Knicks vs. 76ers Prediction and Odds for November 12: The NBA Cup Begins

The New York Knicks (4-5) will visit the Philadelphia 76ers (2-7) for a matchup between Eastern Conference foes on Tuesday.

The Knicks are still searching for ways to blend strong individual performances with overall team success following an offseason filled with roster turnover. They lost to the Indiana Pacers by one point their last time on the court and dropped three of their last four games.

The Sixers recently discovered that when it rains, it truly does pour. Joel Embiid is finally ready to make his season debut, while Tyrese Maxey was recently lost to a hamstring problem. Paul George is big in name, though he’s yet to score more than 18 points in a game.

Here, we will analyze the betting odds and share our best Knicks vs. 76ers picks for Tuesday.

Knicks vs. 76ers Betting Odds for Tuesday, November 12

The Knicks are 4-5 (44.4 percent) against the spread, 4-4 (50 percent) ATS as the favorite, and 2-4 (33.3 percent) ATS as the road team.

The Sixers are just 2-7 (22.2 percent) ATS, 2-3 (40 percent) ATS as an underdog, and 0-4 ATS at home.

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Knicks vs. 76ers Prediction

New York Knicks Preview

The Knicks made a series of reactionary moves during the offseason. They realized that they didn’t have much wing depth and were often at an offensive disadvantage at the center position, which led to them trading the farm to acquire Mikal Bridges and Karl-Anthony Towns.

What’s the result been? The Knicks have the second-highest offensive rating in basketball, but they’re only 21st in defensive efficiency. That’s a clear departure from coach Tom Thibodeau’s normal identity and is a reason why they have a losing record despite playing excellent offense.

Towns is one of the biggest culprits in the team’s defensive struggles. He allowed opponents to shoot 32/35 (91.4 percent) inside the restricted area, contributing to NY allowing the highest two-point percentage (58.2) to opponents in the NBA.

The Knicks are also totally average at defending the three-point line and instead look to create margins on the offensive end, where they shot 39.5 percent (third) from range.

The team also has not been able to replicate its dominance on the boards, which is to be expected with Isaiah Hartenstein now on the OKC Thunder and Mitchell Robinson having failed to make his season debut. The Knicks are just 12th in rebound rate, whereas they led the league in this category a year ago.

Jalen Brunson (25.0) and Towns (24.9) lead the team in points per game. The bench unit isn’t deep, but Miles McBridge has provided enough of a punch to overcome that. 

Thibodeau also seems content continuing to play his starters extreme amounts of minutes regardless of how early into the season it is.

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Philadelphia 76ers Preview

When Paul George ended up in Philly during the offseason, imaginary banners began to fly up the walls of Philadelphia residences. The blend of Embiid’s scoring and interior defense, Maxey’s speed, rim pressure, and distance shooting, and George’s silky-smooth scoring ability at every level seemed to fit together like peanut butter and jelly.

Reality has been extremely disappointing during the early season. Embiid’s recovery from injuries and lack of a timetable visibly frustrated coach Nick Nurse and essentially doomed a team that went 16-27 without its star center last year.

George has also been an overwhelming disappointment thus far, averaging 14.3 points, 5.8 assists, and 4.8 rebounds on 38.9 percent shooting (16 percent from three). He’s close to half of Maxey’s 27.6 points per night and behind journeyman Kelly Oubre Jr., who is at 15.1 points per game.

While Maxey is set to miss the contest, Embiid is expected to make his season debut. That’s where the glimmer of hope lies, given that he averaged a whopping 34.7 point, 11.0 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game a season ago.

Philly as a whole is 20th in defensive and 27th in offensive rating. The pace is glacial (28th - New York is 30th), and they’re terrible at rebounding the ball (28th in rebound rate).

There are too many holes to cover when Embiid isn’t on the court, and he probably won’t be ready to go into the high 30s or low 40s for minutes in his first appearance of the season. They face an even tougher road without Maxey and while having to rely on rookie Jared McCain or aging veterans Kyle Lowry and Eric Gordon to fill the empty minutes.

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Knicks vs. 76ers Betting Pick

• Knicks vs. 76ers pick: Knicks -2.5 (-105) at BetMGM

The Knicks’ bottom line might not be where they want it to be, but this line is insulting. They are significantly better than the Sixers, are healthy, and have equal rest.

Philly hasn’t shown any glimpses of elite basketball and is without one of its best players. The Knicks’ defense might be a work in progress, but they have a great offense and have a significantly higher ceiling.

Embiid should be rusty after so much time off, which is why we like the Knicks to get the job done on the road.

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How to Watch Knicks vs. 76ers on 11/12/24

• When: Tuesday, Nov. 12 @ 7:30 p.m. ET

• Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA

• TV: TNT

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