Iowa State vs. Arizona State Picks, Predictions and Odds: Cam Skattebo to Thrive in the Big 12 Conference Championship

• Arizona State entered the year with a projected win total of 4.5

• The Sun Devils wide receiver Jordyn Tyson has been ruled out with an injury

• Iowa State’s front seven ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate and PPA

After entering the year with a projected win total of 4.5 and at the bottom of the oddsboard for the conference title, the Arizona State Sun Devils have managed to do the unthinkable and are only one win away from winning the Big 12 Conference Championship. Star running back Cam Skattebo has played a major role in their success and will look to continue to lead them down the field against a weak Iowa State front seven.

Iowa State vs. Arizona State Odds

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State My Pick

• My Pick: Arizona State -2 (-110) at Caesars

Even without their top wide receiver Jordyn Tyson, the Sun Devils offense will still be in a favorable position to generate drives down the field by attacking the Cyclones struggles with stopping the run. This allows the Sun Devils to control the time of possession while simultaneously slashing the number of offensive possessions for Iowa State’s offense. That spells potential disaster for Iowa State as their pass heavy attack is prone to stalling out against the Sun Devils secondary.

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State Predictions 

Iowa State Preview

While the Sun Devils were projected to finish near the bottom of the conference standings heading into the year, the Iowa State Cyclones were listed as one of the betting favorites to win the conference title. The Cyclones conference championship hopes took a major hit after they suffered two straight losses to Texas Tech and Kansas, yet BYU’s collapse at the end of the year opened the door for Iowa State to secure a berth with a win over Kansas State.

Not only does Iowa State have the opportunity to win the Big 12 Conference Championship, but they also can secure an auto bid for the 12 team college football playoff as one of the P4 conference champions. In order to do so, Iowa State will need to continue to rely on their pass attack as rush production has been practically non-existent for their one dimensional offense as the Cyclones head into the weekend ranked 101st in Rush Success Rate, 120th in PPA, and 132nd in Explosiveness.

With no threat of getting burned on the ground, this allows the Sun Devils to cheat out in coverage and mask their low mark in Def Pass Success Rate. That spells potential disaster for Iowa State, leaving them prone to stalling out. To make matters worse for the Cyclones, their total number of offensive possessions are expected to decrease as Arizona State’s offense will look to grind out the clock with a heavy dose of the run.

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Arizona State Preview

Speaking of a heavy dose of the run, that has been the strength of Arizona State’s offense this season as their star running back Cam Skattebo led the Sun Devils to top-25 marks in Rush Success Rate and PPA. If it were not for Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty running wild, then Skattebo would have garnered more attention for the Heisman award for how he has transformed the Sun Devils offense.

Heading into Saturday, Skattebo will have the opportunity to churn out another dominant performance as he faces off against an Iowa State front seven who ranks 97th in Def Rush Success Rate and 68th in Def Rush PPA. Their low mark in Def Rush Success Rate is especially vital for Arizona State’s chances of controlling the pace as that indicates the Cyclones struggle to stop opposing running backs from cutting the distance to gain in half on first down.

By establishing the run, the Sun Devils will have the opportunity to prolong their drives down the field and control the time of possession. That simultaneously lessens the number of offensive possessions on the Cyclones end, limiting their number of opportunities to get into scoring territory. Back the Sun Devils at the key number of -3 or lower in what should be a thrilling Big 12 Conference Championship.

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State How to Watch

• When: Saturday, December 7th

• Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

• Where to Watch: ABC

Iowa State vs. Arizona State Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State Injuries

Iowa State Injuries

• TE Tyler Moore - Questionable

• TE Benjamin Brahmer - Questionable

Arizona State Injuries

• WR Jordyn Tyson - Out

• TE Jayden Fortier - Questionable