Spurs vs. Hawks Prediction and Odds February 5: Fox Set to Make Spurs Debut

The San Antonio Spurs (21-26) are going on the road to take on the Atlanta Hawks (23-27) in a cross-conference matchup between young stars on Wednesday.

Recent trade acquisition De’Aaron Fox is expected to make his Spurs debut as he prepares to team up with Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and the Spurs’ young core. They lost 10 of their last 13 but are now adding a 25-point per game scorer and one of the NBA’s best late-game finishers.

The Hawks, on the other hand, took down the Detroit Pistons thanks to a Trae Young game-winner their last time on the court, which marked the end of an eight-game losing streak. They’re .500 at home but lost to the Spurs by seven points in overtime when they met on Dec. 19.

Here, we will preview the matchup and share our best Spurs vs. Hawks betting picks for Wednesday night.

Spurs vs. Hawks Betting Odds for Wednesday, February 5

The Spurs are 23-24 (48.9 percent) against the spread, 11-10 (52.4 percent) ATS on the road, and 8-7 (53.3 percent) ATS as a favorite.

The Hawks are 22-28 (44 percent) ATS, 9-13 (40.9 percent) ATS at home, and 18-13 (58.1 percent) ATS as an underdog.

Odds for the Spurs vs. Hawks game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to place your bets and Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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Spurs vs. Hawks Prediction

San Antonio Spurs Preview

Fox is going to make an immediate impact on the roster. He will add more rim pressure to the starting lineup, even more than what was already added by Castle. That will be felt when opposing big men have to stay attached to Victor Wembanyama on the perimeter, leaving the traditional spot for rim protection vacated, and creating driving lanes for Fox.

Even Wembanyama isn’t averaging 25 points per game, which means Fox will be the team’s most qualified scorer the moment he steps on the court. There could be tempo issues with Chris Paul also on the court and redundancy when Castle gets his turn, but this deal cannot be classified as anything other than a massive success.

That said, the offense is going to take time. Paul and Fox both need the ball in their hands, and Fox and Castle have similar offensive approaches and won’t create spacing beyond the arc.

The Spurs ranked 16th in offensive and 28th in defensive rating over their last 10 games, resulting in a -5.2 net rating (24th). They’re also 18th in offensive and 17th in defensive rating for the year with a -1.9 net rating (20th). 

Any team with Wemby should be a top-10 defense in the league, plain and simple. 

Opposing teams shoot 2.7 percent worse in effective field goal percentage when he is on the court compared to when he is off of it, which puts him in the 87th percentile for big men. He’s also the clear-cut league-leader in blocks per game (3.9) and has an individual defensive rating of 109.1, which would rank fifth among all teams.  

The Spurs were outscored by an average of 4.5 points per 100 possessions across all of their road games. However, they shot the sixth-best percentage from three-point territory over their last 10 games and now have another punch in their attack.

Atlanta Hawks Preview

Trae Young said that his missing out on another All-Star Game is no longer him being snubbed, it’s being “Trae’d.” 

The 26-year-old averaged 23 points and 11.5 assists and dropped 34 points in two straight games. With Jalen Johnson, Bogdan Bogdanovic, and Clint Capela all out on Wednesday night, this should be another installment of the Trae show in ATL.

The Hawks ranked 27th in offensive and 14th in defensive rating over their last 10 games, a near-perfect opposite of the Spurs. They posted a -7.2 net rating (26th) during that time, well down on their season rating of -3.0 (21st to San Antonio’s 20th).

The Hawks’ stockpile of athletic guards, rim-protecting big men, and an elite disruptor in Dyson Daniels should be enough for them to, like the Spurs, roll out an above-average defense at worst. That has not happened.

On a more positive note, rookie first-overall pick Zaccharie Risacher finally came alive. The 19-year-old Frenchman averaged 21.3 points on 64.7 percent shooting over his last three games, both substantial improvements from his season averages of 11.3 points on 42 percent shooting.

The Hawks are .500 at home, yet they were outscored by 2.1 points per 100 possessions during those games. 

Looking back at their only previous matchup with the Spurs this season, De’Andre Hunter dropped 27 points off the bench, while Young had 23 points and 16 rebounds. 

The night belonged to Wembanyama, who poured in 42 points, six rebounds, five assists, and four blocks.

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Spurs vs. Hawks Betting Pick

• Spurs vs. Hawks pick: Hawks +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM

There’s a ton of excitement surrounding the Spurs and Fox’s impending debut… but we’d urge caution due to the inevitable struggle to assimilate that will occur because of Paul’s need for the ball and Castle’s tendency to occupy the same spaces.

San Antonio has also been very bad on the road and unable to string together multiple stops. The Hawks’ offense has been terrible, but they’ve finally started to reach some of their defensive potential.

We love the Spurs’ long-term outlook with the Fox-Wemby combo, but we’d take the Hawks with the points in their building on Wednesday night.

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How to Watch Spurs vs. Hawks on 2/5/25

• When: Wednesday, February 5 @ 7:00 ET

• Where: State Farm Center, Atlanta, GA

• TV: ESPN

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