The weekend is getting closer and closer, and to help pass the time, we’re here to share our best NBA player prop picks for Thursday.
DeMar DeRozan powered the Sacramento Kings’ comeback victory against the Golden State Warriors, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped a career-high 54 points in a win over the Utah Jazz.
With another loaded slate of action coming on Thursday, here are our best NBA prop betting picks.
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Avdija has become the Trail Blazers’ best player in his first season since being traded by the Washington Wizards. He went over this line in 10 of his last 12 games and is off to a terrific start to 2025, averaging 17.3 points and 9.5 rebounds on 49.5 percent shooting from the field.
The 24-yea-rold logged 34, 37, 35, and 39 minutes in his last four games and averaged 35.0 for the month as a whole. He’s also facing an Orlando Magic team that has dropped its level of defensive and rebounding intensity, partially due to the amount of injuries it endured.
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Gafford has seen his minutes increase drastically in the wake of injuries to Luka Docnic and Dereck Lively II. He made good on his newfound opportunities, scoring 27 and 31 points in two of his last four games and becoming indispensable because of his productivity on the glass.
In Gafford’s last 10 games in which he played at least 20 minutes, he went over this line six times. He now gets to face a small Oklahoma City Thunder team that is excellent on defense, but whose limited size often prevents it from playing tough defense against opposing centers.
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Brown went 2-2 from three last night, a welcome sign considering he shot a terrible 29 percent from three to kick off the new year. That aside, he went over in two of his last three games and is about to get a favorable matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lake Show is just 19th in three-point percentage allowed to its opponents. Assuming Dorian Finney-Smith will draw the Jayson Tatum assignment, that means that Brown will have lesser defenders against him for most of the night, freeing him up to take more uncontested shots against a bad perimeter defense.
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Ball went under this line in back-to-back games after he made at least three threes and went over in three straight games. He only shot 34.5 percent from three in 2025, but he’s continued to be a high-volume perimeter shooter and realistically only needs to see a couple go in to have a great chance to cash the over.
The Chicago Bulls are taking on the Golden State Warriors, who are on the second night of a back-to-back and who rank 18th in points allowed per game in 2025. Ball took eight threes in three of his last four games, and again, he just needs to make two to put himself in a strong position.
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The Kel’el Ware phenomenon has led to Bam playing far fewer minutes than he’s used to, dropping to 25 and 22 over his last two games. He still grabbed 10+ rebounds in four of his last five outings, but the margins are decreasing considering he’s spending less time on the floor.
The Miami Heat are about to go to battle with the Milwaukee Bucks, whose massive frontcourt does not allow many rebounds per game to opposing big men. Adebayo also had just five rebounds in 31 minutes in his only matchup with the Bucks this season.
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