Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction and Odds for November 8: Future WCF Preview

The Phoenix Suns (7-1) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (5-3) in a Western Conference matchup filled with a few of the game’s best and brightest.

The Suns’ impressive start under coach Mike Budenholzer has seen them win six straight games. The ageless Kevin Durant is having another spectacular season, while the team cohesion seems to be well beyond what it was a year ago.

On the other side, the Mavericks haven’t been overwhelmingly consistent, but they already beat a couple of contenders and registered each of their last two wins by at least 20 points.

Here, we will analyze the odds and share our favorite betting picks for the Suns vs. Mavericks matchup.

Suns vs. Mavericks Betting Odds for Friday, November 8

The Suns are 2-6 (25 percent) against the spread, 1-1 ATS as an underdog, and 1-2 (33.3 percent) ATS on the road.

The Mavericks are 4-4 (50 percent) ATS, 3-4 (42.9 percent) ATS as the favorite, and 3-3 (50 percent) ATS at home.

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Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction

Phoenix Suns Preview

Phoenix already took down Dallas at home on October 26 in the first week of the season. Luka Doncic went for 40 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Durant and Jusuf Nurkic both had excellent games.

The biggest difference between this version of the Suns and the one that existed for the last couple of years is that they now play connected to one another. When the ball is in the opposite corner, players are diving and repositioning to constantly create scrambles for the defense, leading to drives or open threes.

The added ball movement allowed the Suns to shoot 38.3 percent from three, the fifth-highest mark in the league. They also rank eighth with 39.5 three-point attempts per game, a 22.3 percent increase from the 32.3 they took on average last season, which ranked 25th in the league.

The team defense has also been impressive thus far. Rookie Ryan Dunn has been outstanding, while Durant and Devin Booker have both accepted defensive challenges and inspired better play from their teammates.

All in all, the Suns rank eighth with a 109.5 defensive rating.

The team doesn’t excel in every category, but even their “low” marks in rebound rate and assist-to-turnover ratio are still in the top half of the league. They also rank 10th in bench net rating and are a very well-rounded team at this current time.

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Dallas Mavericks Preview

The Mavericks’ preferred attack is no secret. They want to create their offense off the dribble with the brilliance of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who can use the lob threat of Daniel Gafford or Dereck Lively II, kick to P.J. Washington in the corner, or find Klay Thompson curling off a screen or pin-down for a moving three.

The Mavs are only 15th in offensive rating, but they are explosive and will get buckets in a hurry once they find their rhythm.

Interestingly, the Dallas defense has been excellent thus far. That’s despite losing Derrick Jones Jr., who was their point-of-attack defender during the playoffs and regular season last campaign. 

The Mavs rank third in the NBA with a 107.2 defensive rating, which is even better than what last year’s league-leaders, the Minnesota Timberwolves, managed. 

Dallas, just like Phoenix, is terrible on the offensive glass and average on the defensive side. They’re also shooting just 35.5 percent from three-point land despite a scorching -hot start from Irving, who’s at 54.5 percent from three on 5.5 attempts per game.

The biggest domino in the matchup is Klay Thompson. Booker, Durant, Doncic, and Irving will cancel each other out to a certain extent, and Thompson needs to make enough threes to counteract the shot Phoenix creates with its great spacing. He only averaged 14.5 points per game but made at least three threes on 46.7 percent shooting from deep in his last two games.

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Suns vs. Mavericks Betting Pick

• Suns vs. Mavericks pick: Mavericks -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM

The Suns have been incredibly solid up to this point. Doncic and Booker also bring the best out of one another, while the same can be said for Durant and Irving.

This is a matchup between two teams that can get incandescent on offense, but that have a defensive backbone that is flying under the radar.

Predicting a winner in this game is all about figuring out which team will knock down its shots. Dallas’ defense has been excellent, and the offense can only improve, so we like them to get the job done at home.

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How to Watch Suns vs. Mavericks on 11/7/24

• When: Friday, Nov. 8 @ 7:30/8:30 p.m. CT/ET

• Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

• TV: ESPN

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