Kings vs. Spurs Prediction and Odds for November 11: Will Wemby Hit His Stride?

The Sacramento Kings (6-4) will pay a visit to the San Antonio Spurs (4-6) for a Western Conference showdown on Monday night.

The Kings took down the Phoenix Suns in overtime the last time they were on the court and won six of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Spurs are looking to get back to winning ways after they lost to the Utah Jazz by one point in their last game.   

Here, we will analyze the betting odds and share our favorite betting pick for the Kings vs. Spurs matchup on Monday.

Kings vs. Spurs Betting Odds for Monday, November 11

The Kings are 5-4-1 (55.6 percent) against the spread, 3-2-1 (60 percent) ATS as a favorite, and 4-2 (66.7 percent) ATS on the road.

The Spurs are 5-5 (50 percent), 3-4 (42.9 percent) ATS as an underdog, and 3-2 (60 percent) ATS at home.

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Kings vs. Spurs Prediction

Sacramento Kings Preview

The Kings changed the trajectory of their franchise a few years ago when they finished third in the West. They’ve been a solid team ever since but have not been able to go on a deep playoff run or establish themselves as a true regular-season force.

The goal for this Kings team is simple: blend the years of chemistry with a couple of new pieces and put forth the franchise’s best team in decades.

An 0-2 start is already a distant memory thanks to the Kings' recent results. They only beat one team above .500, but that came in their last game against the then-8-1 Suns.

Sacramento ranks ninth in offensive and 11th in defensive efficiency. They also commit turnovers at the seventh-lowest frequency and are 11th in rebound rate.

In a league that is dominated by three-point shooting, this team takes more of an old-school approach. They made the second-fewest threes per game (10.3) but made the second-highest percentage of two-point shots (59.3) largely thanks to players such as DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, and De’Aaron Fox. 

While they aren’t amazing at defending the three, they allow the sixth-fewest points in the paint per game. That’s an important metric in this matchup because of who will be standing on the other side of the court.

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San Antonio Spurs Preview

The player we indirectly mentioned above is, of course, Victor Wmebanyama. 

The 20-year-old sophomore is an alien-like 7-foot-4 with great mobility, a handle, and shot-creating instincts. However, he has a fairly poor start to the year.

Wemby averaged 18.3 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 2.4 assists—all lower than his rookie averages—on 42.5 percent shooting from the field and 28.2 percent from three. He has still been outstanding defensively, averaging 4.0 blocks, but has been wildly inefficient on offense.

On a more positive note, Wemby put up 24 points, 16 rebounds, and seven blocks on 6-9 three-point shooting in his last game against the Jazz. 

San Antonio for the year has the fifth-worst offensive rating in basketball. They’re just outside the top 10 and one spot behind Sacramento in defensive rating, a number that fluctuates depending on if Wemby is on or off the court. 

Despite having the calming presence of Chris Paul running the show, the Spurs commit turnovers at the fourth-highest frequency. They also shot a terrible 33.5 percent from three and don’t look settled in their offensive system which is bogged down by injuries and a failure to integrate new arrivals.

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Kings vs. Spurs Betting Pick

Kings vs. Spurs pick: Kings -1.5 (-110) at BetMGM

One reason for the Spurs to be optimistic is that Devin Vassell is back from his injury and scored 21 points in 22 minutes in his return to action. 

While DeRozan and Fox are the headliners for the Kings, Sabonis averaged 24.5 points, 12.5 rebounds, and nine assists in two games against Wemby last year. His physicality was too much for the wiry Frenchman and could be a heavy influence in this game as well.

Sacramento is playing well, and San Antonio, as well as its star player, aren’t. We’d look at the visitors to grab a win here.

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How to Watch Kings vs. Spurs on 11/11/24

• When: Monday, Nov. 11 at 7:00/8:00 p.m. CT/ET

• Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

• TV: NBA League Pass

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