The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies are the top contender to win the Southwest this season.
Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks.
With the NBA season just around the corner, the race for the Southwest Division crown has begun! A division that boasts talent that could lead the NBA in the future, each team is desperate to lay their claim on the division title this year. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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After winning the Southwest Division and Western Conference in 2024, Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks are favorites to take the division crown in 2025. However, Ja Morant returns for the Memphis Grizzlies, while the new Dejounte Murray-led New Orleans Pelicans are ready to show they’re serious contenders in the West. On the outside looking in are Alperen Sengun’s Houston Rockets and Victor Wembanyama’s San Antonio Spurs – two teams looking to build off disappointing campaigns last season.
Let's check out the bets!
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Team | Odds |
---|---|
Dallas Mavericks | +140 BET HERE |
Memphis Grizzlies | +260 BET HERE |
New Orleans Pelicans | +390 BET HERE |
Houston Rockets | +550 BET HERE |
San Antonio Spurs | +2100 BET HERE |
The Dallas Mavericks took inspiration from their recent showing in the 2024 NBA Playoffs and made some moves to improve their roster for the 2024-25 regular season. Luka Doncic will lead the way, but now he and Kyrie Irving have the support of four-time NBA Champion Klay Thompson. The Mavericks still operate around Luka Doncic, but his potential for success has only grown with an improved supporting cast.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | 50-32 | Finished 5th in NBA Western Conference | 117.6 (10th of 30) | 115.4 (18th of 30) | 100.1 (6th of 30) | 117.9 (7th of 30) | 115.6 (20th of 30) |
Head Coach: Jason Kidd
Key Players: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson
Key Additions: Klay Thompson, Spencer Dinwiddie, Quentin Grimes
Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green
The Dallas Mavericks shocked the league by reaching the NBA Finals in 2024. However, when they came up against the Celtics, they were outmatched. Luka Doncic is an MVP-worthy talent and one of the best players in the NBA, but the Mavericks had to take steps to reduce his burden throughout the season. Enter Klay Thompson, probably the league’s premiere role player who is expected to thrive with Doncic and Irving’s playmaking ability. Dallas did lose two of their best perimeter defenders this offseason, so don’t think it’s an easy swap that will result in immediate success. Still, Doncic has carried Dallas through some of their worst defensive showings.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | 27-55 | Finished 13th in NBA Western Conference | 107.2 (30th of 30) | 114.3 (12th of 30) | 98.2 (16th of 30) | 105.8 (30th of 30) | 112.8 (12th of 30) |
Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins
Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Additions: Zach Edey
Key Losses: Derrick Rose
The Memphis Grizzlies struggled through the 2023-24 NBA season due to on and off-court issues. Ja Morant played just nine games after serving a 25-game suspension and suffering a season-ending injury. Leadership was left to Desmond Bane, who played just 42 games, and Jaren Jackson Jr. With their core trio expected to return to the court, Memphis expects to pick up where they left off in 2023 and challenge for the Southwest and the Western Conference crown. Bringing in two-time National College Player of the Year Zach Edey was Memphis’ most significant move this summer, who they hope can fill the void left at center since the departure of Steven Adams. There’s a lot for the Grizzlies to catch up on, but if they can remain healthy and reignite the quality that saw them win 51 games in 2023, Memphis will be right back in title contention.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | 49-33 | Finished 7th in NBA Western Conference | 117.4 (11th of 30) | 112.9 (7th of 30) | 97.9 (17th of 30) | 115.1 (13th of 30) | 110.7 (8th of 30) |
Head Coach: Willie Green
Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum
Key Additions: Dejounte Murray, Daniel Theis
Key Losses: Jonas Valanciunas, Larry Nance Jr., Cody Zeller
It was a rollercoaster season for the New Orleans Pelicans through 2023-24. They started strong behind the efforts of Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Still, once again, injuries defined their season as they were eliminated in the Play-In despite the efforts of veteran guard CJ McCollum. The Pelicans are still trying to compete, though, recently adding All-Star Dejounte Murray to a lineup that boasts four All-Star talents. Their frontcourt is thin after losing Jonas Valancunas and Larry Nance Jr. in the offseason, so expect the starting five to carry a heavy burden this season. On paper, the Pelicans boast one of the most intimidating lineups in the division.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | 41-41 | Finished 11th in NBA Western Conference | 114.5 (20th of 30) | 113.4 (9th of 30) | 99.0 (13th of 30) | 114.3 (16th of 30) | 113.2 (14th of 30) |
Head Coach: Ime Udoka
Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green
Key Additions: Reed Sheppard
Key Losses: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic
The Houston Rockets’ 2023-24 season ended up being another development year. Despite a hot start, the Rockets struggled to find consistency late, and their veteran talent wasn’t enough to lead them to the postseason. A solid defensive outfit, Houston enters the 2024-25 season with hopes of creating a cohesive offense with Alperen Sengun as the central figure. They didn’t make any significant moves this offseason, but third-overall pick Reed Sheppard projects to be a positive addition. For now, the Rockets lack the central focus many expect of a competitive team, yet they show flashes of brilliance that can’t be ignored.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | 22-60 | Finished 14th in NBA Western Conference | 110.0 (26th of 30) | 116.4 (22nd of 30) | 101.1 (3rd of 30) | 112.1 (23rd of 30) | 118.6 (24th of 30) |
Head Coach: Gregg Popovich
Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, Devin Vassell
Key Additions: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle
Key Losses: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham
The San Antonio Spurs’ 2023-24 season was built around introducing Victor Wembanyama to the world and the NBA stage. The French international was stellar, winning Rookie of the Year and coming second in voting for Defensive Player of the Year. Looking forward, the Spurs are still a rebuilding squad, and adding Chris Paul and Harrison Barnes to the lineup adds a sorely needed veteran presence. Gregg Popovich has the opportunity to lay the foundation for one of the NBA’s biggest stars, but that doesn’t mean they’ll be competing for meaningful positions this season. Unless the Spurs prospects take a massive leap this season, expect them to be among the bottom third of the West again this year.
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