AAC Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds & Favorites to Win 2025

• Memphis is now a heavy favorite to win the conference (-550); the Tigers are the only AAC team still undefeated in conference play at 3-0

• The team with the second-best odds (+850), North Texas, lost to Memphis 68-64 on Jan. 5

• Movers and shakers on AAC odds boards since Jan. 1, 2025: Memphis from -195 to -550; UAB from +4400 to +2800; FAU from +650 to +2300

Now that conference play is underway, we may see some movement in the odds to win the American Athletic Conference as the contenders start to separate from the rest of the pack. For now, Memphis remains the betting favorite and has an 84.62%% chance of winning the AAC in 2025.

But the rest of the conference is not going to just lay down and let them win. North Texas lost its first conference game recently—to Memphis in a close, hard-fought contest. After relatively slow starts to the season, UAB and Tulane have been coming on strong now that conference play has started.

While the odds are heavily in favor of the Memphis Tigers, there is plenty of time for Memphis to slip and for another team to rise. So, while betting boards have some clear favorites, no one can be ruled out of the race just yet.

On that note, let’s take a look at the latest odds and our current picks/predictions.

AAC Tournament Betting Odds

Here are the latest odds to win the American Athletic Conference (AAC) listed at FanDuel Sportsbook. To place a bet, click on the words ‘Bet Here’ button located below the player’s odds.

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There is still plenty of time for Memphis to slip up, but it may not matter when they do if everyone slips up more. Wichita State looked strong to end December at 10-3, but then they opened the new year with three straight losses, and not necessarily to the AAC’s finest.

North Texas dropped its first conference game, a 68-64 defeat courtesy of Memphis. The Mean Green led for much of the first half but were done one at the break. They retook the lead to start the half and held it for a few minutes before losing it for good,

But North Texas was competitive.

Rice had gotten off to a good start, winning 11 of their first 15 and their first two conference games. But after watching them lose three in a row, it is hard to make a case for them. UAB, South Florida, and Tulane are the only teams other than Memphis to see their odds get shorter over the last couple of weeks.

However, their odds are still incredibly long and not advisable bets.

Favorites to Win the 2025 AAC Tournament

Memphis entered the season as the betting favorite to win the conference at +125. As nonconference play unfolded, their odds have shifted, getting shorter, dropping to -160 and -185 heading into 2025, and now -550.

Those odds give the Tigers almost an 85% chance of winning, but it would take a $550 wager just to have a shot at winning $100. No problem, right? Eh… Is $100 worth risking $550? If you’re right—of course it is. But what if you’re not? What if Memphis folds down the stretch?

It wouldn’t hurt to take a flyer or two on one of these teams:

North Texas (+850) at FanDuel

• 2023-24 season record: 19-15 overall, 10-8 in conference play

• 2024-25 record: 12-4 overall, 3-1 in conference play

• AP Rank: NA

North Texas has already faced the most formidable team it will face for the rest of the season—and lost (to Memphis, 68-64). But after giving the best team in the conference a good fight, we have learned two things: (1) North Texas is a pretty good team, and (2) Memphis is beatable.

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UAB (+2800) at FanDuel

• 2023-24 season record: 23-12 overall, 12-6 in conference play

• 2024-25 record: 10-7 overall, 3-1 in conference play

• AP Rank: NA

When the Blazers were a 5-5 team a couple of weeks ago, the last thing they appeared to be was a team potentially worth betting on to win a conference championship. But then they won a few games, improved to 8-5 before conference play, and have won three of four AAC games.

They are a solid offensive team (t-No. 18 in the nation) but not the best defensive one (No. 267).

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Wichita State (+7500) at FanDuel

• 2023-24 season record: 15-19 overall, 5-13 in conference play

• 2024-25 record: 11-6 overall, 1-3 in conference play

• AP Rank: NA

The Shockers hit a slump. Everyone is susceptible to a slump, good and not-so-good teams alike. But Wichita State has a good, experienced, and talented roster. It can break out of this slump and go on a run at any moment. So, while things may not look good now, they might in a few weeks…

However, I’d preface this optimism with this: I wouldn’t bet more than the change in my couch on these guys to win the AAC.

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AAC Odds: Picks and Predictions

Favorite - North Texas (+850) at FanDuel

I am a big believer in that old saying— offense wins games, and defense wins championships. North Texas has one of the best defenses in the country this season (currently No. 5) and certainly the best in the conference. It would be nice if their offense could improve, as they are currently the worst in the conference.

But as long as they have the best scoring margin, I can justify getting behind them over Memphis.

Dark Horse - Wichita State (+7500) at FanDuel

They aren’t great on the offensive and defensive end of the court, but they are good on both ends, which makes them a team to watch since most teams are good on one end or the other but not both. The odds are not enticing enough to make me want to bet on them right now.

But I’ll be watching to see how their game against Memphis goes on Jan. 23.

Long Shot - Rice (+17000) at FanDuel

After watching these guys lose three in a row, I’m less confident that they may have a shot—but if they do, it’s a very long one. However, I still like them over the rest of the conference competition (but not by much). There is plenty of time for them to bounce back.

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AAC Tournament History

The AAC counts 1979 as the year it was founded, but that was actually when the Big East Conference was founded, which the American Athletic Conference splintered off from in 2013 when the conference was experiencing substantial turmoil.

So, while the AAC was officially founded in 1979, the conference as we know it began play with the 2013-14 season—which means there is not much history to reference regarding which teams are typically the contenders and who the bottom feeders might be.

The following table contains the winners of the regular season and conference tournament since the 2013-14 season:

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AAC Tournament 

We have gone over the odds, several of the top teams in the conference, and how to read the odds. So, is it time to bet? Not yet. First, you need to choose which sportsbook you want to place your bet with.

You can look into each one when you have time, or you can just check out our full sportsbook reviews. The following table will give you a brief review of what three of the more popular online sportsbooks have to offer:

How to Read AAC Tournament Odds

Are you ready to bet on a team to win the AAC this season? If so, you’ll be able to find odds on who will win the AAC at all major sportsbooks operating in the U.S. You may have heard members of the media referencing odds like “25 to 1” or “4/1 or 7/3” and maybe even in decimal form (i.e., 1.91).

There are different ways in which odds can be stated. Sportsbooks in the U.S. list them in what is referred to as the ‘American’ format. American odds will use three-digit numbers with either a plus or minus sign in front. The + sign designates that team as the underdog, while the – sign is for the favorite.

Let’s go over a couple of examples. The odds Memphis will win the AAC are currently -160. That means a couple of things: (1) Memphis is the betting favorite and has a better than 50% chance of winning, and (2) bettors will have to risk $160 in order to win $100.

Rather than bet on the current favorite, let’s say you want to roll with UAB to win this season at +1000. At those odds, UAB is considered a long shot and has a 9.09% chance of winning the conference. However, if you were to bet $100 and they win, you’d collect an $1100 payout, your stake ($100), and $1000 in winnings.

You don’t have to bet $100, of course. To see what your payout would be with any stake and odds, check out our odds calculator.