The Oklahoma City Thunder are the favorites to win the Western Conference
The Dallas Mavericks are the top contender to challenge Oklahoma City
Last year's Western Conference Champions were the Dallas Mavericks
The Western Conference is beginning to define its hierarchy. With the holidays ahead, the top contenders for the Western Conference have separated themselves from the pack. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Western Conference Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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Standing at the top of the odds table are the Oklahoma City Thunder, who have held firm as the best in the West despite significant lineup changes. The Dallas Mavericks are the top contender, as they have capitalized on a positive schedule. The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns are also top contenders, while the Golden State Warriors remain underdogs to win the West.
The Oklahoma City Thunder’s offseason roster reinforcement has paid off. While many thought their money could be spent more wisely, they’re finding success and have been the standard in the Western Conference. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the way for the Thunder, but their supporting cast of Williams, Hartenstein, and Dort have been just as valuable to their success.
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Who Is the Favorite to Win the Western Conference in 2025?
Oklahoma City Thunder (+170) at FanDuel
Year
Record
Finish
Off Rtg
Def Rtg
Pace
PPG
Opp PPG
2024-25
20-5, 1st in NBA Western Conference
-
115.8 (9th of 30)
103.7 (1st of 30)
99.8 (9th of 30)
115.6 (10th of 30)
103.5 (1st of 30)
Head Coach: Mark Daigneault
Key Players: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren
Key Additions: Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein
Key Losses: Josh Giddey, Bismack Biyombo, Gordon Hayward
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been excellent over the past two weeks, winning five out of five games. They started off the week strong, with wins over the Jazz, Raptors, and Pelicans. But they maintained their quality against Western Conference rivals the Mavericks and Rockets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 31.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists over that stretch and can cap off that phase with an Emirates NBA Cup victory!
Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green
The Dallas Mavericks have been in good form recently, winning five of their six games since the start of December. The offensive potential of Luka Dončić, Kyrie Irving, and Klay Thompson has been unmatched as of late, as the team is averaging 126.0 points per game on 51.4% shooting overall and 44.8% from beyond the arc. The Mavericks have shown the ability to take care of business against lesser squads, but it's time for them to earn statement wins against key Western Conference rivals.
Key Players: Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.
Key Additions: Dario Saric, Russell Westbrook
Key Losses: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Reggie Jackson
The Denver Nuggets have been positive through December, still relying upon the heavy production of Nikola Jokic while desperate for depth. They found victory over the Warriors, Hawks, and Clippers over the past two weeks while falling to the Cavaliers and Wizards. Jokic has been incredible over that stretch, averaging 37.0 points, 13.4 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per game. Having split their last ten games, the Nuggets are treading water in the West rather than making strides toward the top of the conference.
Key Players: Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Bradley Beal
Key Additions: Tyus Jones, Mason Plumlee, Monte Morris
Key Losses: Eric Gordon, Drew Eubanks, Ish Wainwright
The Phoenix Suns have had mixed results since December, but their steady play and some fortunate results from their rivals have kept them in the top six of the West. The Suns hold a 3-3 record for the month, securing wins against the Spurs, Jazz, and Trail Blazers. However, they’ve faced difficulties against tougher opponents like the Heat and Magic, giving up an average of 120.7 points per game on 49.8% shooting overall and 37.5% from beyond the arc. Devin Booker and Kevin Durant have been central to their gameplan, but their lack of depth has hurt their chances at success in the hyper-competitive Western Conference.
Who Is the Dark Horse to Win the 2025 NBA Western Conference?
Golden State Warriors (+1100) at FanDuel
Year
Record
Finish
Off Rtg
Def Rtg
Pace
PPG
Opp PPG
2024-25
14-11, 8th in NBA Western Conference
-
113.3 (14th of 30)
109.2 (6th of 30)
100.1 (7th of 30)
113.9 (13th of 30)
109.8 (8th of 30)
Head Coach: Steve Kerr
Key Players: Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga
Key Additions: Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Kyle Anderson
Key Losses: De’Anthony Melton, Klay Thompson, Chris Paul
The Golden State Warriors have hit a rough patch in their season, losing eight of their last 12. December has been particularly challenging, with the team conceding an average of 109.8 points per game on 47.3% shooting overall and 37.9% from beyond the arc. Despite Stephen Curry's impressive performances during this stretch—averaging 24.4 points and 4.4 made threes per game on 41.5% shooting—it hasn't been enough to keep the team on track. The acquisition of German point guard Dennis Schroder was the first domino to fall in the NBA's trade season, and don't think the Warriors will stop there.
Who is the reigning NBA Western Conference Champion?
The reigning Western Conference Champions are the Dallas Mavericks.
Who was the last Western Conference Finals MVP?
The last Western Conference Finals MVP was Luka Doncic of the Dallas Mavericks.
Does the Western Conference Finals MVP receive a trophy?
The Western Conference Finals MVP receives the Magic Johnson Trophy.
Which team has won the most NBA Western Conference Championships?
The Los Angeles Lakers have won the most Western Conference Championships with 19. They most recently won in 2020.
Which team has won the least NBA Western Conference Championships?
Five teams—the Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, LA Clippers, and Sacramento Kings—have yet to win a Western Conference Championship.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
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