Best NCAAF Week 14 Parlay Picks: Can Ohio State Blowout Michigan

• Michigan allows 21.5 points per game

• Notre Dame allows less than 140 passing yards per game, the best in the nation

• The Texas A&M Aggies are 2-4 against the spread at home

Week 14 of the college football season has arrived, and the regular season is coming to a close. 

I won’t sugarcoat it: The parlay last week got slaughtered. I didn’t expect Indiana to play that poorly, and Boise State bearing Wyoming by just four points was quite unexpected. 

Here, I’m looking at Michigan, Notre Dame, and Texas. 

This is a three-leg parlay with odds of +592, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and placing a winning $5 wager.

Michigan +20.5 (-108) at FanDuel Sportsbook

At first, this felt a lot like Indiana and Ohio State last week. 

Indiana is a team that had a good run defense heading into that game and a quarterback that had been a dark horse for the Heisman. 

Michigan is a team that not only has a good run defense, allowing 94 rushing yards (fifth) per game but also has players of top-10 caliber in the 2025 NFL Draft, Kenneth Grant and Mason Graham. 

Not to mention that Michigan has Will Johnson on the outside playing cornerback. 

The issue for the Wolverines is the quarterback position. 

Alex Orji is not a competent passer; Jack Tuttle retired, and now, it’s back at Davis Warren. 

The Wolverines are 3-2 in their last five games, and Warren has completed 68.4% or more of his passes in three of those. 

He’s not someone who’s going to light up the scoreboard, but he limits mistakes (one interception over the last four games) and attempts to manage it well enough. 

Ohio State will have trouble running the ball against some legitimate defensive linemen. 

Michigan has 31 sacks this season, which is tied for the 10th most in the nation. 

Their defense holds teams to just 21.5 points per game, while Ohio State holds the least at 10.7. 

Yes, Ohio State will definitely win this game, but with 20.5 points, I’ll rely on the Wolverines defense to keep this one closer.

I expect this to be a game closer to Ohio State’s 20-13 win over Penn State than their beatdown of Indiana. 

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Notre Dame -7.5 (-104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Notre Dame is taking on USC in the final week of the regular season. 

This comes after Notre Dame clobbered Army, notching nearly 50 points. 

Notre Dame heads into this one averaging 39 points (fourth) and 221.8 rushing yards (11th) per game. 

Defensively, they allow just 273.1 total yards (third) and 139.5 passing yards (least) per game.

They do allow over 130 rushing yards per game, but USC is 77th in rushing yards per outing at 144.6. 

Under center for USC is Jayden Maiava. He’s thrown for 480 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception over the past two games. 

However, again, Notre Dame is the nation’s best pass defense. 

Notre Dame has 15 interceptions (tied for fourth) and 29 sacks (tied for 12th) this season. 

USC has been solid against the run this season, but they allow 365.7 total yards per game, which is 57th in the nation. 

Look for Notre Dame to run the ball well while their defense silences the USC offense. 

Notre Dame wins this one by double digits. 

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Texas -5.5 (-120) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Heading into Kyle Field sounds like a daunting environment, but actually, the Texas A&M Aggies are just 2-4 against the spread at home this season. 

The Aggies love to run the ball. They average 195.9 rushing yards (20th) per game. They struggle to pass at 210 yards per outing (82nd). 

Texas has one of the best defenses in the country, holding teams to just 247.5 yards per game. They surrendered just 104 rushing yards (11th) and 143.5 passing yards (second) per game. 

With this spread being less than a touchdown, it’s hard not to take Texas.

That said, Texas hasn’t had really any good wins this season. They need to show up here against a ranked opponent. 

The Aggies allow 240.6 passing yards (88th) and 123.2 rushing yards (28th) per game. 

Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers has multiple touchdowns in each of the last five games, and I think that continues here. 

The Longhorns win by more than seven on the road.

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