The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025
The Memphis Grizzlies are the top contender to win the Southwest this season
Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks
The Southwest Division has been one of the most unpredictable this season. While the expected faces sit atop the odds table, the division and conference standings show something different entirely. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest Division, and the Memphis Grizzlies remain the top contender. However, the Houston Rockets currently own the best record in the division. Rounding out the group are the inexperienced Spurs and shorthanded Pelicans, who sit at the bottom of the odds table.
The Southwest Division has been difficult to predict this season, as teams have had significant dips and rises in form through just four weeks of the regular season. The Dallas Mavericks are still our pick, as their experience and talent, led by Luka Doncic, remains unmatched in the division. However, given the highly competitive nature of the Western Conference, they can’t afford any serious drops in form.
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Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green
With a talent like Luka Doncic leading the way, the Dallas Mavericks can accomplish anything in the West. However, they’ve been inconsistent on both ends this season and are in the middle third of the Western Conference. Losing five of their last eight games didn’t help their case, and a road-heavy upcoming schedule will see the Mavericks heavily lean Kyrie Irving, with Doncic likely to miss some time due to injury.
Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?
Memphis Grizzlies (+240) at Fanduel
Year
Record
Finish
Off Rtg
Def Rtg
Pace
PPG
Opp PPG
2024-25
8-6, 7th in NBA Western Conference
-
115.3 (8th of 30)
107.9 (4th of 30)
103.8 (2nd of 30)
119.7 (4th of 30)
112.0 (14th of 30)
Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins
Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Additions: Zach Edey
Key Losses: Derrick Rose
The Memphis Grizzlies continue to fight it out in the Western Conference without star man Ja Morant in the lineup. It’s a testament to the leadership of head coach Taylor Jenkins and the quality of Memphis’ reserves, which remain seventh in the West. Rookie center Zach Edey seems to be improving with every game, and if he can continue his production when Morant returns to the lineup, the Grizzlies will be a force in the race for the Southwest Division crown.
Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green
Key Additions: Reed Sheppard
Key Losses: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic
Don’t look now, but the Houston Rockets sit atop the Southwest Division and third in the Western Conference. Impressing over the past two weeks, the Rockets open Week 5 after winning seven of their last ten games. Houston’s depth has impressed, while their starters seem to have found their stride. With seven of their next 11 games on the road, the Rockets will face their toughest test of the season.
Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, Devin Vassell
Key Additions: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle
Key Losses: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham
The San Antonio Spurs are still reeling from a health scare to longtime head coach Gregg Popovich, but they’ve rallied on the court to bring them into a competitive position in the West. Winning five of their last eight games, the Spurs have shown real growth. Victor Wembanyama has been central to that growth, recently posting a 50-point game, and has helped showcase the Spurs’ ambitions of leaving the bottom tier of the NBA.
Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum
Key Additions: Dejounte Murray, Daniel Theis
Key Losses: Jonas Valanciunas, Larry Nance Jr., Cody Zeller
No team in the NBA has suffered more impactful injury issues than the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are sorely missing their key contributors, having only won one in their last seven games. It’s a deep hole to dig themselves out of, so any chance of them returning to competitive form depends on when their star-studded injury list is free of names like CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray, and Zion Williamson.
The Dallas Mavericks won the Southwest Division in 2023-24. They finished with a 50-32 overall record and an 11-5 record against their division.
How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?
Southwest Division teams have won the NBA Championship eight times. The San Antonio has won the Larry O'Brien most, and most recently, with five. The Houston Rockets won their NBA Championships back-to-back in 1994 and 1995. The Dallas Mavericks won their sole NBA Championship in 2011.
Who are the top players in the Southwest Division?
The top players in the Southwest Division are Luka Doncic (DAL), Kyrie Irving (DAL), Ja Morant (MEM), Victor Wembanyama (SAS), Alperen Sengun (HOU), and C.J. McCollum (NOP).
Which team has won the Southwest Division most?
The San Antonio Spurs have won the Southwest Division most, owning nine titles. The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks are second with four division titles. The Memphis Grizzlies have won the Southwest twice, and the New Orleans Pelicans have won it once.
Do the Southwest Division Champions receive a trophy?
Yes, since the 2021-22 NBA season, the Southwest Division champions have received the Willis Reed Trophy.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
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