NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Wednesday 4/3/24

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The Denver Nuggets edged out the San Antonio Spurs despite Victor Wembanyama’s near-quadruple-double as Nikola Jokic dropped 42 points and 16 rebounds, while the Golden State Warriors held on for a massively important win against the Dallas Mavericks.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.

Dynamic odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our link to sign up at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets when wagering $5!

Mike Conley Over 2.5 Threes (+124) at FanDuel

Conley might be 36 years old, but he hasn’t lost the feathery touch that defined his career as a younger man. The Minnesota Timberwolves’ point guard drained three threes against the Houston Rockets on Tuesday and hit the over on this line in three straight and in seven of his last 10 games.

Conley and company are preparing to take on the Toronto Raptors, who rank 23rd in three-point percentage allowed (37.8) since the All-Star break and are also on the second night of a back-to-back. The Raptors are also missing a slew of starters and rotational pieces and allowed the Los Angeles Lakers to go 18-41 (43.9 percent) from downtown last night.

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel

SGA averages the third-most points in the league (30.3) and dropped 36 points on 63.6 percent shooting in his lone meeting with the Boston Celtics earlier in the year. After taking last night’s contest against the Philadelphia 76ers off, he should be full of energy and ready to take on the best team in the league up to this point.

Although the 25-year-old MVP candidate hasn’t been anywhere near his best as a scorer over the last week or so, hitting the under in all four games, he went over in six of nine games just before and is a reliable scorer and leader. Expect him and his teammates to treat this game with the utmost respect and level of importance to build confidence for the playoffs.

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Mikal Bridges Under 18.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

The Brooklyn Nets’ decision to decline as many as four first-round picks and a package including Jalen Green in a trade for Bridges is starting to look a little funny in the light. Bridges, 27, averaged 18.1 points on 40.8 percent shooting in March and hit the under in 10 of 17 games since then.

The Indiana Pacers have continued their defensive improvements and rank 12th in defensive efficiency over the last 15 games, holding opponents to 112.3 points per 100 possessions. Bridges barely squeaked out an over with 19 points on 7-17 shooting when these two played a couple of days ago, but we expect to see him go under on Wednesday.

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D’Angelo Russell Top Points Scorer (+1500) at FanDuel

The potential value for this prop is pretty hard to ignore considering how hot Russell has been ever since a few weeks before the trade deadline. The 28-year-old scored 25 points with seven threes last night and had games of 44, 29, 27, and 26 points in March.

The Washington Wizards are one of the worst teams in basketball and allow the third-most points per 100 possessions, more than even the Detroit Pistons and the Raptors. LeBron James often uses nights against inferior competition to support his teammates, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Lakers funnel their attack through D’Lo. 

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Scoot Henderson Under 1.5 Threes (-125) at FanDuel

Unfortunately for the third-overall draft pick, the under on three-pointers has been a real money-maker. Henderson went 1-5 from three in a very characteristic shooting performance on Monday and has now made one or zero three-pointers in 11 of his last 15 games while shooting 27 percent from deep during that span.

It doesn’t seem to matter who the Portland Trail Blazers’ opponent is or how they choose to guard him, Henderson just cannot find the touch from range. He’s about to take on a Charlotte Hornets squad that might be terrible as an overall defense, but they held opponents to the fourth-lowest three-point percentage (34.6) since the All-Star break. 

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