NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Bet the Over for Ja, Giannis, and Paolo

Counting down the days to the Final Four? I know I am, but that doesn’t mean that I don’t have five of the best NBA player props on the market prepared for Thursday’s schedule.

Anthony Davis exploded for 34 points, 15 rebounds, five blocks, and a game-winning shot against the Atlanta Hawks, while Chet Holmgren led the Oklahoma City Thunder with 22 points, 11 rebounds, and six blocks in a win against the Detroit Pistons.

Tonight’s action opens with a pair of East-Coast matchups and closes with the rivalry of all modern rivalries, the Golden State Warriors against the Los Angeles Lakers in a battle for playoff seeding.

Here are my five favorite NBA player prop bets for Thursday.

Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Warriors vs. Lakers matchup.

Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, April 3

Paolo Banchero Over 7.5 Rebounds (-122) at FanDuel

Banchero is enjoying a great stretch of play that has seen him dominate as a scorer and breathe some life back into a struggling Orlando Magic team. He only went over this line twice in his last six games, but one of those came when he had 10 boards in his last game, and I have reason to believe he’ll go over again on Thursday.

The Washington Wizards are playing much better basketball than they have all season, but they still allowed the most rebounds per game over the last month by a wide margin. They’re also on the second night of a back-to-back, and Banchero went over this line with eight rebounds the last time he faced the Wizards.

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Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel

Minnesota’s bruising power forward dropped 26 points in consecutive games and went over this line in four of his last five outings. He looks more comfortable in the offense and the team’s identity than he has at any point this season and shot at least 50 percent from the field in five of his last six contests.

The Timberwolves are taking on the Brooklyn Nets, who ranked 11th in points allowed per game over the last 30 days and whom Randle has not yet faced. I ultimately settle on him being in rhythm and not having to deal with the Nets’ best defender thanks to Anthony Edwards, which makes me believe he will go over.

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Ja Morant Over 24.5 Points (-114) at FanDuel

A player’s environment and mind state can sometimes be just as important in determining the best NBA player props as any statistical trend or analysis. That applies to Morant, who was reportedly unhappy with ex-coach Taylor Jenkins taking the ball out of his hands and could explain why he’s been so hot as a scorer recently.

Morant put up 36 points in his last game and went over in seven of his last eight games while averaging 29.5 points per game in March. He now gets to take on the Miami Heat, who have done a nice job at limiting their opponents, but who are still losing games and don’t have a true point-of-attack defender.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Assists (-122) at FanDuel

Antetokounmpo is essentially the Milwaukee Bucks’ full-time point guard now that Damian Lillard is out with a blood clot (get well soon, Dame). Proof of that was shown in his last outing against the Phoenix Suns, during which he racked up 37 points and 11 assists in a 10-point win.

Giannis went over in two of his last three games and now gets to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, who allowed the second-most assists per game over the last month and who shut down most of their starting lineup. The Bucks also can’t afford to rest their players or take it easy since they are trying to close down the Pistons in the Eastern Conference standings.

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Rui Hachimura Over 1.5 Threes (+136) at FanDuel

While this pick isn’t a guarantee by any stretch, there’s an awful lot of value on this line. Hachimura went over in two of his last three games and should warm back up into his shooting groove as he gets more games under his belt since he returned from a knee injury that held him out for about a month.

The Golden State Warriors ranked eighth in made threes allowed per game but 22nd in three-point percentage allowed (37.7) over the last month. They won’t be able to run everyone off of the three-point line with LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Austin Reaves all on the floor, and Hachimura should get enough open looks to cash the over on this NBA player prop bet.

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