Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction and Odds: Ant Man Hosts Shai

The Oklahoma City Thunder (44-9) will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-25) in the final day of NBA action before the weekend All-Star break.

The Thunder lead the Western Conference by a staggering 8.5 games and won seven straight games. They went on a 24-0 run to open the fourth quarter last night to comfortably beat the Miami Heat despite ending the third down by 10 points.

The Timberwolves are also on the second night of a back-to-back, having just lost to the Milwaukee Bucks via an Anthony Edwards missed three-pointer at the end of regulation. They lost back-to-back games and fell to the Thunder by eight points in their only prior matchup.

Here, we will preview the Thursday night showdown and share our best Thunder vs. Timberwolves betting picks.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds for Thursday, February 13

The Thunder are 32-18-4 (64 percent) against the spread, 13-9-2 (59.1 percent) ATS on the road, and 31-17-4 (64.6 percent) ATS as a favorite. 

The Timberwolves are 23-31-1 (42.6 percent) ATS, 8-19-1 (29.6 percent) ATS at home, and 7-4-1 (63.6 percent) ATS as an underdog.

Odds for theThunder vs. Timberwolves game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to place your bets and Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

OKC isn’t viewed as a juggernaut because of its collective age and lack of playoff success. Heck, they couldn’t even get through an In-Season Tournament without getting demolished by the Milwaukee Bucks in the championship game.

All of that is soon to change. The Thunder have been nothing short of dominant and only recently added their second-best player, Chet Holmgren, back into the lineup. They’re also 18-6 on the road and have shown consistency night to night against opponents of all calibers.

The Thunder lead the league with a +15.4 net rating since the start of 2025, ranking first in defensive and third in offensive efficiency during that time. Those are nearly identical to their season numbers, which are first in defensive and sixth in offensive efficiency with a league-best +13.3 net rating.

What’s most impressive about the Thunder is that their numbers aren’t just empty calories. According to Cleaning the Glass, which filters out garbage times from its metrics, the Thunder lead the league in net rating against teams with top-10 point differentials, one of which is Minnesota.

OKC outscored these opponents by 11.3 points per 100 possessions, while the Timberwolves were fifth but only at +0.7.

The Thunder had a terrible start to the year shooting the ball. However, they shot up to sixth in made threes per game (15) over their last 10 games on 37.3 percent shooting. 

The only knock on OKC over the last couple of its seasons has been its ineffectiveness on the glass. In a limited two-game sample size since Holmgren returned to the lineup, they won the rebounding battle twice and posted a 51.4 percent rebound rate. That’s a dramatic improvement on their season rate of 49.3 percent, which ranked 21st in the league.

For comparison, a 51.4 percent rebound rate would rank sixth for the year. 

Over their last 10 games, most of those without Holmgren, they actually led the league in rebound rate at 53.8 percent.

If OKC can finally remove this weakness from its game, there won’t be any weaknesses for opponents to exploit. That’s what makes them terrifying.

Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

The Timberwolves entered the season with lofty expectations after they knocked the then-defending champion Denver Nuggets out of the playoffs and went on a run to the Western Conference Finals. 

Nearly everything that followed since then did not go according to plan. The Wolves are only five games above .500, seem to have some chemistry issues, and are even less dynamic offensively than they were last year.

The Wolves’ averages look solid on paper. They rank sixth in defensive and eighth in offensive rating, giving them a +5.3 net rating (eighth) since the start of 2025. 

Meanwhile, they’re sixth in defensive and 14th in offensive rating with a +3.2 net rating (ninth) for the season as a whole. They’re also 10th in rebound rate and 23rd in turnover frequency.

In many ways, Minnesota’s shortcomings can be explained by their late-game performances. They have a -9.8 net rating in clutch games, defined as scenarios in which the score is within five points in the final five minutes of a game. That makes them the fifth-worst team in these scenarios, even below bottomfeeders such as the Toronto Raptors, Brooklyn Nets, and Portland Trail Blazers.

Only one team, the Houston Rockets, joins Minnesota as being outside of the top 11 in clutch time. And again, Minnesota is 26th.

The team’s struggles down the stretch reflect some of its overarching issues because of the burden placed at the feet of Anthony Edwards. He’s had to take 10.1 threes per game, the third-most in the league, because opposing teams have been allowed to load up the lane to stop his drives without fear of being punished from the weak side.

The floor-spacing element of Karl-Anthony Towns also no longer exists, Donte DiVincenzo hasn’t changed life in Minnesota, and Mike Conley is another year older. Even Rudy Gobert has been only slightly above average per a variety of advanced defensive metrics. 

All that said, this is still a feisty team with the talent to compete—they just might be a little short in the marquee matchups.

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Pick

Thunder vs. Timberwolves pick: Thunder -7.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Thunder were the best team in the league during the pre-All-Star Game portion of the season. Their dramatic comeback against the Heat on Wednesday proved yet again that they can win seemingly whenever they want to, and that they are fierce competitors with unrelenting motors.

The Wolves’ biggest challenge will be finding someone to create offense without involving Edwards. Julius Randle needs to have a big night if he can exploit mismatches against some of OKC’s smaller defenders, and giving more minutes to Rob Dillingham could be an answer to catalyzing the second unit. 

Edwards was wildly inefficient last night, shooting 10-33 from the field and 4-17 from three. We don’t expect him to be any better against the best defense in the league, which is why we’d lay the points with the visitors.

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How to Watch Thunder vs. Timberwolves on 2/13/25

• When: Thursday, February 13 @ 7:30/8:30 p.m. CT/ET 7:00 p.m. ET

• Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

• TV: TNT/truTV/Max

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