NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Grimes Coming Back to Earth, Haliburton’s Heroics, Plus NBA SGP

I went 4-1 on NBA prop bets shared right here on Tuesday, and I’ve got five more picks for Wednesday’s action.

While heads turned to see North Carolina demolish San Diego State in the First Four of March Madness, Jimmy Butler put up 24 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists to beat the Milwaukee Bucks without Steph Curry.

22 of 30 NBA teams will be in action tonight with a showdown between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets in the City of Angels headlining the games. 

Here are my favorite NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.

Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Nuggets vs. Lakers matchup.

Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday, March 19

Jamal Murray Under 21.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel

Murray averaged exactly 21.5 points per game and went over in consecutive outings, though he went under in three of four just before that. He also went under in two of three games against the Lakers, going for 14, 19, and 26 across their meetings (though he went over when they played last Friday).

The Lakers have held onto one of the best defenses in the NBA for months and have been outstanding at home, which gives them an advantage here. Murray loves to play spoiler for Lakers fans and got to rest after he took a night off against the Golden State Warriors, but LA’s intense perimeter defense has proven to be enough to throw off even the best players in the Association.

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Malik Monk Under 5.5 Assists (+116) at FanDuel

Monk, once the Sixth Man of the Year as a shooting guard, is now the de facto starting point guard for the Sacramento Kings and averaging 5.9 assists per game. He handed out seven assists in his last game but hasn’t gone over or under this line with much consistency in recent weeks.

The Kings are about to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, who allowed the seventh-fewest assists per game and held opponents to the third-lowest field goal percentage. Monk hasn’t faced the Cavs, but he went under in two games against the Los Angeles Clippers and Detroit Pistons, the teams that ranked sixth and eighth in assists allowed per game.

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Quentin Grimes Under 24.5 Points (-114) at FanDuel

Grimes is having an incredible season, but let’s be real for a second. The best players in the world sometimes don’t get lines of 24.5 points against the Oklahoma City Thunder and their sensational defense, and Grimes, no matter how in form he is, doesn’t deserve this line.

Grimes scored 46 points his last time on the floor and averaged 28.6 points per game in March, but he also scored four, five, and nine points against them when he played them with the Dallas Mavericks. I can't bet a career 9.8-point-per-game scorer against a defense that allowed the second-fewest points per game.

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Franz Wagner Under 22.5 Points (-130) at FanDuel

Wagner was incredible when Paolo Banchero was out of the lineup, but he’s gone back to playing second fiddle now that his All-Star teammate is back in action. He went under in five of his last six games and averaged 21.1 points per game despite averaging 24.3 points for the year as a whole.

Wagner and the Orlando Magic are about to play the strong defense of the Houston Rockets, who allowed the fifth-fewest points per game. Wagner also scored 15 points on 6-17 (35.3 percent) shooting when he and the Magic faced the Rockets in Houston on Monday, March 10.

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Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 Points (-112) at FanDuel

The 2025 version of Haliburton is completely different from the one that started the year. He put up 24 points and 15 assists in his last game, went over this line in eight of his last 11 games, and shot better than 41 percent from three-point territory for three straight months.

Haliburton only played the Dallas Mavericks one time near the beginning of the season, but he went for 25 points and 12 assists in a win. The Mavs also allowed the third-most points per game over the last month of play and have no consistency because of all of the injuries they endured.

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NBA Same-Game Parlay (+391) at FanDuel

-New York Knicks (-8.5) at San Antonio Spurs 

• Karl-Anthony Towns 3+ threes: He went over in four of his last five games and can take more shot attempts without Jalen Brunson in the lineup.

• Chris Paul 6+ assists: Paul went over in nine of his last 10 games and has seven helpers in his only previous matchup with the Knicks.

• OG Anunoby 15+ points: He racked up 15+ points in eight of his last 10 games, while the Spurs allowed the most points per game over the last month of action.

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