Grizzlies vs. Suns Prediction and Odds for February 11: Second-Place Grizz Visit Booker, Durant

The Memphis Grizzlies (35-17) are heading to the desert to take on the Phoenix Suns (26-26) in a Western Conference showdown on Tuesday night.

The Grizzlies are 14-11 on the road and secure in their second-place spot in the Western Conference, one game ahead of the Denver Nuggets. They lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder their last time out, 125-112, but won their only previous matchup with the Suns by five points on Dec. 31. 

The Suns’ desperate push for a championship under owner Matt Ishbia looks more and more like a futile effort with every passing day. They fell to the Nuggets 122-105 in their last game and lost four of their last five games, though they’re six games above .500 in their building.

Here, we will preview the matchup and share our best Grizzlies vs. Suns betting picks for Tuesday night.

Grizzlies vs. Suns Betting Odds for Tuesday, February 11

The Grizzlies are a league-leading 34-18 (65.4 percent) against the spread, 16-9 (64 percent) ATS on the road, and 23-11 (67.7 percent) ATS as a favorite.

The Suns are a league-worst 18-33-1 (35.3 percent) ATS, 8-17-1 (32 percent) ATS at home, and 6-12 (33.3 percent) as an underdog.

Odds for the Grizzlies vs. Suns game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to place your bets and Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies Preview

The Grizzlies are at full strength, which has been something of a rarity over the last couple of seasons. Their lack of health hasn’t kept them from performing, however, as they won more than two games for every game they lost and enter the matchup with 10 wins in their last 12 games.

 The Grizz rank fourth in offensive and 19th in defensive rating since the turn of the year, resulting in them outscoring their opponents by an average of 5.5 points per 100 possessions (eighth).

Those numbers are actually slightly worse than their season averages, which put them fifth in offensive and seventh in defensive rating with a +7.3 net rating (fourth).

Taylor Jenkins has continued to stagger his players’ minutes more than any coach in the league. Desmond Bane is the only player averaging more than 30 minutes per game at 30.2, and Ja Morant is down to just 28.6, far fewer than other star guards in the league. 

These rotations allow the Memphis players to play with increased intensity when they’re on the court, and also afforded more time for development and experience on the part of Memphis’ youngsters, which could explain why they’re arguably the deepest team in the league.

Given Memphis’ success, this could become a blueprint for other teams that struggle with injuries or that want to ensure they’re fresh when the postseason arrives.

The Grizzlies turn the ball over at one of the highest rates in the league, but they’re also second in rebound rate and fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed.

Looking back at the reverse fixture, Kevin Durant dropped 29 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists, while Devin Booker only managed 16 points on 4-20 shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the procession with 38 points and 12 rebounds, while Bane had 31 points and seven assists. 

Phoenix as a team also made just nine threes on 30 percent shooting.

Morant did not play because of an injury.

Phoenix Suns Preview

The Suns need to put something together this season to have any real shot at recouping their investment into Durant, Bradley Beal, and others.

This team has been a jumbled mess since it was formed. First because of roster construction, then because of internal dissension, and now for a variety of reasons.

Phoenix hasn’t been able to figure its defense out all year, and its ability to put the ball in the hoop has waned. They rank 13th in offensive and 23rd in defensive rating in 2025, giving them a -1.2 net rating (17th).

Those are extremely similar to their season marks of 11th in offensive and 25th in defensive rating, and a -1.6 net rating (19th). 

One of the glaring issues facing the Suns is their lack of interior defense. All of Jusuf Nurkic, Mason Plumlee, and Oso Ighodaro failed to plug the gap, prompting them to acquire Nick Richards in a trade with the Charlotte Hornets. 

While Richards has been dominant on the glass, opponents scored an extra 3.5 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor, placing him in the 23rd percentile of all big men.

Any offense that is headlined by Durant and Booker and that has Beal coming off the bench should also be much better than Phoenix’s has been. That's despite the team also shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc (fifth) and 54.9 percent on twos (11th) and ranking seventh in made free-throws per game (14.2).

Even the Suns’ turnover rate is league average, which makes it baffling they’ve struggled as much as they have. 

All that said, the Suns still went 16-10 with a +1.3 net rating in their arena. Memphis, meanwhile, is 14-11 with a +3.7 net rating on the road.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns Betting Pick

Grizzlies vs. Suns: Grizzlies -4.5 (-105) at BetMGM

The Suns’ only recent win came by seven points against the hapless Utah Jazz, while the Grizzlies have been playing great basketball but will still be motivated by their loss against the best team in the West, the OKC Thunder.

The Suns’ locker room has been reported as “toxic,” and there does not seem to be the level of cohesion that exists in Memphis. The visitors are also a much better team overall and are fully healthy.

We’d lay the points with the Grizzlies on the road against an inferior opponent.

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How to Watch Grizzlies vs. Suns on 2/11/25

• When: Monday, February 10 @ 7:00/10:00 p.m. PT/ET

• Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

• TV: TNT/truTV/Max

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