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The Houston Rockets are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies are the top contender to win the Southwest this season.
Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks.
The Southwest Division has been revitalized this year, but a massive trade by one of its top contenders has shaken up the odds table. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
For the best NBA Futures bets, WSN has you covered with betting picks and tips every day throughout the 2024-25 NBA season and playoffs! New sports bettors can use the best NBA sportsbook promos and bonuses before their favorite team tips off!
After a strong run, the Memphis Grizzlies are the favorites to win the Southwest Division. The Houston Rockets are the top contenders, falling out of the favorite spot after stumbling into the All-Star break. The Dallas Mavericks round out the top contenders, finding their quality despite trading starman Luka Doncic. On the outside looking in are the San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans, who project to be lottery-bound this offseason.
Let's check out the bets!
The Memphis Grizzlies have made tremendous strides this season, recovering from recent seasons of significant struggle. They’ve fought their way back to the top of the Southwest Division and have been a constant in the top four of the Western Conference. They have serious competition in the Houston Rockets, but their depth and experience have men touting them as eventual division champs!
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| Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 37-20, 2nd in NBA Western Conference | - | 117.9 (6th of 30) | 111.4 (7th of 30) | 104.1 (1st of 30) | 122.8 (2nd of 30) | 116.0 (23rd of 30) |
Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins
Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Additions: Marvin Bagley, Johnny Davis
Key Losses: Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia
The Memphis Grizzlies have been promising as the regular season has developed. After a strong run into the midseason break, the Memphis Grizzlies have gone 1-2 over the last week. Their sole win came against the Orlando Magic, finding a one-point victory in a hard-fought, defensive battle led by Ja Morant’s 23-point effort.
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| Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 35-22, 5th in NBA Western Conference | - | 113.8 (15th of 30) | 109.9 (4th of 30) | 98.6 (19th of 30) | 112.9 (16th of 30) | 109.0 (6th of 30) |
Head Coach: Ime Udoka
Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green
Key Additions: Cody Zeller, Jaden Springer
Key Losses: n/a
The Houston Rockets have been one of the NBA’s most exciting teams this season, behind the growth of young stars like Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green. The Houston Rockets split their two games last week, winning against the Minnesota Timberwolves but showing their inconsistency in losing to the lowly Utah Jazz. They couldn’t lock in on defense against the Jazz, getting 52 points from their duo of Sengun and Green, but allowed their opponents to shoot 50.0% from the field.
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| Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 31-27, 8th in NBA Western Conference | - | 116.2 (7th of 30) | 114.3 (14th of 30) | 99.0 (17th of 30) | 115.4 (11th of 30) | 113.5 (16th of 30) |
Head Coach: Jason Kidd
Key Players: Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson
Key Additions: Anthony Davis, Max Christie
Key Losses: Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Markieff Morris
The Dallas Mavericks have been the talk of the NBA after General Manager Nico Harrison dealt star man Luka Doncic to the Los Angeles Lakers in exchange for Anthony Davis. After dealing with Doncic and losing Davis to injury, the Mavericks rattled off a 3-1 streak. Unfortunately, they closed out last week with a blowout loss to the Warriors, losing by 24 points despite shooting 46.2% from the field and 40.6% from three-point range.
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| Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 24-31, 12th in NBA Western Conference | - | 113.1 (17th of 30) | 114.9 (18th of 30) | 99.3 (13th of 30) | 112.7 (17th of 30) | 114.5 (19th of 30) |
Head Coach: Gregg Popovich, Mitch Johnson (interim)
Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, De’Aaron Fox
Key Additions: De’Aaron Fox
Key Losses: Tre Jones, Zach Collins
The San Antonio Spurs made a big move before the NBA Trade Deadline, acquiring Sacramento Kings point guard De'Aaron Fox in a multi-team trade. The San Antonio Spurs were dealt a blow when Wembanyama was ruled out for the rest of the season with injury owing to their 1-2 run last week. Their sole win came against the Phoenix Suns, behind 26 points and seven rebounds from De’Aaron Fox.
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| Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 13-43, 15th in NBA Western Conference | - | 110.4 (26th of 30) | 119.3 (28th of 30) | 99.4 (10th of 30) | 110.4 (23rd of 30) | 119.3 (27th of 30) |
Head Coach: Willie Green
Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum
Key Additions: Bruce Brown, Kelly Olynyk
Key Losses: Brandon Ingram, Daniel Theis
The New Orleans Pelicans have gone all in on rebuilding for the next season, trading away All-Star Brandon Ingram for financial flexibility. Sitting at the bottom of the Southwest, the Pelicans have split two games since returning from the All-Star break. They closed out last week with a win over the shorthanded San Antonio Spurs behind Zion Williamson’s 22 points.
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Christian Jope
NBA Betting Analyst
| Email: | [email protected] |
|---|---|
| Nationality: | Canadian |
| Education: | Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics) |
| Favourite Sportsbook: | FanDuel Sportsbook |
| Favourite Casino: | BetMGM Casino |
| Experience: | 6 years |
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