Best NCAAF Week 11 Parlay Picks: Ohio State Poised to Clobber Purdue

• Ohio State allows just 12 points per game, which is third-best in the nation

• Georgia quarterback Carson Beck has thrown eight interceptions over the last three games

• Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty is averaging 4.3 yards per carry over the previous two weeks

Week 11 of the college football season has arrived, and each team has three or four games left in the regular season before we turn the page to conference title games and the College Football Playoff. 

Last week’s parlay was a disaster, admittedly. San Diego State got blown out, Duke kept it close against Miami but was outscored later in the game 36-3, and finally, Penn State’s offense couldn’t move the ball against Ohio State. 

Here, I’ll try to return to winning form by examining Ohio State, Georgia, and Nevada. 

This is a three-leg parlay with odds of +582, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and placing a winning $5 wager.

Ohio State -37.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Any time you lay 37.5 points, it is going to be a matter of whether or not Ohio State can manage to rack up enough points. Spoiler alert: they will. 

Ohio State boasts a fantastic defense, holding opponents to 12 points (third), 95.5 rushing yards (sixth), and 161.5 passing yards (seventh) per game. 

Purdue has scored 10 points or less four times this season in games against Oregon, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Notre Dame. 

Ohio State is coming off a Week 11 matchup in which it held Penn State’s offense to just six points (Penn State scored 13, but seven points came from a pick-six). 

Purdue allows 244.9 passing yards (103rd) and 203.2 rushing yards (121st) per game. 

Where I do give some pause is Purdue not allowing many passing touchdowns, but they do allow three rushing touchdowns per game, which bodes well against an Ohio State who has two fantastic running backs in TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins and quarterback Will Howard. 

Together, those three have 15 rushing scores. 

Purdue is 1-7 this season, and I simply don’t think they can crack 10 points. 

Ohio State averaged 37.8 points per game, but I think this offense, especially the ground game, results in several scores. 

Ohio State wins 47-7.

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Ole Miss +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

This is going to be an extremely close game, especially with this game taking place at Ole Miss. 

Ole Miss’s offense has been a bit all over the place this season, but in Week 10, Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart threw for 515 yards and six touchdowns. 

Ole Miss’s defense, though, allows 245.1 passing yards per game (91st), but lately, Georgia quarterback Carson Beck has played poorly. 

Beck has thrown eight interceptions over the last three games and 11 over the last five games. 

These interceptions came against teams like Florida, Texas, Mississippi State, and Alabama. 

For Ole Miss, if they can continue this trend of picking off Beck, this offense will be able to do enough to keep this close enough. 

Ole Miss averages 37.9 points per game (ninth), while Georgia averages 31 per game (36th). 

Looking at Dart’s last five games, Week 10 was certainly an outlier, but he doesn’t need to throw six touchdowns in this game.

Ole Miss will lose at home, but I expect this to be a lower-scoring game, especially given how turnover-prone Beck has been this season.

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Nevada +24.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In Week 11, Boise State plays host to Nevada, and while I’m anticipating a Boise State win, I think Nevada will keep this within 24. 

Nevada allows 156.4 rushing yards per game (80th), and they’ve also allowed 23 rushing touchdowns in 10 games.

These certainly aren’t encouraging figures with Ashton Jeanty on the docket against them, but he has slowed down a bit over the last two weeks.

He has 64 carries for 277 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. 

He’s still putting up the statistics, but the efficiency is down. 

Also, while Nevada allows 2.3 rushing touchdowns per game, they’ve held opponents to just one passing touchdown per game. 

Nevada will lose this by just over three touchdowns, but Jeanty’s efficiency dip will cause them to fall short of this spread. 

Boise State wins this one 42-21.

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