Bucks vs. Suns Prediction and Odds: Can the Suns Win Four Straight

The Milwaukee Bucks (40-30) will pay a visit to the Phoenix Suns (34-37) on Monday evening with just three weeks remaining in the 2024-25 NBA regular season.

The Bucks find themselves sandwiched between the Indiana Pacers and Detroit Pistons in fifth place in the Eastern Conference. They won their last two games, both on the West Coast against the Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings, and are hoping to extend that streak to three before they close their road trip against the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday.  

The Suns are in 10th place in the Western Conference by way of a tiebreaker over the Dallas Mavericks, who are level on record at 34-37. Phoenix is riding a three-game winning streak and just beat the 56-14 Cleveland Cavaliers behind 42 points, eight assists, and six rebounds from Kevin Durant.

Here, I will preview the Bucks vs. Suns matchup and share my favorite betting picks for the game.

For more betting insights, check out our NBA Player Props and Best Bets.

Bucks vs. Suns Betting Odds for Monday, March 24

The Bucks are 34-35-2 (49.3 percent) against the spread, 14-19-1 (42.4 percent) ATS on the road, and 10-11-1 (47.6 percent) ATS as an underdog.

The Suns are 29-41-1 (41.4 percent) ATS, 14-20-1 (41.2 percent) ATS at home, and 17-25-1 (40.5 percent) ATS as a favorite.

Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our BetMGM promo code WSNSPORTS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets.

Bucks vs. Suns Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks Preview

The Bucks took a while to get going, but they have the sixth-best record in the league since Nov. 10, at which time they were 2-10. Giannis Antetokounmmpo is playing at an MVP level, while Damian Lillard averaged 23 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game in March. 

The Bucks are 16th in offensive and ninth in defensive rating with a +2.2 net rating (12th) for the year. They’re also 16th in offensive and fifth in defensive rating with a +5.5 net rating (ninth) for the past 30 days.

A recent area of improvement for the Bucks has been on the glass. They were poor on the boards for most of the season, which was made even more disappointing by their tall lineup, but they climbed to just above league average in rebound rate during the last month.

They also did a nice job taking care of the ball and held their opponents to 34.2 percent three-point shooting, the sixth-best mark in the league during that time. That’s while they maintained the third-best three-point percentage standard (38.2) for the year.

The Bucks’ last two wins came without Lillard, who is dealing with a knee injury, in the lineup. That put the ball more in the hands of Antetokounmpo and gave them interesting lineup combinations with tremendous size and defense. 

Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Brook Lopez, Taurean Prince, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr., and AJ Green all played 25+ minutes in their last outing, a 114-108 win over the Kings. Excluding Green, those are all two-way players with physical gifts and intangibles that make them tough to get past and who will present a real challenge to a Suns team devoid of internal chemistry. 

All that said, the Bucks are 16-18 and were outscored by 1.6 points per 100 possessions (14th) on the road. They also haven’t won three straight road games since they beat the Indiana Pacers, Toronto Raptors and Orlando Magic from Dec. 31 to Jan. 10.

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Phoenix Suns Preview

The Suns have been nothing more than an overpaid waste of talent up to this point. Their superstar pairing of Kevin Durant and Devin Booker and the additions of Bradley Beal, Tyus Jones, Grayson Allen, and others has led to them being three games below .500 almost in April.

In many ways, this is emblematic of the regression that’s occurred over the last few years. The Suns went from playing in the NBA Finals (ironically, against the Bucks) in 2020-21 to losing in the second round two years in a row and then being swept in the first round last year.

Phoenix is eighth in offensive and 26th in defensive rating with a -1.1 (17th) net rating for the season. They’re also third in offensive and 24th in defensive rating with a +1.6 net rating (14th) over their last month of play.

Ball security and rebounding have been instrumental in the Suns’ improved recent performances, although they’re still only 7-8 over the last 30 days.

One of the Suns’ biggest liabilities has been their three-point defense. They ranked 25th and allowed their opponents to make more than 38 percent of their long-range attempts since this time one month ago.

Above all, there’s a general lack of understanding that hangs over the Suns’ organization like a stormcloud. Whether that be owner Matt Ishbia trading essentially all of his draft capital for the next seven years, coach Mike Budenholzer constantly changing his rotations and starting lineups, or players looking disconnected and disengaged on defense.

Beal will miss Monday’s contest with a hamstring issue. Booker averaged 23.9 points and 7.5 assists on efficient shooting splits over the last month, while Durant put up 26.3 points and 6.6 rebounds on 51/48/85 splits during that same time.

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Bucks vs. Suns Betting Pick

• Bucks vs. Suns pick: Suns -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM

These have been two of the most disappointing teams in the league from a betting perspective and relative to their level of talent. The Bucks managed to right their ship months ago, while the Suns may only just be doing that, though that’s still unclear.

Phoenix’s offense has been humming and is up to an elite level, particularly with the way Durant shot the ball. However, the Bucks have the length to bother them and have been much better at finding their opponents’ possessions after one shot. 

The Suns are 22-13 in their arena despite their losing record overall, while the Bucks have routinely struggled on the road and will be without Lillard. I like the Suns to win and cover the spread in their building.

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How to Watch Bucks vs. Suns on 3/24/25

• When: Monday, March 24 @ 7:00/10:00 p.m. CT/ET

• Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

• TV: NBA TV