The Indiana Pacers will start the Eastern Conference Finals on the road against the Boston Celtics when the two meet for Game One on Tuesday evening.
The Pacers arrived in the conference finals against the odds after a seven-game slugfest with the New York Knicks. Tyrese Haliburton broke out of a monthslong shooting slump and closed the series with 26 points on 6-12 three-point shooting, bringing him to 43.9 percent shooting from the perimeter for the series.
The Celtics, on the other hand, did exactly what they were expected to, taking down the Miami Heat and the Cleveland Cavaliers in five games each. They still have not been seriously tested in the playoffs and are a whopping -1100 to win the series.
Here, we will go over the betting odds and share our favorite pick for Pacers vs. Celtics Game One in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Indiana is 51-42-3 (54.8 percent) against the spread and 16-13-1 (55.2 percent) ATS as a road underdog. They went 3-2 ATS against Boston during the regular season and are 7-6 ATS in the playoffs.
Boston is 47-40-5 (54 percent) ATS and 25-20-2 (55.6 percent) ATS as a home favorite. They covered in six of 10 playoff games, but only in one of their last four outings.
Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our BetMGM promo code WSNMGM for up to $1,500 in bonus bets.
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Indiana Pacers | +9.5 (-105) | +340 | Over 220.5 (-115) |
Boston Celtics | -9.5 (-115) | -450 | Under 220.5 (-105) |
🔥 Claimed by 60 people this week!
Parlays with enhanced odds
Impressive range of bets
Promo Code "WSNSPORTS"
Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets
21+ | T&Cs apply. *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.
The Pacers were not expected to get this far. Their obvious defensive weaknesses combined with overall inexperience and a never-ending shooting slump by Haliburton made it appear as if they were capped by the second round, if not primed for a first-round exit.
While they were fortunate to play two teams, the Milwaukee Bucks and the Knicks, with several injured players, they still showed impressive signs. They increased their level of physicality, produced historic scoring nights, and adapted to their opponents, resulting in them becoming one of the final two teams in the East.
The Pacers’ M.O. is an elite, fast-paced offense. They managed a 121.7 offensive rating in the playoffs, which was even better than the ridiculous 120.5 they produced during the regular season.
Defensively, they went from allowing the fewest three-point attempts and makes per game during the regular season to ranking fourth and sixth among playoff teams. However, that was partly necessitated by the size and rebounding prowess of their early opponents, and it’s likely they get back to running the Celtics off of the three-point line.
Even still, Indy needs to be ready to fight on the boards. Boston leads the playoffs with a rebound rate of 55.3 percent, while they are ninth at 49.6 percent.
Haliburton needs to be at an All-NBA level for his team to have a chance in this game. He scored 15 or fewer points three times and went for 26+ three times in the last series, and his team needs him consistently looking to score.
Bet on Indiana Pacers at BetMGM
One of the many narratives surrounding the Celtics is that they have an easy path to the Finals. While that is valid considering the path they could have faced, they also made it look even easier by going 8-2 with a net rating of +12.8, more than 150 percent better than the next-best team.
The C’s rank second in offensive and third in defensive rating in the playoffs to go with their league-leading rebound percentage. They still have room to grow on offense as well, as they shot 37.7 percent from deep compared to 38.8 percent during the regular season.
Indy, for the record, leads the playoffs at 38.1 percent, but Boston made more threes per game than everyone.
The key to Boston’s ability to remain in cruise control is the team’s depth. Jayson Tatum was the third-best player for the first few weeks of the postseason, yet that didn’t affect their bottom line.
Al Horford was also called into the starting lineup after Kristaps Porzingis suffered a calf injury, and again, the team did not miss a beat. They will head into the Pacers series with Horford still starting in place of the injured Latvian big man.
It will be interesting to monitor how the Pacers choose to guard the Celtics. As we mentioned, we expect to see them hound the three-point line, but they need to stay out of rotation to make that work. That could turn this into an important series for Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown as downhill drivers of the basketball.
Keep an eye on Tatum in particular. After his sluggish start, he went four straight games scoring at least 25 points but still struggled to shoot the three and is at 28.1 percent from range for the playoffs.
Bet on Boston Celtics at BetMGM
Game One is Indy’s chance to set the tone for the series and to show that it means business. At the same time, it only just finished a seven-game bout with the Knicks, while the Celtics have been resting comfortably since last Wednesday night.
The Pacers need to keep up their physicality on defense, just further away from the basket. They also need to successfully shut down Boston’s long-range game and still keep a presence on the boards to really put themselves in the driver’s seat.
All in all, there is just too much for the Pacers to account for in Game One. We like the Celtics to start the series off by covering at home, where they are 41-6 in the postseason and regular season combined.
Pacers vs. Celtics Game One pick: Celtics -9.5 (-115) at BetMGM
When: Tuesday, May 21 @ 8:00 p.m. ET
Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA
TV: ESPN
Responsible Gambling
If you or someone you know needs support or wants to speak with a professional about responsible gambling, seek out the correct resources. Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to get help, or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. WSN is an advocate for safe gambling practices. Visit our Responsible Gambling Center for more details.
NBA Player Props and Best Bets for December 25: Check Out the Best NBA Christmas Day Props
1 hour ago | Christian JopeLakers vs. Warriors Prediction and Odds for December 25: LeBron and Steph Face Off on Christmas Day
3 hours ago | Christian JopeNBA Player Props and Best Bets for December 23: James Harden Props And More
1 day ago | Grant Mitchell
We support responsible gambling. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. If you need help, call
1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is managed by Gentoo Media. Unless declared otherwise, all of the visible content on this site, such
as texts and images, including the brand name and logo, belongs to Innovation Labs Limited (a Gentoo Media
company) - Company Registration Number C44130, VAT ID: MT18874732, @GIG Beach Triq id-Dragunara, St.
Julians, STJ3148, Malta.
Advertising Disclosure: WSN.com contains links to partner websites. When a visitor to our website clicks on
one of these links and makes a purchase at a partner site, World Sports Network is paid a commission.
Copyright © 2024