Auburn vs. Texas A&M Prediction and Odds: Tigers Favored in Final Road Game

The No. 22 Texas A&M Aggies will have a real challenge if they are going to bring their four-game losing streak to an end. They’ll host the No. 1 Auburn Tigers at Reed Arena for their last home game of the regular season. Tipoff for this NCAAM SEC battle is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET, with coverage on ESPN.

Auburn (27-2, 15-1) was expected to be one of the better teams in the SEC this year. They opened with +500 odds to win the conference, third-best (Arkansas +400, Alabama +250). Not only did they win the SEC, they are favored to win the NCAA Tournament (+325 via BetMGM).

A couple of weeks ago, Texas A&M (20-5, 9-4) was a top ten team, ranking No. 8 in the nation. But then they lost to No. 21 Mississippi State, No. 6 Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and No. 3 Florida. Now, to stop the bleeding, they have to beat the No. 1 team in the country.

Auburn vs. Texas A&M Odds for Tuesday, March 4

Find the latest odds for the Auburn vs Texas A&M NCAAM matchup in the table below. Click the odds and place your bets at some of the best basketball sportsbooks available today!

Auburn vs. Texas A&M Prediction

Auburn has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 17-11-1 ATS (so far). As the favorite, they’ve gone 15-10-1 ATS against ranked opponents 7-5 ATS, but when playing on the road, they are just 5-4 ATS. 

As for Texas A&M, the Aggies have gone 14-12-3 against the spread this season. When the underdog, they’ve gone 5-4-1, but the one other time they were an underdog at home, they went 0-1. Against ranked opponents, they’ve gone 5-5-1. 

Auburn Tigers Preview

Auburn comes into tonight’s game vs. the Aggies on a roll. Since losing their first SEC game of the year against Florida a couple of weeks ago, the Gators have been unstoppable.  They are currently enjoying a six-game winning streak that includes victories over No. 2 Alabama and No. 17 Kentucky.

If they were trying to make a statement with their last win— it worked. They got out to a 49-34 lead at the break, and while their defense faltered, they still outscored them 45-44 for a 94-78 win. Miles Kelly led the way with 33 points, followed by Chad Baker Mazara with 22 points.

Wooden Award candidate Johni Broome had an unusually quiet night, scoring just nine points in 33 minutes. It was the third game this season he scored less than 10 points in, but the first where he played 30+ minutes.

However, this game could hinge on the approach the Tigers' head coach, Bruce Pearl, decides to take on it. Two players were injured in the game vs. Kentucky, Denver Jones and Johni Broome. Jones suffered a bone bruise, and Broome appeared to have tweaked his shoulder.

The team doesn’t need to win this game, but it does need Jones and Broome to be healthy and play their best for the Tournament.

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Texas A&M Aggies Preview

A couple of weeks ago, Texas A&M looked like one of the best teams in the nation. They were ranked inside the top ten in the country (No. 8), but then they hit a slump and lost four in a row and are now staring five in a row in the face with No. 1 Auburn on deck.

What’s been the problem for the Aggies during the losing streak? Against Mississippi State, they couldn’t make a shot in the second half. A&M has not been a strong offensive team all season but shot well below their season average (41.8%) for the game (35.8%).

Texas A&M’s calling card this season had been its defense. But against Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and Florida, their defense failed to step up—especially on the perimeter. The Vols hit 48.1% from three-point range, led by Chaz Lanier hitting eight of 13.

Vanderbilt, who averages 32.8% from three-point range, hit 41.7% (10-24). Tyler Nickel led the charge for the Commodores by hitting seven of his ten attempts. Florida, who averages 35.4% from behind the arc, shot 42.4% (14-33).

Of course, if your opponent is making shots from three-point range, you need to follow suit. The Aggies made five (vs. Tennessee), seven (vs. Vanderbilt), and five (vs. Florida) in those three games.

Texas A&M has shot around 30% from three-point range this season, so expecting them to keep up with anyone in that regard is unrealistic. Their only chance is for their defense to regain the form that helped them become a top-ten team.

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Auburn vs. Texas A&M Betting Pick

You’ll want to make sure you have the most advantageous odds possible for your market choice. To that end, we recommend line shopping.

• Auburn vs. Texas A&M Pick: Auburn -5.5 at -114 via FanDuel

Auburn is the best team in the nation, solid on both ends of the court. On their best day, the Aggies would be hard-pressed to beat them. However, playing at home and the desire to right the ship before the postseason could elevate their game to another level.

It will help if Bruce Pearl looks to the postseason and sits Denver Jones and Johni Broome. Even if he does, Miles Kelly, with 30 points, led the charge against Kentucky. The chance Jones and Broome don’t play is probably why the spread is only 5.5 points.

If they don’t play, Auburn will still cover.

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