ACC Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds, Favorites to Win: Duke and UNC Restocked Talent for 2024-25 Season

• N.C. State won the 2024 ACC Tournament, becoming the first double-digit seed to run the table in the conference’s history.

• The Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels will be the likely favorites to win the 2025 ACC Tournament after bringing in tons of talent through the transfer portal and the recruiting trail.

• The Duke Blue Devils should be heavy favorites to win the ACC Tournament after their hot start and UNC’s sporadic play to begin the 2024-25 regular season.

The N.C. State Wolfpack shocked the nation during the 2024 ACC Tournament, winning five games in five days to punch their ticket to the “Big Dance.” Entering the conference tournament, the Wolfpack had no shot at hearing their name called on Selection Sunday unless they won it all. 

Which team will win the ACC Tournament in 2025? Could we have another unexpected winner, or will one of the two “blue bloods” (Duke and UNC) add another ACC Tournament Championship to their trophy case?

This season, the ACC expanded from 15 to 18 teams, making the ACC Tournament more competitive than ever. Look at all the ACC teams and their respective conference tournament odds below!

ACC Tournament Odds 

While there are no 2025 ACC Tournament odds, scroll a bit more to find our favorites to win and the analysis and rationale behind it!

Once the ACC Tournament odds drop, you'll be able to find them listed here.

2024 ACC Tournament Predictions

Below, we have listed our ACC Tournament predictions, including our favorite teams to win. Without ACC Tournament odds available, we can’t determine whether there is any value in betting on a team; however, we can break down the teams we believe can win.

Duke Blue Devils

With freshmen Cooper Flagg and Khaman Maluach anchoring the defense, Duke has catapulted to second in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric and third in adjusted efficiency margin, which serves as an overall rank.

The Blue Devils have been an absolute force defensively, which has helped them win games when their shots aren’t falling. Despite having several capable 3-point shooters, Duke fires at just a 35% clip from downtown.

Duke has already logged wins against Louisville, Auburn, and Arizona. 

The Blue Devils’ two losses, which came against Kentucky and Kansas, were both winnable games and simply came down to execution and experience, two areas in which they can drastically improve before the ACC Tournament rolls around.

Duke will be in a race against itself this season. If the Blue Devils continue to develop chemistry offensively, they will be virtually unbeatable.

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Stay Away: North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina has been (relatively) awful to begin the season, dropping five of its first 11 games (6-5). 

While the Tar Heels have had one of the hardest schedules (seventh in KenPom’s Strength of schedule rating) as of mid-December, their inability to win close games is concerning.

They have kept games against Florida, Michigan State, and Kansas close, but have not been able to pull any of them out. In fact, the only real positive has been overcoming an 18-point halftime deficit against a now-ranked Dayton team to win by two points.

Unfortunately for the Tar Heels, they do not have the interior play that they have leaned on over the past several seasons. Without Armando Bacot, or a suitable replacement, the Heels have been exploitable on defense and not nearly as efficient on the other end of the floor.

Further, RJ Davis has been extraordinarily inefficient to start the season. Sure, that could change as we get deeper into the year, but there are no guarantees.

North Carolina could always get hot at the right time behind its talented guards, but I wouldn’t count on it.

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Who Will Win the ACC Tournament - My Pick 

Duke Blue Devils

What appeared to be a two-team race for the ACC Tournament championship entering the 2024-25 regular season now appears to be Duke’s to lose.

North Carolina is entirely unreliable and the Blue Devils have been exceptional on the defensive end of the floor (second in adjusted defensive efficiency), which is frightening given the fact that they haven’t consistently clicked on offense yet.

Duke has talented 3-point shooters like Kon Knueppel, Caleb Foster and Mason Gillis, who are shooting well-below their capabilities. Flagg is also a better shooter from deep than the 25% clip he is firing at right now.

If the Blue Devils improve on the offensive end steadily throughout the year, they should coast to an ACC Tournament championship.

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ACC Tournament History

The ACC Tournament has been around since 1954, when the conference was incepted. With the exception of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic forced an early end to the college basketball season, the ACC Tournament has been a yearly event that takes place after the ACC regular season concludes. The Duke Blue Devils have the most ACC Tournament championships with 22, while North Carolina trails by four with 18 ACC Tournament championships. N.C. State (10) is the only other team that has double-digit ACC Tournament championships.

Past ACC Tournament Winners

Below is a look at all of the past 15 ACC Tournament champions, beginning with the most recent winners. Take a look:

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the ACC Tournament

Choosing the best sportsbook is the second-most important thing to picking the right bet! Oftentimes, sportsbooks have varying odds for the same bet, meaning you can get better value on one sportsbook versus the other. Odds shopping is undoubtedly one of the most vital aspects of sports betting.

Additionally, choosing a sportsbook for the functionality, user interface, welcome bonus, payment and withdrawal options, and withdrawal timing are also incredibly relevant. Find our table below to see which sportsbook you would prefer to bet on for the ACC Tournament:

How to Read ACC Tournament Winner Odds

Reading odds can seem like a challenge when you first begin betting, but we can make it incredibly simple for you. First, if there is a minus in front of a number, that indicates that the team is a favorite and has implied odds of winning that are greater than 50%. For example, if the Duke Blue Devils have -150 odds to win the ACC Tournament, then they have a 60% implied probability of winning. You would need to bet $150 to win $100 in this case, as Duke is a favorite, so wagering more to win less makes sense. 

If the North Carolina Tar Heels have +300 odds to win the ACC Tournament, then their implied probability is much lower (25%), so there is a greater chance for you to make money if they win. When a team is an underdog (has a + in front of their odds), then you only need to bet $100 to win that number. In this case, you would only need to put $100 on the Tar Heels to win $300.