The Phoenix Suns (15-18) will face the Philadelphia 76ers (14-19) in a matchup between two star-studded but struggling teams in the City of Brotherly Love on Monday night.
The Suns enter the matchup riding a four-game losing streak and are only 5-10 on the road. Lots of their crisp ball movement and impressive defense have totally disappeared, resulting in a sharp decline in their championship future odds.
The Sixers beat the Brooklyn Nets by 29 points their last time out and won 11 of their last 16 after starting the season as poorly as anyone. Joel Embiid scored at least 27 points in five straight games and is finally regaining his rhythm after he made very sporadic appearances earlier in the season.
Here, we will analyze the matchup and share our best Suns vs. 76ers betting picks for Monday night.
The Suns are a league-worst 11-22 (33.3 percent) against the spread, 6-9 (40 percent) ATS on the road, and 5-9 (35.7 percent) ATS as an underdog.
The 76ers are 13-19-1 (40.6 percent) ATS, 4-10 (28.6 percent) ATS at home, and 6-13 (31.6 percent) ATS as a favorite.
Odds for the Suns vs. 76ers game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Phoenix Suns | +3.5 (-110) | +140 | Over 223.5 (-110) |
Philadelphia 76ers | -3.5 (-110) | -165 | Under 223.5 (-110) |
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It’s panic time in the desert.
A team that mortgaged its future and salary to partner Devin Booker with megastar talents Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal is only 13th in offensive rating over its last 15 games during which it went 5-10.
Meanwhile, the defense was a pitiful 26th in points allowed per 100 possessions during that same time, resulting in a net rating of -3.3 (21st). They also ranked 15th in turnover frequency and 28th in rebound rate during that same time.
Clearly, the team’s recent performances are a far cry from the ones they produced during an impressive start to the season.
Phoenix is 10th in offensive and 23rd in defensive rating for the season as a whole and has a -6.1 net rating on the road.
While they do not struggle to make threes, they are in the bottom 10 for three-point percentage allowed. They’re also 19th in points in the paint, 21st in fastbreak points, and 23rd in second-chance points allowed per game.
Kevin Durant has done his job and is coming off of a month in which he averaged 28.8 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.6 assists on 49 percent shooting. Devin Booker hasn’t been as efficient of a scorer as he has at any point past the first two seasons of his career, and the rest of the starting lineup hasn’t been that effective despite the bench clocking in at eighth in net rating among reserves.
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The Sixers’ season is hard to understand based on cumulative metrics. They’ve dealt with a variety of injuries, were without their star player for more games than not, and had to blend a new arrival who is used to having the ball in his hands (Paul George) with their already-established stars.
The best of the 76ers could be on the near horizon. They ranked eighth in offensive and 15th in defensive rating over their last 10 games, leading to a net rating of +1.6 (11th). They were still terrible on the boards during that stretch (26th in rebound rate), but they shot the ball well and played to their preferred slower tempo (23rd in pace).
The Sixers are just 25th in home net rating for the year at -5.2, putting them sandwiched between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Charlotte Hornets.
Philly struggles to win the battle on the perimeter, ranking 11th in threes allowed per game and only checking in at 25th in the leaderboard for made threes per game.
They counteract that by dominate the foul battle and making more free throws per game than any team in the league. Phoenix, for comparison, is ninth.
Regardless of the Suns’ struggles as a team, they still have two players in Durant and Booker that can take over a game at any time. That puts pressure on Embiid, who averaged 28 points and 13 rebounds in two games in January, to answer the bell.
Tyree Maxey, who averaged 25.2 points and 5.5 assists but shot the ball poorly in three straight games, will also need to be at full attention.
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Suns vs. 76ers pick: Suns +3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
This matchup offers an opportunity for both teams to right their ships against a team that is large in stature but that hasn’t produced on the court.
The Sixers have played better as of late, but the Suns have the talent and showed they can be an elite team earlier in the year. It’s on them to regain the form they had and to sustain it for longer durations.
Ultimately, we like the Suns to battle back from a four-game losing streak and to momentarily restore their hopes against a Philly team that is getting better but is far from the finished product.
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When: Monday, January 6 @ 7:00 p.m. ET
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBA TV
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