ in both rounds. Assuming he is healthy, he’ll score 20+ points again, win or lose.
He’s pulled down at least 11 boards a game in Tournament play and averaged just under 11 all season.
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When you put two of the best defenses in college basketball on the court together at the same time, there is one thing fans can count on—low scores. Bettors have gone heavy on the OVER with 86% of tickets and 90% of the money.
I’m assuming it’s because they don’t think the Houston defense—the No. 1 defense in the land – will slow down Cooper Flagg. I think they can; if they don’t, it will be because they kept everyone else contained and are daring Flagg to beat them on his own.
Either way, I don’t see Duke scoring more than 65-70.
As for Houston, the Cougars' offense is reliant on the three, and Duke happens to rank No. 31 in three-point defense (30.8%). They will not stop Houston entirely, but they’ll slow them down enough to keep their score down.
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He only had three vs. Alabama, but averaged 4.2 per game this season and had seven, six, and five in the other three Tournament games. Houston will undoubtedly focus on slowing him down (because he can’t be stopped).
Being the smart player that he is, he’ll start dishing out dimes when the Cougars bear down on him. With the additional opportunities he’ll likely have, Flagg will go OVER 4.5 assists.
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Houston, UNDER 2.5 Dunks at -165
Duke’s defensive presence in the paint is going to make it very hard for a Houston team not known for dunks to hit more than two. At the same time, while 7’2” Maluach Khaman will make it hard for the Cougars to dunk, he should put on a clinic under the hoop.
He could have five on his own.
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