Pelicans vs. Warriors Prediction and Odds for October 29: No Curry, No Problem?

The New Orleans Pelicans will host the Golden State Warriors sans Stephen Curry in a Western Conference wind-up on Tuesday night.

The Dubs lost Curry to an ankle sprain during their last game, a 112-104 home loss against the Los Angeles Clippers. They trailed by 10 when Curry, who had 18 points, six assists, and four rebounds, exited with 7:55 remaining.

The Pelicans are also coming off a loss as they dropped the second of two straight contests to the Portland Trail Blazers. Both teams are 2-1 and would surge to near the top of the conference standings with a win.

Here, we will analyze the odds and share our favorite betting picks for the Pelicans vs. Warriors matchup.

Pelicans vs. Warriors Betting Odds for Tuesday, October 29

The Pelicans are 1-2 against the spread overall and as the favorite, though they’re 1-0 ATS at home.

The Warriors are 2-1 ATS and 2-0 ATS as an underdog and on the road. 

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Pelicans vs. Warriors Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans Preview

The Pelicans have not had a real test three games into the season. They beat the Chicago Bulls and the Trail Blazers once apiece and fell to the Blazers by 22 points their last time out.

New Orleans was reportedly ready to play Herbert Jones at center, though they opted to start Daniel Theis in all three games. That said, Theis is only playing 18 minutes per game, and Jones has spent his fair share of time being deployed in different defensive positions.

The Pels rank 12th in defensive rating and 22nd in offensive rating. They’ve been terrible on the boards and are one of the 10 worst teams at shooting the basketball based on effective field goal percentage.

CJ McCollum is off to a nice start to the season, averaging 23.3 points, 3.7 assists, and 3.0 steals per game. Brandon Ingram is close behind at 22.7 points per night, also on efficient shooting splits, while Zion Williamson is back at 15 points in just 28.5 minutes per game.

It’s still early in the season, but New Orleans’ offense ranks in the bottom 10 in the league in a variety of categories. It’s worth monitoring their progress as the sample size grows and seeing as they hit a mid-season surge last year.

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Golden State Warriors Preview

Steve Kerr said that this is the deepest team he coached in his career, a sentiment that was supported by him playing 11 guys in the first quarter of the season opener. His word will be put to the test as the Warriors prepare to play without Curry for the first time.

Golden State is second in the league in made threes per game and third in percentage (38.3). They’re also second in defensive rating and fifth in offensive rating despite undergoing several offseason changes, and with both Curry and Draymond Green being another year deeper into their careers.

This team may have lost its last game to the Los Angeles Clippers, but they beat the Blazers and the Utah Jazz by 36 and 41 points just before that. 

The Pelicans should be the toughest team they faced, but it is an opportunity for them to prove where they stack up with the rest of the league.

Curry’s absence means that Green should spend even more time with the ball in his hands, while Brandin Podziemski will likely see lots of minutes in the backcourt. 

Notably, the Warriors were just 3-5 without Curry last year, with those wins coming against the Jazz (twice) and the San Antonio Spurs.

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Pelicans vs. Warriors Betting Pick

• Pelicans vs. Warriors pick: Pelicans -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM

The Warriors started the season on a positive note and in a way that suggests that talks of their demise were overblown.

That said, they’ll be without their clear-cut best player against a team with tremendous length and versatility. The key will be determining if New Orleans can generate efficient offense, and if Golden State can create any at all without Curry.

This line is fairly small considering that the out-and-out best player on the Warriors isn’t going to play. As such, we’d look to the home team to cover the line.

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How to Watch Pelicans vs. Warriors on 10/24/24

• When: Tuesday, Oct. 29 at 7:00/10:00 p.m. PT/ET

• Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

• TV: TNT

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