Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty is averaging more than 10 yards per carry this season.
The Oregon Ducks are allowing just 154.8 passing yards per game.
Ohio State’s run defense, which allows close to 62 yards per game, will look to slow down Iowa running back Kaleb Johnson, who’s averaging 8.4 yards per carry.
Week 6 of the college football season comes just one week after two of the most exciting college football games all season: the Alabama Crimson Tide beating the Georgia Bulldogs and the Miami Hurricanes just getting by the Virginia Tech Hokies after a Hail Mary was called back.
In last week’s parlay, I took the over in the Miami/Virginia Tech game, Alabam +2, and Boston College as big-time favorites. I fell short on Boston College, but they had a backup quarterback I wasn’t unaware they would be starting. Nonetheless, we got the loss, and now, we look ahead to Week 6 to get back on track.
Below is a three-leg parlay for this week using odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. The parlay, featuring Boise State, Ohio State, and more, has odds of +581.
All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $200 in bonus bets after creating an account and wagering $5.
While you may know Boise State for their blue field, chances are you know them now even more thanks to their unbelievable running back, Ashton Jeanty.
This season, Jeanty has 82 carries for 845 yards and 13 touchdowns in four games. He’s averaging 10.3 yards per carry. Yes, those are his real numbers.
This week, he and Boise State take on Utah State. They’re 1-3 heading into this, coming off three straight losses to USC, Utah, and Troy.
Utah State allows 196.8 rushing yards per game, which is 114th in the nation. They’ve also allowed eight rushing touchdowns and 5.14 yards per carry.
In the passing game, they allow 257.5 passing yards (111th) and have also allowed 10 passing touchdowns.
Boise State allows similar passing yards (255.5) but allows just 121 rushing yards per game.
While they allow a lot of passing yards, Utah State doesn’t have the quarterback to take advantage of that. They’ll be starting Spencer Petras. He’s been in college football since 2018, spending five seasons with Iowa, sitting out 2023, and coming back this season for Utah State. He’s completing 61% of his passes for 438 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions and is averaging 7.4 yards per attempt.
Look for Boise State to get a lead early and for Jeanty to run up and down them all game long.
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The Oregon offense has gotten to where we thought it should be over the last three games, averaging 40 points per contest. In this game, they’re at home hosting Michigan State. The Spartans are 3-2 and coming off a 38-7 home loss against Ohio State and a 23-19 road loss against Boston College.
The Ducks defense has also looked strong, allowing 112 rushing yards (37th) and just 154.8 passing yards (15th) per game.
The Spartans offense is averaging 237.4 passing yards (61st) and 132.4 rushing yards (97th) per game.
While the Ducks are averaging 40 points over their last three games, this is a slightly better Michigan State defense. They held Ohio State to 38 points. Ohio State quarterback Will Howard had 244 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. The ground game had 185 rushing yards. This was on the road, though, and yes, Michigan State is on the road here.
Michigan State’s defense is inside the top 42 in rushing and passing yards allowed.
I think we could see something similar happen here, like with Ohio State. The Ducks and Ohio State have similar passing attacks.
Look for this game to fall just under. It’ll be close, but I think Oregon’s defense holds the Spartans and quarterback Aidan Chiles down like they were in Week 5. If they score a couple of touchdowns, that would be slightly surprising.
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Speaking of Ohio State, they round out the parlay at -20.5. This line opened at 19.5 and has since shifted, but I’m still willing to take it.
Iowa has looked better on offense this season, scoring 31 points or more in three of their four games. So far this year, they’ve played Illinois State, Iowa State, Troy, and Minnesota.
They lost to Iowa State and had no offense to the other teams, but they’re not the Buckeyes defense.
The Hawkeyes still have a passing attack averaging under 150 yards per game. They have an excellent running back in Kaleb Johnson, who has 82 carries for 685 yards and nine touchdowns. He’s almost Jeanty 2.0. He’s been that good.
However, the Buckeyes defense allows ust 61.8 rushing yards per game. Johnson will certainly have some good runs, but this Buckeyes defense knows they simply need to game plan to slow him down.
I don’t trust the Hawkeyes to pass well here. The Hawkeyes also have a good defense per usual, but there are a lot more explosive play opportunities in this Ohio State offense that I think we could see a 30-point game from Ohio State, and they could still cover this 20.5 number.
Johnson is someone the Buckeyes will be ready for as they crowd the line of scrimmage to slow him down.
Iowa’s offense will look like 2023 and past years in Week 6 against the Buckeyes.
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