AAC Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds & Favorites to Win 2025

• Memphis now has a 93.75% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference (AAC)

• Memphis has just two games remaining against teams with above .500 schedules (UAB and Florida Atlantic)

• UAB has a 7.14% chance of winning the AAC; they’ll have to beat the Tigers on March 2 and get some help

Technically, there are several teams that could still win the AAC regular season title. But with how games have played out in recent weeks, FanDuel only has a few teams listed, Memphis, UAB, and North Texas. Memphis is a heavy favorite followed by UAB and then North Texas.

With six or seven games left, there is time for either team to make a move on Memphis. But does either have a realistic shot at overtaking the Tigers down the stretch? Let’s take a look at each team their latest odds.

AAC Tournament Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and place your bets on the AAC Tournament: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

With only a handful of games left in the regular season, there aren’t too many teams that still have a shot at possibly winning the AAC. There’s the heavy favorite, Memphis, who has lost just one conference game this season. UAB has been on Memphis’ tail all season and still is. While they would need some help, North Texas isn’t quite out of the running.

Several other teams have not been eliminated yet, but one of them would need a lot of help to even have a shot.

Favorites to Win the 2025 AAC Tournament

FanDuel has three teams listed with odds of winning the AAC, Memphis, UAB, and North Texas. Let’s take a look at all three:

Memphis (-1500) at FanDuel

• Record: 20-4, 10-1

• NET Ranking: No. 45

The Tigers opened as the betting favorite to win the AAC, and it is looking pretty good for them. While they could crash and burn down the stretch, there is no reason to believe they’ll do so. However, there is one more roadblock they’ll need to move past—a rematch with UAB on March 2.

After beating UAB 100-77 toward the end of January, the ball is certainly in Memphis’ court.

UAB (+1300) at FanDuel

• Record: 15-8, 8-2

• NET Ranking: 136

They are a long shot, but the path to a regular season title is pretty clear. If they are going to have a chance they must beat Memphis when the two play again on March 2. The game will be on UAB’s home court, which should give the Blazers a boost. But they lost by 23 points on Jan. 26 in Memphis.

It is not an impossible task, but UAB will need more than homecourt advantage to win the game.

North Texas (+2600) at FanDuel

• Record: 17-6, 8-3

• NET Ranking: No. 58

A couple of weeks ago, it looked like the Mean Green would be the ones to give Memphis a run for the regular season title. But losses to UTSA and UAB have turned their chances from possible to highly unlikely. With no games on deck against UAB or Memphis, they’ll need to run the table and get a lot of help to have even a small chance of winning the conference.

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AAC Odds: Picks and Predictions

Favorite - Memphis (-1500) at FanDuel

This is not an advisable bet by any stretch of the imagination, but it doesn’t look like anyone poses a real threat to them. UAB is the one team with a legitimate chance of overtaking the Tigers. However, Memphis crushed UAB a couple of weeks ago, 100-77. 

Will a change of venue make that much of a difference? I doubt it.

Dark Horse - UAB (+1300) at FanDuel

With a game still to come against Memphis, they have a shot. But they will have to win the game and with how the last game between them played out it doesn’t look good.

Long Shot - North Texas (+2600) at FanDuel

The odds are likely as short as they are because the Mean Green just need Memphis to lose two and for UAB to lose at least one. But since they have to rely on other teams to beat UAB and Memphis for them, the odds should probably be pushed out to +10000.

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AAC Tournament History

The AAC counts 1979 as the year it was founded, but that was actually when the Big East Conference was founded, which the American Athletic Conference splintered off from in 2013 when the conference was experiencing substantial turmoil.

So, while the AAC was officially founded in 1979, the conference as we know it began play with the 2013-14 season—which means there is not much history to reference regarding which teams are typically the contenders and who the bottom feeders might be.

The following table contains the winners of the regular season and conference tournament since the 2013-14 season:

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AAC Tournament 

We have gone over the odds, several of the top teams in the conference, and how to read the odds. So, is it time to bet? Not yet. First, you need to choose which sportsbook you want to place your bet with.

You can look into each one when you have time, or you can just check out our full sportsbook reviews. The following table will give you a brief review of what three of the more popular online sportsbooks have to offer:

How to Read AAC Tournament Odds

Are you ready to bet on a team to win the AAC this season? If so, you’ll be able to find odds on who will win the AAC at all major sportsbooks operating in the U.S. You may have heard members of the media referencing odds like “25 to 1” or “4/1 or 7/3” and maybe even in decimal form (i.e., 1.91).

There are different ways in which odds can be stated. Sportsbooks in the U.S. list them in what is referred to as the ‘American’ format. American odds will use three-digit numbers with either a plus or minus sign in front. The + sign designates that team as the underdog, while the – sign is for the favorite.

Let’s go over a couple of examples. The odds Memphis will win the AAC are currently -1500. That means a couple of things: (1) Memphis is the betting favorite and has a better than 50% chance of winning and (2) bettors will have to risk $1500 in order to win $100.

Rather than bet on the current favorite, let’s say you want to roll with UAB to win this season at +1300. At those odds, UAB is considered a long shot and has a 7.14.0% chance of winning the conference. However, if you were to bet $100 and they win, you’d collect an $1400 payout, your stake ($100) and $1300 in winnings

You don’t have to bet $100, of course. To see what your payout would be with any stake and odds, check out our odds calculator.