The Houston Rockets are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies are the top contender to win the Southwest this season.
Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks.
There's been a change at the top of the Southwest Division, and it likely won't be the last this season! At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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The Houston Rockets claim the top spot in the odds table to win the Northwest Division, relegating the Memphis Grizzlies to top contender status for now. The Dallas Mavericks are still in the running for the division crown, though their standards have dropped without Doncic available. The San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans round out the group, whose inconsistency will keep them from the Willis Reed Trophy this year.
Let's check out the bets!
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and place your bets on the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. Also, check out our list of the best NBA betting sites for more betting opportunities.
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Houston Rockets | -115 BET HERE |
Memphis Grizzlies | +105 BET HERE |
Dallas Mavericks | +2000 BET HERE |
San Antonio Spurs | +40000 BET HERE |
New Orleans Pelicans | +50000 BET HERE |
My Pick: Houston Rockets (-115) at FanDuel
The Houston Rockets have impressed through the first half of the regular season. They were expected to improve, but their run in the Western Conference has them competing at the top of the standings. Ime Udoka’s squad has shown two-way quality, while the star-like growth of Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green has exceeded expectations.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 28-14, 2nd in NBA Western Conference | - | 114.3 (12th of 30) | 108.3 (2nd of 30) | 98.9 (17th of 30) | 113.8 (13th of 30) | 107.8 (4th of 30) |
Head Coach: Ime Udoka
Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green
Key Additions: Reed Sheppard
Key Losses: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic
Don’t look now, but the Houston Rockets are the favorite to win the Southwest Division! A 3-1 week saw them take down the Grizzlies, Nuggets, and Trail Blazers to secure their hold on second in the Western Conference. Known for their stellar defense, the Rockets stepped up their offensive standards last week, putting up 125.0 points per game on 49.7% from the field and 44.4% from three-point range. Despite their success, a half-game lead on second in the Northwest isn’t enough to lock in the division title for them yet.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 28-15, 3rd in NBA Western Conference | - | 117.4 (5th of 30) | 109.6 (5th of 30) | 104.8 (1st of 30) | 123.1 (1st of 30) | 114.9 (22nd of 30) |
Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins
Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Additions: Zach Edey
Key Losses: Derrick Rose
The Memphis Grizzlies had the opportunity to make a statement last week but failed to complete their task. Despite going 2-1 with back-to-back wins over the Spurs, Memphis dropped a narrow affair to the Rockets, allowing their Southwest rivals the lead in the division. Despite it all, their offense is clicking, averaging 129.0 points per game and 53.2% from the field, even with several injuries that have kept key role players out.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 23-20, 7th in NBA Western Conference | - | 115.9 (8th of 30) | 112.5 (12th of 30) | 99.1 (12th of 30) | 115.2 (10th of 30) | 111.8 (12th of 30) |
Head Coach: Jason Kidd
Key Players: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson
Key Additions: Klay Thompson, Spencer Dinwiddie, Quentin Grimes
Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green
The Dallas Mavericks are treading water in the Southwest Division with Luka Doncic unavailable, and the task is growing more complicated each week. Through a 1-3 week, the Mavericks dropped games to the Nuggets and Pelicans but defeated the West-leading Thunder. They’ve been struggling on the glass as of late, losing the rebounding battle by 11.5 on average last week, so expect the Mavericks to adjust going into the midway point of the season.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 19-22, 12th in NBA Western Conference | - | 112.5 (18th of 30) | 113.9 (16th of 30) | 98.8 (19th of 30) | 111.6 (16th of 30) | 113.0 (15th of 30) |
Head Coach: Gregg Popovich
Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, Devin Vassell
Key Additions: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle
Key Losses: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham
The San Antonio Spurs have hit a rough patch in their season, and it has seen them tumble down the standings. A 1-3 week saw the Spurs drop games to the Grizzlies and Heat despite an impressive win over the Lakers. Their defense has dropped off, allowing 124.8 points per game on 51.0% from the field, with 16.8 made threes over that stretch.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 12-32, 14th in NBA Western Conference | - | 109.8 (25th of 30) | 117.9 (27th of 30) | 99.0 (16th of 30) | 109.2 (24th of 30) | 117.2 (25th of 30) |
Head Coach: Willie Green
Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum
Key Additions: Dejounte Murray, Daniel Theis
Key Losses: Jonas Valanciunas, Larry Nance Jr., Cody Zeller
The New Orleans Pelicans are beyond challenging for the Southwest Division title, but they’ve turned around their play as of late with several impressive performances. Going 3-1 last week, the Pelicans averaged 123.3 points per game on 45.4% from the field while hitting 16.5 threes per game. Zion Williamson has looked solid in his return, averaging 20.3 points, 9.3 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.7 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game in three appearances.
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