NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Harden’s Hot Night Plus Giannis’ SGP

Four of my six NBA player prop picks shared here yesterday cashed, and I’ve got another selection of my best NBA prop bets and a same-game parlay for Tuesday’s action.

The biggest story yesterday was the Denver Nuggets scoring an outright win as 8.5-point underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder behind a combined 69 points, 22 rebounds, and 14 assists from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray.

Meanwhile, Kevin Durant’s 35 points weren’t enough to lift the Phoenix Suns past the Memphis Grizzlies as they fell to five games below .500.

Here are my favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Bucks vs. Pacers matchup.

Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, March 11

CJ McCollum Under 17.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel

The New Orleans Pelicans’ starting two guard went under this line in six of his last eight games despite shooting better than 40 percent from three for two straight months, which shows he isn’t taking a ton of shots. He scored 33 points in his only matchup with the Los Angeles Clippers, but that was also an outlier and during his best stretch of the season without Zion Williamson. 

The Clippers are a great defensive team, ranking fourth in points allowed per game and ninth in field goal percentage allowed to opponents. They’ve also been great at defending the perimeter as of late and have plenty of bodies to throw at McCollum, whose Pelicans are 7.5-point underdogs and could get blown out.

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D’Angelo Russell Under 11.5 Points (-136) at FanDuel

Russell averaged 13.8 points but only shot 38.9 percent from the field and 31.9 percent from three-point land since he was traded to the Brooklyn Nets. He went under this line in six of his last 10 games and shot just 22.2 percent from the field for eight points in his game against the Los Angeles Lakers last night.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are the best team in the Eastern Conference and held their opponents to the 10th-fewest points per game on the fourth-lowest shooting percentage. Russell scored exactly three points when he faced the Cavs on Feb. 20 and is in a prime position to go under again.

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Tyrese Haliburton Under 3.5 Rebounds (-128) at FanDuel

Did anyone think that I wasn’t serious yesterday when I said that Haliburton under 3.5 rebounds is routinely one of my favorite bets? He went under in 10 of his last 13 games and split the over/under with one and seven rebounds in his two previous matchups with the Milwaukee Bucks.

Haliburton is returning from a hip injury and likely won’t throw himself into the middle of any piles to grab loose balls. The Bucks are not a good rebounding team, especially without Bobby Portis, but they have size, while the Pacers’ ability to limit their opponents’ three-point shots means there aren’t many long rebounds for Haliburton to grab.

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Jordan Poole Under 4.5 Assists (-144) at FanDuel

It’s a Poole Party in the nation’s capital! Kind of. And in Detroit.

Poole is a shoot-first guard who went under this line in four of his last five games and is about to face a defense that conceded the fewest assists per game to opposing point guards and the sixth-fewest assists per game overall. Poole had five the last time he faced this defense, but we’re expecting a slow day at the office now that Detroit has heated up.

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James Harden Over 3.5 Threes (-106) at FanDuel

It’s time to fear the Beard again now that Harden went over this line in four of his last nine games and took 10.8 three-point attempts per game this month. He also went 5-10 from three-point land in his only previous matchup with the Pelicans on Dec. 30.

The Pels rank 22nd in three-point percentage allowed (36.5) and 29th in three-pointers allowed per game (14.7). Harden is taking tons of threes as of late and gets to face one of the worst defenses in the league with Herbert Jones and Dejounte Murray out and Jose Alvarado questionable.

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NBA Same-Game Parlay (+262) at FanDuel

-Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) at Indiana Pacers

• Giannis Antetkounmpo 12+ rebounds: He went over in four of eight and split the over/under in games against the Pacers, who are 21st in rebounds allowed per game.

• Andrew Nembhard 10+ points: He scored 10+ in three of his last five and in his only game against the Bucks and would be in line for more shots if Haliburton doesn’t play because of his hip injury.

• Pascal Siakam over 2.5 assists: Went over in three straight, split the over/under against the Bucks, and would also be in a position to record more assists if Haliburton can’t go.

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