The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025
The Houston Rockets are the top contender to win the Southwest this season
Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks
The contenders for the Southwest have held firm, owing to their competitiveness. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest despite not sitting first in the division at the moment. The Houston Rockets are the top contender as they continue to exceed expectations, while the Memphis Grizzlies are just behind them with the best record in the Southwest. On the outside looking in are the improving San Antonio Spurs and the depleted and struggling New Orleans Pelicans.
The Memphis Grizzlies are on a roll. Despite an injury to their star rookie center Zach Edey, Memphis’ seasons of starless play have proven invaluable to the development of their role players. Those role players have been core to the support of Memphis’ star trio of Morant, Bane, and Jackson Jr., helping them get back on the title contention track!
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Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green
The Dallas Mavericks have found their form as of late, going 5-1 since the beginning of December. As expected, their offense, led by Doncic, Irving, and Thompson, has been difficult for opponents to overcome. Dallas’ offense has been fantastic, putting up 126.0 points per game on 51.4% from the field and 44.8% from three. They’ve benefitted from their schedule against lower-quality opponents but need to start earning victories over their top Western Conference rivals.
Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?
Houston Rockets (+220) at FanDuel
Year
Record
Finish
Off Rtg
Def Rtg
Pace
PPG
Opp PPG
2024-25
17-9, 3rd in NBA Western Conference
-
111.6 (19th of 30)
105.6 (2nd of 30)
99.3 (13th of 30)
112.1 (16th of 30)
106.1 (4th of 30)
Head Coach: Ime Udoka
Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green
Key Additions: Reed Sheppard
Key Losses: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic
The Houston Rockets remain among the brightest young teams in the NBA, fighting amongst the top four in the Western Conference. They’ve not dominated their December schedule so far, going 3-3, which included a run to the Semi-Finals of the Emirates NBA Cup. Their defensive standards remain high, but they’ve not been consistent on offense, scoring just 101.6 points per game on 42.3% from the field and 29.3% from three.
Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Additions: Zach Edey
Key Losses: Derrick Rose
The Memphis Grizzlies are looking good! After seasons of struggle due to injury and suspension to their most prominent stars, the Grizzlies are back to playing at a high level with a full complement. The Grizzlies have gone 4-2 over the past two weeks, earning notable wins over the Kings, Celtics, and Nets. Their offense has been brilliant, averaging 123.8 points per game on 48.0% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range.
Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, Devin Vassell
Key Additions: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle
Key Losses: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham
The San Antonio Spurs are improving, but their relative inexperience has kept them from making any significant progress in the division or the Western Conference. They have gone 2-4 over the past week, regressing on the defensive end as they’ve allowed 120.2 points per game on 49.4% shooting and 39.2% from three-point range. Given the competition in the Southwest Division, don’t expect the Spurs to compete for the division crown without a significant run to change the odds.
Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum
Key Additions: Dejounte Murray, Daniel Theis
Key Losses: Jonas Valanciunas, Larry Nance Jr., Cody Zeller
The New Orleans Pelicans are in what looks to be an unrecoverable state this season. Depleted by injuries, the Pelicans have fallen to the bottom of the Western Conference and the Southwest Division. The Pelicans have one win in seven games this December, allowing 119.4 points per game on 47.9% shooting efficiency. As their eyes focus on the draft lottery, the team’s focus has centered around developing young talents like Yves Missi and Herbert Jones.
The Dallas Mavericks won the Southwest Division in 2023-24. They finished with a 50-32 overall record and an 11-5 record against their division.
How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?
Southwest Division teams have won the NBA Championship eight times. The San Antonio has won the Larry O'Brien most, and most recently, with five. The Houston Rockets won their NBA Championships back-to-back in 1994 and 1995. The Dallas Mavericks won their sole NBA Championship in 2011.
Who are the top players in the Southwest Division?
The top players in the Southwest Division are Luka Doncic (DAL), Kyrie Irving (DAL), Ja Morant (MEM), Victor Wembanyama (SAS), Alperen Sengun (HOU), and C.J. McCollum (NOP).
Which team has won the Southwest Division most?
The San Antonio Spurs have won the Southwest Division most, owning nine titles. The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks are second with four division titles. The Memphis Grizzlies have won the Southwest twice, and the New Orleans Pelicans have won it once.
Do the Southwest Division Champions receive a trophy?
Yes, since the 2021-22 NBA season, the Southwest Division champions have received the Willis Reed Trophy.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
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