Kings vs. Pistons Prediction and Odds: Cunningham to Lead the Pistons to the Fifth Seed?

The Sacramento Kings (38-40) will battle the Detroit Pistons (43-35) just one week before the Play-In Tournament marks the beginning of the NBA postseason.

The Kings are desperately clinging to the ninth seed in the Western Conference but are only a half-game above the Dallas Mavericks and three games above the Phoenix Suns. They won back-to-back games but just seven of eight outings just before that.

The Pistons are the story of the NBA season and are sixth in the Eastern Conference, just one game behind the Milwaukee Bucks. However, they lost three of their last four and are almost out of time to get past their nearby rivals.

Here, I will break down the Kings vs. Pistons odds and share my favorite betting picks for the matchup.

Kings vs. Pistons Betting Odds for Monday, April 7

The Kings are 32-42-4 (43.2 percent) against the spread, 19-20-1 (48.7 percent) ATS on the road, and 12-16 (42.9 percent) ATS as an underdog.

The Pistons are 41-34-2 (54.7 percent) ATS, 18-19 (48.7 percent) ATS at home, and 18-16 (52.9 percent) ATS as a favorite.

Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our BetMGM promo code WSNSPORTS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets.

Kings vs. Pistons Prediction

Sacramento Kings Preview

The Kings’ season is all about survival at this point. Surviving the next week and making it to the Play-In Tournament for a chance to upset the odds and breathe new life into their team by advancing to the playoff bracket.

There have been many iterations of the Kings, whether it be with De’Aaron Fox, Malik Monk as the starting point guard and sixth man, and the reunion of DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine. 

Their season numbers are fairly reflective of their record, which is just about average. They ranked 11th in offensive and 21st in defensive rating per Cleaning the Glass, which excludes possessions in garbage time from its numbers. That resulted in a net rating of -0.1, which was 16th.

The Kings’ outlook has been even worse as of late. They ranked 20th in offensive and 18th in defensive rating for a -4.4 net rating (21st) over their last two weeks of action.

Sacrmaneot finds itself in a position similar to the one the Suns were in last year, which is that they have talented scorers but no full-time playmaker and few quality gap-fillers, also known as role players.

To the Kings’ credit, their performances didn’t drop below their season standard on the road unlike many other teams. Their two most recent wins also came against Eastern Conference opponents, the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Charlotte Hornets.

If there’s anything to keep an eye on in this matchup, it’s how the Kings do against a fundamentally sound Pistons, both with their ability to generate quality offensive looks and to sustain multiple defensive efforts as both of those will be tested by a loaded Western Conference, should they make the Play-In.

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Detroit Pistons Preview

The Pistons might seem to be cruising into the playoffs, but their losses in their recent stretch that saw them drop three of four came against the Memphis Grizzlies, Oklahoma City Thunder, and Minnesota Timberwolves.

To say this season has been anything other than an overwhelming success for Detroit would be disingenuous. Credit for that goes to new coach J.B. Bickerstaff and the front office, which greatly reworked the team’s roster and hit on a few recent draft picks.

The Pistons rank 17th in offensive and eighth in defensive rating for a net rating of +1.8 (12th), again, per Cleaning the Glass. Their recent performances nearly mirrored those averages with them clocking in at 19th in offensive and ninth in defensive rating for a +1.5 net rating (15th).

Although Detroit’s offensive numbers don’t exactly jump off the page, they are still dynamic. Cade Cunningham would be a victim of the robbery of the century if he didn’t make an All-NBA team, Malik Beasley and Tim Hardaway Jr. take and make a ton of threes, and Jalen Duren is both a lob threat and terrific offensive rebounder who creates tons of second-chance points.

Defense is where Detroit makes its money and where it should be able to key in against a Kings team that doesn’t move the ball that well. 

The Pistons won the only previous matchup between these teams back near the end of 2024. Cunningham led the proceedings with 33 points and 10 assists, while Beasley had 22 off the bench. De’Aaron Fox led the Kings with 26 points, and Trey Lyles had 20 off the pine.

Detroit’s best path to victory in this game should come from keeping the tempo slow and allowing Cunningham to create in the halfcourt while forcing the Kings to use solid execution and prediction to beat them instead of relinquishing “cheap” transition buckets. 

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Kings vs. Pistons Betting Pick

• Kings vs. Pistons pick: Kings +7.5 (-110) at BetMGM

There’s no question that the Pistons have been the better of the two teams, although they are in a losing skid, while the Kings won two straight.

The Pistons haven’t quite been as impressive against the spread as one might believe given how they overachieved, but they are still leaps and bounds ahead of the Kings. 

All things considered, I’d suggest the Kings at +7.5 is the best bet even though I expect the Pistons to win. Detroit hasn’t been dominant at home, and Sacramento has been solid on the road. The visitors are also much more desperate than the home team.

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How to Watch Kings vs. Pistons on 4/7/25

• When: Monday, April 7 @ 7:00 p.m. ET

• Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

• TV: NBA League Pass