NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Giannis is On Fire and an Anthony Edwards-Centric SGP

The final week of the NBA regular season is drawing to a close, and I have five must-see prop bets for the Thursday action.

I went 2-2 yesterday with two plus-money hits, including Luka Doncic 5+ threes (+150) in his return to Dallas for the first time. Not only did he cash that line with ease, but he made seven threes as part of a 45-point assault in a 112-97 win over the Mavericks.

Tonight’s schedule is headlined by the Memphis Grizzlies hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves in an unrelenting race for a top-six seed in the Western Conference, as well as the Indiana Pacers welcoming the Cleveland Cavaliers for a potential Eastern Conference semifinals preview.

Here are my top five NBA player prop bets for Thursday.

Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies matchup.

Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $250 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, April 10

Keon Johnson Under 3.5 Rebounds (-110) at FanDuel

Johnson has been a prominent member of the Brooklyn Nets’ rotation for the past couple of months in the wake of player trades and injuries. Despite his role, however, he has not had much success on the glass, going under this line in four of his last six games (albeit grabbing seven boards in his last contest).

The Nets are about to take on the Atlanta Hawks, who still have something to play for and who allowed the fourth-fewest rebounds per game over the last 30 days. Johnson had eight rebounds in his only previous matchup with the Hawks, but his averages and his opponent’s recent performance suggest that was an outlier.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (+114) at FanDuel

Talk about a man on a mission, the Greek Freak appears to be using the loss of Damian Lillard as an opportunity to operate as a one-man show and build his already-terrific legacy. He had 13+ rebounds and 20- or 30-point triple-doubles in three straight games and averaged 12.5 rebounds per game in April.

The Milwaukee Bucks are preparing to go toe-to-toe with the New Orleans Pelicans, who have done a solid job on the glass recently but also allowed the fourth-most rebounds per game for the year overall. Antetokounmpo can’t afford to take many breaks without Lillard on the court and should have his fingerprints all over this game.

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Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 10.5 Points (-130) at FanDuel

Once a draft pick of the New York Knicks in 2013, Hardaway Jr. is fresh off a 19-point showing against the Sacramento Kings and went over this line in six of his last seven games. He also gets to take on an emotionally deflated Knicks team that lost yet again to the Boston Celtics in their last contest.

Hardaway Jr. is an extremely streaky player, and cashing in on him while he’s enjoying this kind of run could prove to be a stroke of genius. The Knicks’ defense has been great over the last month but will be worse with Jalen Brunson back on the floor and after all of their energy expenditure in an overtime battle. 

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Ja Morant Over 25.5 Points (-108) at FanDuel

It appears that the post-Taylor Jenkins Grizzlies are content with letting Morant regain a large share of responsibility in the offense as he attempted at least 20 field goals in six straight games. The result? He went over this line in nine of his last 10 games and had 28 points in just 27 minutes in his last contest.

The Minnesota Timberwolves allowed the sixth-fewest points per game and held Morant under this line both times they faced off, but Memphis’ offensive philosophy has clearly evolved over recent weeks and given Morant the green light. He and Anthony Edwards should have a fun one-on-one battle, and I like Morant to get over his line.

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Tyrese Haliburton Under 3.5 Rebounds (-122) at FanDuel

Longtime viewers of my picks will know that Haliburton under 3.5 rebounds is a personal favorite of mine since it frequently cashes for solid odds. Well, we’re going back to the well on Thursday as the Pacers host the Cavs in a matchup between top powers in the East.

Haliburton only had one rebound the last time these teams met with him on the floor, he went under this line in six of his last eight games, and the Cavs allowed the fewest rebounds per game to opposing point guards. All signs point toward the star guard going under this line, even if Cleveland has taken its foot off the gas.

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NBA Same-Game Parlay (+383) at FanDuel

-Minnesota Timberwolves (-1) at Memphis Grizzlies

• Desmond Bane over 4.5 assists: Went over in five of his last eight games and in both matchups with the Timberwolves (five each).

• Anthony Edwards over 3.5 threes: Went over in five of his last six games, and the Grizzlies allowed the second-most made threes per game over the last month.

• Rudy Gobert under 12.5 rebounds: Went under in last game and only had four rebounds in both matchups with the Grizzlies.

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