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Texas A&M vs. LSU Picks, Predictions and Odds: Winner Goes to the SEC Championship?

Contributors
Published October 25, 2024
5 min read
  • Both teams are on six-game win streaks and undefeated against the SEC

  • LSU won last year’s matchup 42-30

  • Neither school won consecutive matchups against the other since 2016-17

The No. 8 LSU Tigers will face the No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies in an NCAAF SEC matchup that has the power to determine which team will be in pole position for the conference championship game and a ticket to the College Football Playoff.

Both teams are home to some of the most raucous home-field environments in the country. More than 100,000 fans will pour into seats to watch the two foes go toe-to-toe for the 13th straight season.

While LSU won last year’s encounter 42-30, neither school won matchups in consecutive seasons since LSU did in 2016 and 2017.

As one of the most important college football weekends of the year approaches, we’re here to analyze and share our favorite betting picks for the Texas A&M vs. LSU rivalry match. 

Texas A&M vs. LSU Odds 

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets on this matchup and claim the bonus at FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
No. 8 LSU +2.5 (-105) +114 Over 53.5 (-110)
No. 14 Texas A&M -2.5 (-115) -137 Under 53.5 (-110)
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Texas A&M vs LSU Predictions

Texas A&M vs. LSU Predictions 

LSU won six straight games after an opening-week loss to USC (which was not as bad of a loss as it now seems). They took down No. 9 Ole Miss and Arkansas in back-to-back games, bringing them to 3-0 in the SEC.

Looking ahead, the Tigers face No. 15 Alabama, Florida, No. 25 Vanderbilt, and Oklahoma to finish conference play. While that’s far from a cakewalk, it’s nowhere near as difficult as an SEC schedule could be and typically is, making this weekend’s matchup a must-win.

QB Garrett Nussmeier had a tough time against Ole Miss but came up with the biggest play in the biggest moment, a game-winning touchdown pass in overtime. He has 20 total touchdowns and six interceptions and ranks 11th in QBR for the year, while LSU is 31st in scoring (32.5 points per game).

The Tigers’ defense is significantly better than it was a year ago. They allowed 20.5 points per game (down from the 29.5 average in 2023) and rank 29th in defensive EPA per play.

On the other side, A&M is also riding a six-game win streak ever since its season-opening loss to Notre Dame. They embarrassed No. 9 Mizzou 41-10 in their last home game and are the only SEC team that’s 4-0 in conference play. 

Sophomore QB Conner Weigman did not have the return he hoped for against Mississippi State as he went 15/25 for 217 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions, though the Aggies still won 34-24.

A&M is 16th in scoring defense (19 points per game allowed) but is just 56th in scoring offense (28 points per game). They rely on their running game, which is responsible for 62.6 percent of called plays and produces 5.4 yards per carry.

A&M has one of the easiest finishes to the season of any team in the SEC. They’ll face South Carolina and Auburn before they meet No. 5 Texas in the final week of the season, but if they win out up until that point, they should be able to lose and still reach the conference championship.

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Texas A&M vs. LSU Pick

A&M’s defense is better, although not markedly better. Nussmeier is a much better player than Weigman, but he hasn’t been overwhelmingly successful against SEC defenses.

This should be a back-and-forth battle between two teams with everything to prove. LSU’s run defense will be tested and could be the determining factor in the matchup.

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How to Watch Texas A&M vs. LSU

  • When: Saturday, October 26 at 7:30 p.m. ET

  • Where: Kyle Field, College Station, TX

  • Watch: ABC/ESPN+

Texas A&M vs. LSU Best Promos and Sportsbooks

Most top online sportsbooks have A&M favored by 2.5 or three points. Caesars Sportsbook has the best deal for A&M bettors at -2.5 (-110), while BetRivers is the best spot for LSU bettors at +3 (-115).

Anyone who bets on Texas A&M vs. LSU at FanDuel Sportsbook can win $300 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.

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Notable Texas A&M vs. LSU Injuries

LSU Injuries

  • Jelani Watkins (WR) - Questionable (Foot)

  • Kyle Parker (WR) - Out

  • Kobe Roberts (OL) - Questionable

  • Harold Perkins (LB) - Out (Knee)

Texas A&M Injuries

  • Rueben Ownes (RB) - Questionable (Lower body)

  • Tyreek Chappell (DB) - Questionable

  • Jaylen Henderson (QB) - Questionable

  • Mark Nabou (OL) - Out (Knee)

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Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: [email protected]
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Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
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