Best NCAAF Week 13 Parlay Picks: Can Indiana Upset Ohio State

• Indiana allows the least rushing yards per game at 72.2

• Wake Forest allows 296.3 passing yards per game, the third-worst in the country

• Boise State averages four sacks per game, which is second most in the country 

Week 13 of the college football season has arrived, and the regular season has almost come to a close. 

I seem to be on a bit of a back-and-forth streak; I lost in Week 10, won in Week 11, and came up short in Week 12. 

Ohio State won by 24 (the spread was 28.5), Miami (OH) beat Kent State by 27 (the spread was 30.5), and Penn State was the only leg that hit, beating Purdue by 39. 

Oh so close, but also so far away. 

This week, I’m looking toward Indiana, Miami (FL), and Boise State. 

This is a three-leg parlay with odds of +600 at FanDuel.

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and placing a winning $5 wager.

Indiana +12.5 (-104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Indiana has 10 wins this season, which is the most in program history. Not only that, but they’re undefeated at 10-0.

This week, they head into Ohio State to take on the 9-1 Buckeyes. 

These are two top-five teams. 

A season ago, the prospect of Indiana beating Ohio State would’ve maybe only happened in a video game, but here, it’s actually quite possible. 

These are two excellent defenses. 

Indiana allows 255.5 total yards (third), 183.3 passing yards (20th), 72.2 rushing yards (first), and 13.8 points (seventh) per game. 

Ohio State allows 250.8 total yards (second), 160.1 passing yards (sixth), 90.7 rushing yards (fourth), and 10.3 points (tied for first) per game. 

Expect a low-scoring game similar to Ohio State’s 20-13 win against Penn State. 

No, not that exact score, but a game of that type. 

Indiana actually posts more yards per game (453.2) than Ohio State (451.4) and also averages about six points more per game, with 43.9 compared to the Buckeyes’ 37.8. 

Indiana has two excellent cornerbacks, D’Angelo Ponds and Amare Ferrell, who’ve allowed a combined one touchdown this season. 

I expect Ponds to line up across from Buckeyes receiver Carnell Tate often while Ferrell deals with Emeka Egbuka. 

Of course, the Buckeyes top receiver this season is freshman Jeremiah Smith. He should have a slightly better matchup against Jamier Johnson, who’s allowed 32 receptions on 48 targets for 320 yards and two touchdowns. 

Ohio State ultimately wins this game, but Indiana will be able to slow down the running game, which includes running backs Quinshon Judkins, TreVeyon Henderson, and even quarterback Will Howard. 

The quarterbacks for each team are also quite similar statistically. They both rank inside the top six in completion percentage and are within 74 passing yards of one another. Howard has a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 24 and 5, while Kurtis Rourke is at 21 and 4. 

Indiana isn’t going down without a fight. This is the game of the year. 

Ohio State wins by less than a touchdown. 

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Miami (FL) -24.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Miami is coming off a bye week, but before that, they lost their first game of the season to Georgia Tech. 

In that game, they simply couldn’t stop the run. 

This week, they face a much easier rushing attack in the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, who are 94th in rushing yards per game at 129.9. 

I’m taking Miami here for two reasons. 

First, coming off a loss and a bye week, they’re more motivated than ever to put the pedal to the metal and win decisively. 

Second, Wake Forest allows 296.3 passing yards per game, which is the third most in the country. 

They have to try to slow down the nation’s leading passer, Hurricanes quarterback Cam Ward, who’s thrown 3,494 passing yards and 32 touchdowns. 

No other quarterback in the country has more than 27 passing touchdowns. 

Wake Forest averages over 250 passing yards per game, but their quarterback, Hank Bachmeier, also has seven interceptions over his last five games. 

The last time Wake Forest played a team similar in caliber to Miami was Clemson on Oct. 12, and they lost 49-14. 

Wake Forest is also coming off a game against North Carolina, where they allowed 230 total rushing yards. 

Bachmeier might be able to throw for a bunch of yards playing catch-up, but this Demon Deacons defense is in for a tough afternoon against Ward.

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Boise State -22.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Finally, I’m taking another favorite in Boise State. 

They’re coming off a 42-21 win over San Jose State, and this week, they’re on the road against the lowly Wyoming Cowboys. 

Of course, we all know the Broncos have running back Ashton Jeanty. He leads the nation in rushing at over 1,800 yards and has 26 rushing touchdowns. 

I expect a big performance from him this week as he takes on a Wyoming team that surrenders 209.8 rushing yards per game, which is 119th in the nation. 

Wyoming’s offense averages 140 rushing yards per game, but Boise State is one of the best run defenses, only giving up 100.1 per outing (sixth). 

Additionally, Boise State averages four sacks per game (second), which will be a tough task for a fairly solid Cowboys offensive line that’s only seen its quarterback sacked 15 times through 10 games. That said, they do allow 87 pressures (8.7 per game), so those pressures could turn into more sacks here. 

Jeanty will continue to run wild here on the road at Wyoming. 

Boise State narrowly covers, winning by 24.

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