The NBA’s Thursday night schedule features six exciting matchups from across the league! When the action tips off, a matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder has significant implications in the Western Conference race.
The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) enter this game on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning their last match to extend their win streak to four. The Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20) are tied for first in the Western Conference, and a win could earn them the first seed.
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The Oklahoma City Thunder have dominated the league this season but aim to avenge a 35-point loss to the Dallas Mavericks in February. The Thunder are at the top of the Western Conference and have ample opportunity against a Mavericks team on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Through 65 games this season, the Thunder have put up a 39-25-1 ATS Record, ranking them second in the NBA. They own a 60.9% cover percentage, a 7.7 margin of victory, and a +3.5 ATS+/- this season. The Thunder have covered the spread once in their last five games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (Ankle), who is recovering from an ankle injury and missed their Tuesday night game. The Dallas Mavericks have no current injuries to report.
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Chet Holmgren’s impact on the defensive end for the Oklahoma City Thunder can’t be overlooked. Despite playing just his rookie campaign, Holmgren has proven to be one of the league’s best rim protectors. Against a versatile Mavericks offense, Holmgren will be critical to Oklahoma City’s success.
In 65 games this season, Holmgren has averaged 16.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 2.7 assists on 53.5% shooting from the field and 38.8% from three-point range. In his last match, he scored 15 points, 13 rebounds, and three assists on 37.5% shooting in a loss to the Pacers.
Holmgren is a -104 to hit 8.5 over rebounds when he faces the Mavericks on Thursday. He’s cleared 8.5 boards in two of his last five games and 25 total. Holmgren's impact on the boards will be felt quickly against an improved Mavericks team that ranks in the bottom third of rebounds and rebounds allowed.
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Josh Giddey has been in solid form lately, scoring the ball incredibly efficiently. While he’s taken a step back regarding his offensive usage, Giddey has sometimes shown flashes of his value fitting into the Thunder offense despite his inconsistent three-point shooting.
In 64 games this season, Giddey is averaging 11.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.4 assists on 45.7% from the field and 33.0% from three-point range. In his last game, a loss to the Pacers, Giddey put up 15 points, seven rebounds, and three assists on 46.7% shooting while going one of two from three-point range.
Giddey is a -125 to hit over 11.5 points when he faces the Mavericks on Thursday. He’s cleared 11.5 points in four of his last five games and in 29 total appearances. Against an uptempo Mavericks team that struggles on the defensive end, expect Giddey to shine on the offensive side of the ball again.
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NBA Same Game Parlays let you combine multiple bets in a single game, such as the Dallas Mavericks covering the spread, the total score going over, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring over 30.5 points. While crafting winning parlays results in improved rewards, a single losing leg in your parlay results in a loss. It’s a great way to increase the returns on your wagers at the cost of slightly increased risk.
Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date: 10:00 PM EST, Thursday, March 14, 2024
TV: TNT
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