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Best NCAAF Week 7 Parlay Picks: Penn State’s Defense Is a Brick Wall

Contributors
Published October 10, 2024
5 min read
  • Penn State hasn’t allowed a single point in the third quarter this season. 

  • Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty is averaging more than 10 yards per carry. 

  • Colorado’s offensive line has allowed 18 sacks this season, while Kansas State averages more than two per game. 

Week 7 of the college football season is here, and there are numerous high-stakes matchups, including seven undefeated AP Top 25 teams. The most notable matchup includes No. 3 Oregon hosting No. 2 Ohio State. 

In last week’s parlay, we hit, picking Boise State -26.5, Ohio State -20.5, and Oregon/Michigan State going under 52.5 points. That parlay was +581.

Below is a three-leg parlay for this week using odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. The parlay, featuring Boise State, Penn State, and Colorado, also has odds of +581. 

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $300 in bonus bets after creating an account and placing a winning $5 bet.

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Best NCAAF Parlay Picks Week 7 Penn State Drew Allar

Penn State -4.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Through five games, the Penn State defense has been exceedingly potent, holding teams to just 157 passing yards (tied for 11th) and 76.2 rushing yards (fourth) per game. 

In fact, their third-down defense is simply unmatched. They’re the only team in the country that has not allowed a single point in the third quarter. 

In the second half of games, they’ve allowed just 17 points while scoring 83. 

Quarterback Drew Allar isn’t throwing for 300-plus yards in every game, but he’s been excellent this season, completing 73 of 103 passes (70.9%) for 1,101 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception. 

Of his 103 attempts, 11.7% of them are going 20+ yards downfield. On those throws, he’s completed eight of 12 for 320 yards and three touchdowns. 

Allar also has three rushing touchdowns. 

Penn State also has a lethal running back duo, Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton, and this is where the problem for USC will come from. 

USC’s defense allows 158.6 rushing yards (tied for 87th) per game.

At -4.5, I think Penn State covers because this will be like any other Penn State game. They’ll run the ball effectively, Allar will pick and choose his deep shots, and there will be suffocating defense. 

USC quarterback Miller Moss has seen a dip in production over the last three weeks, throwing four interceptions in that span and completing less than 60% of his passes in two games. 

Look for Penn State to win and cover easily.

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Boise State -20.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

We’re going back to the well with Boise State here. 

They beat up on Utah State, 62-30, in Week 6, and as expected, running back Ashton Jeanty was nothing short of otherworldly. 

He had 13 carries for 186 yards and three touchdowns. 

This game put him over 1,000 rushing yards on less than 100 carries. He now has 16 rushing touchdowns and is on pace for 38.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen completed 21 of 25 passes for 256 yards and three touchdowns. 

Here, Boise State will be on the road against Hawaii in what will be an 11 pm ET kickoff. 

Hawaii is OK against the run, allowing 120.6 yards (46th) per game and 188.8 passing yards (37th) per game. 

Hawaii is coming off a loss to San Diego State 27-24 in Week 6 and has only scored above 30 points twice this season, and those games were against Delaware State and Northern Iowa. They scored 13 against UCLA and 13 the week after that against Sam Houston. 

Hawaii quarterback Brayden Schager has six interceptions this season, averaging just 6.5 yards per attempt. Boise State allows 278.8 passing yards (123rd) per game.

But consider this: Boise State is 73rd in average time of possession simply because Jeanty gets them up and down the field so fast. He’s averaging over 10 yards per carry. 

Hawaii is about to get walloped at home. They’re not going to be able to contain the Boise State offense.

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Colorado +4.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Colorado was a near two-touchdown underdog in Week 5 on the road against UCF but came away with a 48-21 win. 

They had a bye in Week 6, and in Week 7, they’ll host No. 18 Kansas State. 

Both of these teams are 4-1. 

Kansas State is also coming off a bye. In Week 5, they shellacked Oklahoma State 42-20. 

The biggest issue for the Buffaloes this season is they allow too many sacks. This season, they’ve allowed 18, which is tied for the fifth-most in the country. Kansas State has 12 sacks this season, so they’ve managed more than two per game. 

As for Kansas State, they allow 244.2 passing yards (100th) per game. 

Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders is completing 70.1% of his passes for 1,630 yards, 14 touchdowns, and three interceptions. 

Sanders also has a rushing touchdown. 

Colorado will look to contain Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson. He’s a true dual-threat quarterback with 343 rushing yards and two rushing scores. However, as a passer, he’s completing just 60.5% of his passes for 873 yards (seven yards per attempt), nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. 

I think Colorado’s offensive line will continue to be an issue, but the Buffaloes offense will do more than enough through the air to keep this game close and potentially upset the No. 18 team in the land in the process.

Wager $5 at FanDuel for $300 in Bonus Bets

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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