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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction and Odds for December 11: Who Will Advance to the NBA Cup Semifinal?

Contributors
Published December 11, 2024
6 min read

The Golden State Warriors (14-9) and Houston Rockets (16-8) are set to face off in the Quarterfinal of the NBA Cup on Wednesday night.

The Dubs started the year on an excellent run but lost six of their last eight games. However, one of the wins during that stretch was a 99-93 home victory against the Rockets.

Houston has been very consistent and took down the LA Clippers 117-106 in its last appearance. The team sits third in the Western Conference and already beat several top contenders in the league.

Here, we will break down the odds and share our best Warriors vs. Rockets betting picks for the NBA In-Season Tournament.

Warriors vs Rockets Prediction Odds

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Odds for Wednesday, December 11

The Warriors are 14-9 (60.9 percent) against the spread, 7-3 (70 percent) ATS as an underdog, and 7-5 (58.3 percent) ATS on the road.

The Rockets are 16-8 (66.7 percent) ATS, 11-6 (64.7 percent) ATS as a favorite, and 9-3 (75 percent) ATS at home.

The following odds for the Warriors vs. Rockets game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to place your bets and claim up to $1,500 in bonus bets* with our promo code WSNSPORTS.

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Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Golden State Warriors +1.5 (-105) +105 Over 222.5 (-105)
Houston Rockets -1.5 (-115) -130 Under 222.5 (-115)
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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction

Golden State Warriors Preview

The Warriors have taken a unique approach to their season, opting to play as many as 12 or 13 players in the regular rotation and decreasing the maximum amount of minutes for the top players across the board in order to maximize their effort level when they are on the court. 

As evidence of that, only one player, Stephen Curry, averaged more than 30 minutes per night (30.5) and still played his fewest minutes per game since the 2011-12 campaign. 

The result of the experiment has seen the Warriors rank fourth in defensive and 15th in offensive efficiency with a +4.8 net rating (eighth). 

Those numbers were heavily influenced by the team’s recent eight-game cold streak, during which it posted the fourth-worst offensive rating and was down to 10th in defensive rating. 

One area where Golden State excels is at the three-point line. They hold their opponents to 33.4 percent shooting from range (third) and make 15.2 threes per game (seventh). They also have a productive (but not elite) bench unit and are seventh in rebound rate.

An easy area for them to improve is in their ball security, as they fell into bad habits over recent weeks following a great start to the season.

Jonathan Kuminga led the way with 33 points and seven rebounds the last time the Warriors faced the Rockets, while Andre Wiggins was next in line with 23 points and nine boards. Curry and Draymond Green were rested and did not play. 

Wiggins is questionable with an ankle injury, but the rest of the Warriors’ top players will all be available on Wednesday.

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Houston Rockets Preview

Ime Udoka continued the impressive foundation he built in Houston last year and has the Rockets playing like one of the best teams in the West. 

The team ranks second in defensive rating, only behind the Oklahoma City Thunder, and is 16th in offensive rating. It is also first in rebound rate and sixth in turnover frequency, which means that it ends its opponents' possessions quickly, earns second chances, and rarely gives away cheap baskets. 

Houston creates a lot of its offense with the help of young center Alperen Sengun. They run post-ups at the ninth-highest frequency and score the sixth-most points per possession on trips involving post-ups. 

Using Sengun as a hub for the offense allows a variety of actions to occur, whether that be cuts from their athletic wings, dives from their speedy guards, or off-ball screens that free up willing three-point shooters.

It’s also a stark contrast to the perimeter-centric approach used by the Warriors, who lead the league in possessions involving off-ball screens (part of why they’re fourth in three-point attempts per game).

While the Rockets might not seem like the fastest team in the world, they rank 13th in pace, not far off Golden State’s seventh. They won’t mind using their athleticism to run in transition, given they are second in both transition points scored and allowed. 

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Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Pick

This is a battle between two teams that have had some memorable face-offs in recent years and that play different styles but match each other’s level of intensity.

The Warriors have more experience with playoff-like atmospheres, but the Rockets are a group of hard-nosed individuals who love to face a variety of challenges. Houston can also play much better than it did in the recent loss to the Dubs, though they won without playing Green or Curry.

Ultimately, the Rockets are 9-3 at home, while the Warriors are 7-5 on the road. We believe that Houston’s defense will win out, especially if Golden State’s offense is going to continue its recent slump.

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How to Watch Warriors vs. Rockets on 12/11/24

  • When: Wednesday, Dec. 11 at 8:30/9:30 P.M. CT/ET

  • Where: Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX

  • TV: TNT

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Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
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