Suns vs. Warriors Prediction and Odds for January 31: Former Teammates Durant, Curry Meet Again

The Phoenix Suns (24-22) are heading west to take on the Golden State Warriors (24-23) for a matchup between Pacific Division opponents on Friday night. 

The Suns fell at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves their last time on the court and are 9-13 on the road. They’re 1-1 against the Warriors and lost their previous road encounter 109-105 when they met on Dec. 28.

The Dubs won back-to-back games, the most recent of which was against the Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder and despite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 52 points. Their once-palpable home-court advantage has essentially disappeared, as they’re only 14-12 in their arena.

Here, we will preview the matchup and share our best Suns vs. Warriors betting picks.

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Odds for Friday, January 31

The Suns are a league-worst 16-29-1 (35.6 percent) against the spread, 9-13 (40.9 percent) ATS on the road, and 10-19-1 (34.5 percent) ATS as a favorite.

The Warriors are 23-23-1 (50 percent) ATS, 12-14 (46.2 percent) ATS at home, and 12-9 (57.1 percent) ATS as an underdog.

Suns vs. Warriors Prediction

Phoenix Suns Preview

It’s early, but the Suns might be turning their season around. Their recent trade addition of center Nick Richards and shuffling of their rotation helped the Suns go 4-2 over their last six games, with the only losses coming to the Timberwolves and the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Phoenix has always had talent—its problem has been putting together consistent stretches of winning play, particularly against elite competition. That requires sustained defensive efforts, relentless rebounding, conscious and intelligent ball movement, and attention to detail… basically everything other than pure bucket-getting, which they have in spades with Kevin Durant and Devin Booker.

In the six games with Richards, the Suns are 17th in offensive and 14th in defensive rating with a +1.0 net rating (15th). Those are both gentle deviations from their season marks of 12th in offensive and 23rd in defensive rating with a -1.0 net rating (17th).

Unfortunately for Phoenix, the team has been much worse on the road. They were outscored by 4.0 points per 100 possessions and won just one of their last seven road matchups with Western Conference opponents.

As dominant as Richards has been on the glass, averaging 8.1 rebounds and grabbing 11+ in three of six games with his new team, the Suns are also just 13th in rebound rate and 18th in second-chance points since his arrival.

On a more positive note, both Durant and Booker are playing great basketball as of late. The former put up 33 points, seven rebounds, four blocks, and two steals on 68.4 percent shooting while the latter had 28 points and eight assists in their last game.

They both also played at least 39 minutes in three straight games and should spend a ton of time on the court on Friday.

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Golden State Warriors Preview

The Warriors have a real problem on their hands. Yes, they did the unthinkable and took down the Thunder two nights ago, but Steph Curry is aging quickly.

The best shooter in the history of the sport only averaged 22.3 points per game and had two games in the last 20 days in which he shot below 25 percent from the field. He’s still capable of scorching the nets and held onto a 41.5 percent shooting percentage from three in the New Year, but his off-nights are no longer uncharacteristic.

The Warriors are also just 12-20 since their 12-3 start to the campaign. Their roster is not outfitted with complementary pieces, their offensive system no longer adheres to what they built during their dynastic years, and they can’t play Curry heavy minutes because of his age.

The Warriors are 15th in offensive and 23rd in defensive rating with a -1.5 net rating (19th) in 2025. They’re also 15th in offensive but ninth in defensive rating for the year as a whole, which shows some of the struggles they’ve had on that end of the court recently.

That coincides with injuries to Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga, both of whom will miss the Friday contest.

This could be a turning point for the Dubs’ season if they can use the momentum they built in their last two wins, the latter of which came against the best team in the conference. The Suns are vulnerable, particularly on the road, and Golden State already took them down at home.

A loss would serve as a reminder that this is just what the Warriors are now, which is the 11th-place team in the Western Conference and firmly out of championship contention.

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Suns vs. Warriors Betting Pick

• Suns vs. Warriors pick: Suns ML (-115) at BetMGM

The Suns played better basketball with Richards on the floor, but the Warriors typically do a nice job limiting the impact of “traditional” big men who aren’t elite talents, though that will be harder without Green or Kuminga.

The Suns’ stars enter the game in a nice rhythm, while Curry is a bit of a coin flip at the moment. He also plays far fewer minutes than Durant and Booker and is relying on lesser-heralded players to support him.

The Suns have been bad on the road, but the Warriors are missing two of their best players and haven’t shown enough for us to believe they’ll have the mental fortitude to remain focused on the Suns after a landmark victory over the Thunder. We’d take the Suns on the moneyline here.

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How to Watch Suns vs. Warriors on 1/31/25

• When: Friday, January 31 @ 7:00/10:00 p.m. PT/ET

• Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

• TV: ESPN

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