NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Monday, May 13

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The Indiana Pacers got off to a hot start and annihilated an injured and gassed New York Knicks team to level the series at two games apiece. Tyrese Haliburton led the effort once again, while no member of the Knicks’ starting lineup aside from Jalen Brunson scored more than eight points.

The Denver Nuggets then also tied their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves 2-2 by shooting 57 percent from the field and nearly 45 percent from three against the league’s best defense. Anthony Edwards scored 44 points in the loss, but the rest of his team played nowhere near the level of Denver's supporting cast. 

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for the playoffs on Monday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code and claim $150 in bonus bets.

Donovan Mitchell Over 30.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel

Mitchell is one of the most consistent and best playoff scorers in NBA history—no, that’s not an exaggeration, check the numbers. He averaged 31.7 points against the Boston Celtics and hit the over four times in his last five games, including a 50-point masterpiece against the Orlando Magic’s terrific defense.  

The Cleveland Cavaliers’ star has been left to shoulder the majority of the scoring burden without Jarrett Allen in the starting lineup and with most of the team failing to find their stroke from long range. Boston is insistent on not doubling or blitzing him and are even switching 1-5 at times, which is a recipe for him to continue to light up the scoreboard.

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Al Horford Under 1.5 Threes (+106) at FanDuel

“Big Al” is still going strong at 37 years old, even as a starter in place of the injured Kristaps Porzingis. He went under this line in six of his last seven games and just finished going 0-6 from downtown in Game Three despite playing 39 minutes, which is 11.1 more than he averaged for the playoffs as a whole.

Horford shot 41.9 percent from three-point land during the regular season but is down to 30.3 in the postseason. Cleveland’s smaller defense and switching have also given him more driving lanes and post-up opportunities than he’d usually get if Allen was playing, which could also entice him to attack the basket and vacate the three-point line.

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Kyrie Irving Over 22.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

Irving is yet to light up the box score in his series against the Thunder, but he’s been outstanding in spurts and mostly great in the second half of playoff games. He scored a series-high 22 last game on 10-17 (58.8 percent) shooting and averaged 26.5 in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers with four over hits in six games.

With co-star Luka Doncic nursing a sprained knee and averaging 10 fewer points per game in the series than he did during the regular season, the pressure is on Irving to step up and be the man for Dallas. P.J. Washington has been outstanding but can’t continue to be a flamethrower in every game, and it’s time for an Irving masterclass.

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Josh Giddey Under 5.5 Points (+112) at FanDuel

The Thunder have a net rating of -30 with Giddey on the court compared to +17.7 with him on the bench. That hasn’t been lost on newly annointed 2024 NBA Coach of the Year Mark Daigneault, who cut him to 13.7 minutes per game in this series compared to 26.5 in the first round and 25.2 during the regular season.

Giddey managed to hit the over in each of his last two games despite playing a combined 24 minutes, but the odds are that his numbers plummet because of his shortened playing time and since he is not a natural scorer. There’s also great value on this line, again, given he is on a short leash.

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Luka Doncic Rebounds Leader (+170) at FanDuel

Credit where credit is due. Luka doesn’t have his shot but is still making an impact on the boards, mostly with his positioning instead of his hampered athleticism. His 15 rebounds led all players in Game Three, and he was one or two off the game lead in both Games One and Two.

If this game unfolds as we expect it to, Irving will take the primary scoring burden, and Doncic will be free to put more effort into rebounding and playmaking. He’s at 9.3 rebounds per game in the postseason, more than any other player in the series, and is worth the risk, again, for the price.

Bet on Luka Doncic Props at FanDuel

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