Big 12 Championship Predictions & Odds 2024: Colorado in Control of Their Own Destiny

After BYU’s loss to Kansas, Colorado is now listed as the new betting favorite to win the Big 12 Conference Championship. A remarkable feat after entering the year with a projected win total of six, now having the opportunity to secure their spot in the conference championship should they manage to win their last two games of the season.

Big 12 Championship Odds 

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel Sportsbook and place your bets: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

*Rest of conference listed at +13000 or higher

Big 12 Championship Favorites to Win

Colorado Buffaloes (-120) at FanDuel

With a 6-1 conference record, the Colorado Buffaloes are in full control of their own destiny in terms of securing a berth for the Big 12 Conference Championship. An almost unfathomable reality after entering the year listed near the bottom of the oddsboard for the conference title and with a projected win total of six, yet the Buffaloes continue to win while increasing their chances of playing in the postseason for the National Championship as well.

Unfortunately for Colorado, negative regression may be looming large as their metrics do not support the success they have had this season. As of writing, the Buffaloes offense ranks 80th or worse in Off Finishing Drives, Explosiveness, and Havoc Allowed, while their defense ranks 64th in Def Success Rate, 100th in Explosiveness, and 64th in Havoc. At their current odds, pass on the Buffaloes to win the Big 12 Conference Championship.

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Arizona State Sun Devils (+360) at FanDuel

After upsetting the UCF Knights and Kansas State Wildcats, Arizona State is now back in the conference title picture as one of the betting favorites to play in the Big 12 Conference Championship. Their defense has quietly been one of the more productive units in the league as they currently rank top-50 in Def Success Rate, Def Explosiveness, and Def Havoc.

With a matchup against BYU this weekend, the Sun Devils have the opportunity to take control of their own destiny as a win over the Cougars would give them the tiebreaker while possessing the same conference record. Expect a slugfest as the Cougars field a competitive defense while the Sun Devils offense ranks 121st in Off Explosiveness and 94th in Off Finishing Drives.

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BYU Cougars (+400) at BetMGM

Once listed as the betting favorite to win the Big 12 Conference Championship, the BYU Cougars are in serious jeopardy of falling out of the conference title picture after their latest loss to the Kansas Jayhawks. They are now in a must win situation against Arizona State this weekend as a loss would give the Sun Devils the tiebreaker heading into the last week of the regular season.

Should BYU want to secure the win over Arizona State and increase their chances of playing in the Big 12 Conference Championship, then their offense will need to generate more production as they currently rank league average or worse in Off Success Rate, Finishing Drives, and Havoc Allowed. Their ground game has been especially disappointing for a unit that calls the run at an above average rate as the Cougars rank 82nd in Rush Success Rate, 92nd in Rush PPA, and 101st in Explosiveness. 

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Iowa State Cyclones (+800) at BetMGM

In desperate need of a bounce back performance, the Iowa State Cyclones managed to halt their fall down the oddsboard with a win against the Cincinnati Bearcats last weekend. Unfortunately for Iowa State, they are still on the outside looking in as they have one less conference win than Colorado and BYU. Their last two games of the year are also unforgiving as Iowa State faces off against Utah on the road before hosting the Kansas State Wildcats.

If Iowa State wants to keep their Big 12 Conference Championship hopes alive, then their front seven will need to round back into form as both Utah and Kansas State excel at generating rush production. Heading into week 13, Iowa State’s defense ranks 97th in Def Rush Success Rate and 68th in Def Rush PPA. Fortunately for the Cyclones, they may get the benefit of being able to stack the box at a heavy rate to help increase their chances of being able to stop the run as their secondary excels in coverage.

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Big 12 Championship Underdogs 

Kansas State Wildcats (+15000) at BetMGM

After entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Big 12 Conference Championship, the Kansas State Wildcats have severely disappointed and are on the brink of elimination from conference title contention. Their lack of pass production from preseason Heisman contender Avery Johnson made their offense one dimensional, leaving them prone to stalled out drives and early outs.

Not only has Kansas State struggled to generate pass production, but their secondary has been even worse in their efforts of defending against it as the Wildcats defense currently ranks 74th in Def Pass Success Rate, 102nd in Def Pass PPA, and 115th in Def Pass Explosiveness. Even at their astronomically high odds, pass on the Wildcats to win the Big 12 Conference Championship.

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Baylor Bears (+15000) at BetMGM

Even though Baylor’s chances of making the Big 12 Conference Championship are slim as their current odds imply, it’s still impressive they have remained in contention for this long after entering the year with a projected win total of 5.5. Their defense has played a major role in their success this season as the Bears currently rank above league average in Def Success Rate, Finishing Drives, and Explosiveness.

Every bit of their defensive production has been needed this year as their offense continues to struggle, entering week 13 ranked 84th overall in Off Success Rate, 82nd in Explosiveness, and 108th in Finishing Drives. With a lack of offensive production, the Bears will struggle to match the Kansas Jayhawks scoring pace in their season finale. Like the Wildcats, pass on the Bears inflated odds to win the conference title.

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Big 12 Teams in 2024

The Big 12 continues to welcome new teams into their conference, adding the likes of Utah, Arizona, Arizona State, and Colorado after the Pac 12 dissolved.

Big 12 Championship History

The Big 12 was dominated by the Oklahoma Sooners before they left for the SEC, leaving the conference with 14 Conference Championships. Since Oklahoma’s dominant reign from 2015 to 2020, the Big 12 has featured a new conference championship winner the following three years. That trend will continue heading into 2024, as the 2023 winner Texas Longhorns followed the Sooners to the SEC.

Past Big 12 Conference Championship Winners

How to Bet on the Big 12

On top of being able to wager on who will win the Conference Championship, there are also other types of markets you can wager on involving the Big 12.

• To Make the Title Game: This market avoids having to win the conference championship, simply needing the team you wager on to just make it to the title game

• Conference Wins: An alt market to the populnlike most sports, wagering on college football has a few ear regular season win total market. This focuses on teams win total involving only conference games

Where to Bet on the Big 12 

Unlike most sports, wagering on college football has a few exceptions depending on which state you live in. Some states like New Jersey, Illinois, and Massachusetts prohibit you from wagering on their in-state teams. Other states have also started to remove college football player prop bets as gambling-related violations continue to ramp up.

Top sportsbooks like FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars still host plenty of markets for their users to choose from, as well as giving new users generous signup bonuses for them to capitalize on heading into the 2024 season.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.