NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Big Nights for Giannis, Kawhi

I went 3-1 with my NBA player prop picks and was one Luka Doncic rebound away from cashing a same-game parlay yesterday, and I’m back with more of my favorite bets for Tuesday.

Quentin Grimes added fuel to the Dallas Mavericks’ fans fire as he erupted for 46 points and 13 rebounds in an overtime loss against the Houston Rockets, while Obi Toppin drilled a game-winning three en route to 34 points and 10 rebounds in a dramatic win over the Minnesota Timberwolves.

As the March Madness First Four gets underway on Tuesday, the NBA slate features the best teams in the Eastern Conference and a trio of legends as Steph Curry hosts Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard.

Here are my favorite NBA prop bets for Tuesday.

Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Bucks vs. Warriors matchup.

Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, March 18

Derrick White Under 18.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel

Jaylen Brown is out with a back injury, and I assume that means the questionable Jayson Tatum will battle past a knee issue to get onto the court. That means White will continue to play second fiddle after he went under in seven of his last nine outings and shot 38.9 percent from the field in his last game.

The Brooklyn Nets have quietly been a surprising defensive team in the New Year, and they’re just about league average in points allowed per game over the last month of action. White had nine and 14 points in his previous matchups with the Nets and has a great chance to go under again, so long as Tatum is a go.

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Jrue Holiday Under 1.5 Threes (+104) at FanDuel

Speaking of the Boston Celtics’ backcourt members, Holiday went under this line in four of his last six games and hasn’t been himself shooting the ball, going 34.5 percent from beyond the arc in 2025. He also took just 5.6 three-point attempts per game this month and 4.2 per game in February.

Holiday is dealing with an injury to his pinky finger on his shooting hand, and that could be part of why he hasn’t been as deadly from three as expected. Regardless, the Nets are seventh in three-pointers allowed per game over the last 30 days, and Holiday went under in two of their three meetings, including one on Saturday.

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Dyson Daniels Under 14.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel

“The Great Barrier Thief” (what a nickname) should be a top candidate for the Most Improved Player of the Year Award, but he’s still not a polished scorer. He went under in six of his last nine games despite shooting 41.2 percent from three this month, which is well above his usual capability.

The Atlanta Hawks are about to take on the Charlotte Hornets, who kept him to 10 points on 5-13 (35.7 percent) shooting when they squared off last Wednesday. The Hornets are right at 15th in points allowed per game but held Daniels under in two of three matchups and should be able to do the same tonight.

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Kawhi Leonard Over 21.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

The Los Angeles Clippers still aren’t running their offense through Leonard like they once did, but they’ve got him looking comfortable again. He averaged 24 points per game in March and went over in four of seven games, including his last three games of 23, 25, and 29 points.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have an elite defense that ranks 10th in points allowed per game, but that also means that they don’t mind leaving their guys in single coverage. Leonard’s growing confidence should allow him to exploit his defensive matchups and continue his hot streak as he’s more than capable of doing.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Assists (-152) at FanDuel

Steve Kerr said last night that the “exhausted” Steph Curry could sit out of Tuesday’s game, which means the Warriors would likely have more defensive personnel on the court. As a smaller team, Golden State is going to need to show bodies to Antetokounmpo, which should translate to him having more looks as a passer than a scorer.

The Greek Freak went over this line in four straight games, though he sat out of the only previous meeting between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Warriors. The Bucks are second in three-point percentage, and the Dubs struggled to defend the perimeter recently, so Antetokounmpo should get several easy assists off of that alone.

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NBA Same-Game Parlay (+268) at FanDuel

-Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5) at Los Angeles Clippers

• Max Strus 10+ points: Went over in six of last eight games, shot 37.7 percent or better from three for three straight months.

• Evan Mobley 1+ three: Made a triple in four straight and in 10 of his last 11 games, while Clippers’ three-point defense fell to 13th in percent allowed (35.3) over the last month.

• Ivica Zubac 10+ rebounds: Will need to play heavy minutes against the Cavs’ double-big lineup, went over in 11 of his last 12 games.

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