Best NCAAF Week 11 Picks & Bets: Can Florida Knock Off Texas

• Texas looks to improve to 8-1 with a win over Florida 

• Billy Napier’s seat is heating up at Florida 

• Indiana is 8-1 ATS and 9-0 SU this season

Week 11 in college football is here, and we have two matchups with a lot of betting value. Florida travels to Texas to take on the 7-1 Longhorns, who look like a National Championship caliber team. We expect them to handle the Gators, who have defined inconsistency this season. 

The next game we focus on is a Big Ten matchup between Michigan and Indiana. The Hoosiers have been the biggest surprise in college football, as they are 9-0 and seeded eighth in the playoffs. 

What Indiana has done has been remarkable, but can they keep it going against the defending national champions? 

We’re placing these wagers on bet365 Sportsbook. As a special offer, bet365 gives new users a $1,000 safety net bet or $150 in bonus bets. Use our promo code WSN365 during sign-up process and claim this exclusive deal.

Florida vs. Texas on bet365

• Date: Saturday, November 9th

• Time: 12:00 PM EST

• Moneyline: Florida (+1100) | Texas (-2500)

• Spread: Florida +21.5 (-115) | Texas -21.5 (-105)

• Total: Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110)

Pick: Texas -21.5 (-105)

Florida’s most challenging game on their brutal schedule will occur on Saturday. Texas is 7-1, and Quinn Ewers is a big reason for the program’s success. 

He has thrown for 1,389 yards with 14 touchdowns this season. Ewers struggled a week ago against Vanderbilt, but we think he gets back on track and takes care of the Gators in week 11. 

The Gators' quarterback situation has been inconsistent, as they have played three this season. Starter Graham Mertz is out for the season due to injury, and now the keys have been passed down to freshman DJ Lagway. He has thrown for 1,071 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. Lagway is the future in Gainesville, so it’s beneficial for him to get reps. 

Lagway does have a freshman turnover issue, and Texas does a great job of forcing takeaways on the defensive side of the ball. 

Ultimately, this game will come down to how well Lagway plays and if he can protect the ball, Florida has a chance to be within three touchdowns. Yet, there is a better chance he coughs up the football. 

Texas is the better team, and this is a big week for them to continue enhancing their playoff position. Look for the Longhorns to establish the run game early with Quintrevion Wisner and Jaydon Blue. 

These running backs will be the difference in the game, and we expect Texas to start fast and never let their foot off the gas. 

Use WSN365 for $1,000 Safety Net Bet at bet365

Michigan vs. Indiana Odds on bet365

• Date: Saturday, November 9th

• Time: 3:30 PM EST

• Moneyline: Michigan (+470) | Indiana (-670)

• Spread: Michigan +13.5 (+100) | Indiana -13.5 (-122)

• Total: Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110)

Pick: Indiana -13.5 (-122)

Indiana has been the best story in college football this season. They are a perfect 9-0 and would be in the College Football Playoff if the season ended today. 

The most impressive thing for the Hoosiers has been their 8-1 record against the spread, and we expect this trend to continue against Michigan. 

The Wolverines come into this game at 5-4, looking nothing like their national championship form under Jim Harbaugh. 

Michigan is coming off a 38-17 loss to Oregon last week, and we believe there will be a similar outcome in Week 11. The biggest issue for the Wolverines has been quarterback play, as Davis Warren has been inconsistent, and they haven’t gotten any ground game going in 2024. 

The Hoosiers are coming off a 47-10 blowout win over Michigan State on the road a week ago. Quarterback Kurtis Rourke has been one of the best players in football, throwing for 2,204 yards and 19 touchdowns. Rourke has only thrown three interceptions in 2024, as he has done a terrific job of taking care of the ball. 

We expect the Hoosiers to lean on Rourke, who has the second-best QBR in America at 91.6. His decision-making has been unbelievable, as he has completed 72.5% of his passes in conference games. 

Indiana can win this game by a couple of touchdowns, which is why we are taking them at -13.5. Look for the Hoosiers to start fast and keep their foot on the gas until the final whistle to cash this play. 

Register at bet365 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets