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Best NCAAF Week 3 Parlay Picks: Boston College Seeks Upset Against Missouri

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published September 12, 2024
5 min read
  • Boston College is 2-0 and ranked No. 24 in the country. 

  • Tennessee beat NC State 51-10 in Week 2 and is now the No. 7 team in the country. 

  • Texas stunned Michigan with a 31-12 win on the road in Week 2 against Michigan. 

Week 3 of the college football season is here with several teams on bye, like Clemson, Louisville, Ohio State, Penn State, USC, and more. 

Still, there are a number of high-level games, including a couple of ranked matchups. 

Below is a three-leg parlay with odds of +654, featuring Boston College, Tennessee, and Texas.

All following odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $200 in bonus bets and 3 Free Weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket after creating an account and wagering $5.

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Best NCAAF Parlay Picks Week 3

Boston College +16.5 (-105) at FanDuel Sportsbook

I could be riding the Boston College hype train a bit too much here, coming off their win over Florida State, but I want to clarify that I think they’ll lose this game. The point spread is too high, considering how their offense is run. 

The Eagles like to run the ball. They’ve run the ball on 68.5% of their plays in their games this season against Florida State and Duquesne, while Missouri passes 55.2% of the time. 

Missouri is the No. 6 team in the country. They’ve outscored opponents 89-0, but their wins have come against Murray State and Buffalo. The Eagles are not a team they should sleep on. 

The Eagles have generated 25 total pressures, including two sacks. If the Eagles can pressure Missouri quarterback Brady Cook, this could end well for them. In 2023, when under pressure, Cook completed just 29 of 74 passes (39.2%) for 468 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions. 

Meanwhile, the Eagles have a dual-threat quarterback in Thomas Castellanos. He’s completed 19 of 26 passes this season for 340 yards, six touchdowns, no interceptions, and an average of 13.1 yards per attempt. 

He’s also had 71 rushing yards and a touchdown. 

In 2023, Missouri allowed 129.1 rushing yards per game, and they’ve allowed 86 per game this season against lackluster opponents. 

I think Missouri’s offense is better, and they’ll win, but it’ll be by 10 or less. Throwing a small moneyline wager on Boston College can’t hurt, though. The Eagles are a team that will be competitive this year. 

Missouri will win this one, 30-21.

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Tennessee -49.5 (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Yes, a 49.5-point spread is massive, but Tennessee is at home against Kent State, a team that has been absolutely decimated this season. They lost 55-24 in Week 1 to Pittsburgh, and while they only lost 23-17 in Week 2, it was against Saint Francis (PA), a team from the Northeast Conference in the FCS. 

Kent State has allowed 204 rushing yards per game to two opponents that, in the eyes of college football as a whole, are far from world-beaters. Here, they take on a Volunteers offense that’s the No. 7 team in the country and is coming off a 51-10 road win over NC State, which was ranked coming into that game. 

Tennessee is averaging 276.5 rushing yards per game this season, and quarterback Nico Iamaleava is a big part of that, with 78 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. 

In the passing game, he’s completed 38 of 51 passes (74.5%) for 525 yards, five touchdowns, and two picks. 

Tennesse puts up 60 here, while Kent State, a team that averages just 54.5 rushing yards (129th) and 191.5 passing yards (96th) per game, managed just 193 passing yards in Week 2 against Saint Francis. 

Yeah, this is going to be a massive blowout. Look for Tennessee to win 60-0.

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Texas -35.5 (-105) at FanDuel Sportsbook

When this market opened, this point spread was 34.5 points, and while I’m a bit more hesitant at 35.5, I’m still going to lean into it. Texas has looked unstoppable this season and is coming off a Week 2 win over Michigan, 31-12. 

In Week 1, they held Colorado State, a team that ranked 17th in passing yards per game, to just 74 passing yards. 

In Week 2, Michigan was held to 284 total yards of offense. 

Hosting UTSA in Week 3, they’ll take on a team that threw for 340 yards in Week 1 and a combination of quarterbacks that threw for 252 in Week 2. However, those games were against teams like Texas State and Kennesaw State. They got blown out in Week 2 against Texas State, 49-10.

UTSA throws on 68.8% of their offensive plays, and here, being behind most of the game, I think there are plenty of opportunities for turnovers. 

I’m also looking forward to Texas wide receiver Isaiah Bond against Owen Pewee in the slot. He’s played just 19 coverage snaps. In 2023, he played 111 and allowed 10 receptions on 14 targets for 110 yards and a touchdown. It could get ugly fast if they plan on putting him on Bond. 

I think this is another big-time Texas win. My prediction for a final score is 49-10.

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
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