After entering the year at the bottom of the oddsboard for the Big 12 Conference Championship, the Arizona State Sun Devils are just one win away from doing the unthinkable. A potential magical conclusion to their season in a year where they were projected to win just four to five games as they had a preseason win total of 4.5. Oddsmakers lean slightly towards their favor as of writing, listing Arizona State as a -2.5 betting favorite heading into the contest.
As for the team standing in their way, the Iowa State Cyclones managed to sneak into the conference championship after BYU stumbled against Kansas and Arizona State. The Cyclones were listed as one of the betting favorites to win the conference heading into the year, yet they will have their work cut out for them against a stout Sun Devils defense. Especially while their own offense continues to underwhelm, ranking well below league average in most key metrics.
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Important Note: The Big 12 Championship market is closed for the rest of the season. Check back with us regularly as we will post fresh odds as soon as they are available, and give you our overview of the favorites for the next NCAAF season.
Arguably the biggest surprise of the season, the Arizona State Sun Devils are just one win away from winning the Big 12 Conference Championship after entering the year with low expectations. Their success has not been a fluke or the result of an easy schedule either as the Sun Devils secured wins over Kansas, Utah, Kansas State, and BYU to get to the conference championship. Should the Sun Devils get the win over the Cyclones, then they will also secure a berth for the 12 team college football playoff as well.
In order to do so, the Sun Devils defense will need to continue to play at a high level and take advantage of a weak Iowa State offense. Their defense has been their main consistent source of production this season as the Sun Devils enter the contest ranked 50th overall in Def Success Rate, 36th in Def Explosiveness, and 3rd in Havoc. They do struggle with limiting scoring opportunities as their low mark in Def Finishing Drives indicates, yet Iowa State’s offense sputters when inside the red zone.
While the Sun Devils defense has thrived, their offense has struggled with consistently generating offensive production. Even with star running back Cam Skattebo who has flirted with Heisman contention, the Sun Devils have still underwhelmed as they enter the contest ranked 90th or worse in Finishing Drives and Explosiveness. The Sun Devils do excel at staying ahead of the sticks when in the middle of the field, yet they will need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities in order to secure the win over the Cyclones.
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Thanks to BYU’s collapse, the Iowa State Cyclones have the opportunity to win the Big 12 Conference Championship after they secured their berth with a win over the Kansas State Wildcats last weekend. The Cyclones were listed as one of the betting favorites to win the conference championship heading into the year, yet their sporadic level of play made their future look murky. Oddsmakers believe they will have their work cut out for them as Iowa State enters the contest as a +2.5 underdog to the Sun Devils.
Should the Cyclones want to upset Arizona State and win the conference championship, then their offense will need to quickly elevate their level of play. Heading into Saturday, Iowa State’s offense ranks 71st in Off Success Rate, 106th in Explosiveness, and 81st in Finishing Drives. They do excel at taking care of the ball and avoiding turnover worthy plays, yet the Cyclones will need to generate drives down the field and capitalize on their scoring opportunities to avoid falling quickly behind on the scoreboard.
Especially if their defense continues to struggle when in the middle of the field as the Cyclones rank 76th in Def Success Rate. That spells potential disaster for Iowa State as their underwhelming front seven is largely to blame for their low marks in Def Success Rate, now having the unfortunate task of having to try and slow down Cam Skattebo who excels at generating rush production. Should Skattebo continue to churn out sizable gains with each carry, then it may be a long night for the Cyclones defense.
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The Big 12 continues to welcome new teams into their conference, adding the likes of Utah, Arizona, Arizona State, and Colorado after the Pac 12 dissolved.
Team | Big 12 Record | Overall Record |
---|---|---|
Arizona State | 7-2 | 10-2 |
Iowa State | 7-2 | 10-2 |
BYU | 7-2 | 10-2 |
Colorado | 7-2 | 9-3 |
Baylor | 6-3 | 8-4 |
TCU | 6-3 | 8-4 |
Texas Tech | 6-3 | 8-4 |
Kansas State | 5-4 | 8-4 |
West Virginia | 5-4 | 6-6 |
Kansas | 4-5 | 5-7 |
Cincinnati | 3-6 | 5-7 |
Houston | 3-6 | 4-8 |
Utah | 2-7 | 5-7 |
Arizona | 2-7 | 4-8 |
UCF | 2-7 | 4-8 |
Oklahoma State | 0-9 | 3-9 |
The Big 12 was dominated by the Oklahoma Sooners before they left for the SEC, leaving the conference with 14 Conference Championships. Since Oklahoma’s dominant reign from 2015 to 2020, the Big 12 has featured a new conference championship winner the following three years. That trend will continue heading into 2024, as the 2023 winner Texas Longhorns followed the Sooners to the SEC.
Year | Team |
---|---|
2023 | Texas |
2022 | Kansas State |
2021 | Baylor |
2020 | Oklahoma |
2019 | Oklahoma |
On top of being able to wager on who will win the Conference Championship, there are also other types of markets you can wager on involving the Big 12.
To Make the Title Game: This market avoids having to win the conference championship, simply needing the team you wager on to just make it to the title game
Conference Wins: An alt market to the populnlike most sports, wagering on college football has a few ear regular season win total market. This focuses on teams win total involving only conference games
Unlike most sports, wagering on college football has a few exceptions depending on which state you live in. Some states like New Jersey, Illinois, and Massachusetts prohibit you from wagering on their in-state teams. Other states have also started to remove college football player prop bets as gambling-related violations continue to ramp up.
Top sportsbooks like FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars still host plenty of markets for their users to choose from, as well as giving new users generous signup bonuses for them to capitalize on heading into the 2024 season.
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