Best NCAAF Conference Championship Parlay Picks: Can Penn State Upset Oregon

• UNLV held Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty to 33 carries for 128 yards

• SMU averages over 23 pressures per game

• Penn State averages 194.7 rushing yards per game

With Week 14 of the college football season coming and going, we now look to the conference title games. These games will occur on Friday, Dec. 6, and Saturday, Dec. 7. 

Last week, we got back to our winning ways, picking Michigan -20.5, Notre Dame -7.5, and Texas -5.5 

Here, I’ll focus on the Big Ten, Mountain West, and ACC title games. 

This is a three-leg parlay with odds of +614, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and placing a winning $5 wager.

UNLV +3.5 (-104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In a rematch of a game earlier this season, UNLV lost to Boise State at home 29-24. 

In that game, they held Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty to 33 carries for 128 yards and one touchdown. 

In all, they allowed 185 rushing yards to them. 

Since that game, UNLV has allowed over 100 yards rushing in just one game, while San Diego State managed 107. 

This time around, I’m expecting another close game, even though this is at Boise State. 

The UNLV defense is quite stout. They hold opponents to 104.4 rushing yards (14th) and 22.7 points (36th) per game. They also have 36 sacks, tied for eighth in the nation. 

As for Boise State, they also get after the quarterback. They have 45 sacks, which is second-most. In their last matchup, Boise State held Hajj-Malik Williams to 12 completions on 21 attempts for 179 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. 

Williams definitely isn’t one to function well under pressure, completing just 15 of 31 passes for 178 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. 

That said, Williams is more known for his rushing ability. He had over 100 yards and a score against Boise State in the last game. 

Boise State is one of the worst pass defenses in the nation, allowing 269.9 passing yards per game, which is tied for 123rd in the country. 

Given how this was a five-point game last time, I expect this to be even closer. I expect Williams to improve in the passing game this time while the defense zeroes in on Jeanty even more. 

I think Boise State will win, but it’ll be by three or less. 

Win $5 Wager, Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

SMU -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In their first season in the ACC, SMU has been excellent, going undefeated in ACC play. 

Now, they take on Clemson, a team with three losses. These came against Georgia, Louisville, and South Carolina. 

The key to this game for me is SMU’s pass rush getting to Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik.

SMU has racked up 37 sacks as a team this season, tied for seventh-most in the nation. 

The Clemson offensive line has been OK this season but has allowed over 100 pressures. They’ve given up just nine sacks, but Klubnik has been pressured nearly nine times per game.

Klubnik has been pressured on 28.9% of his dropbacks this season. Under pressure, he’s completed just 46 of 101 passes (45.5%) for 728 yards, four touchdowns, three interceptions, and four turnover-worthy plays. 

While SMU hasn’t played Clemson this season, it’s worth noting they also average 23.6 pressures per game. 

Additionally, Clemson’s defense allows 354.4 total yards (46th), 137.7 rushing yards (42nd), 216.7 passing yards (60th), and 22.3 points (32nd) per game. 

I’m a bit concerned about SMU’s pass defense, which gives up 240 passing yards (92nd) per game, while Clemson has one of the best passing attacks in the country. 

Still, I’ll stick with SMU here. I think they get to Klubnik enough and force him into trouble while SMU and quarterback Kevin Jennings move the ball through the air and on the ground. 

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Penn State +3.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Following a massive loss to the Michigan Wolverines at home, Ohio State was ousted from the Big Ten title game, and now, we have Oregon and Penn State. 

Penn State has one loss this season, which came against Ohio State. Oregon is undefeated. 

In this game, I’m taking Penn State +3.5 as Oregon has a slightly softer defense than what Ohio State delivered. 

Oregon is giving up 290 total yards (seventh), 118.2 rushing yards (23rd), 171.8 passing yards (eighth), and 16.4 points (ninth) per game. 

The weak point of their defense is the ground game, and that’s where Penn State excels. They average 194.7 rushing yards per game, coming from multiple sources, including Nicholas Singleton, Kaytron Allen, Beau Pribula, and Tyler Warren. 

As for Penn State’s defense, they hold opponents to 266.9 yards (fourth), 97.2 rushing yards (sixth), 169.8 rushing yards (seventh), and 14 points (fourth) per game. 

Ducks left tackle Josh Conerly Jr. is going to have his hands full trying to slow down Penn State edge rusher Abdul Carter. Across 264 pass-rushing snaps, he has 45 pressures and double-digit sacks. 

I expect Penn State to focus on running the ball and keeping this one close, even with this game being on the road. 

They’ll cover and I think there’s some value in the Penn State moneyline. 

Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel