NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Wednesday 3/27/24

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Austin Reaves’ 29-point triple-double and Anthony Davis’ 34-point, 23-rebound night helped the Los Angeles Lakers come back to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on the road in double-overtime without LeBron James, while the Oklahoma City Thunder staved off one of the hottest teams in the Western Conference, the New Orleans Pelicans, in a 119-112 win.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.

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Jalen Suggs Over 12.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Suggs is the spear at the tip of the Orlando Magic’s defensive attack (quite an oxymoron there). Although the Golden State Warriors have taken better care of the ball recently, ranking ing 10th in turnover percentage over their last 10 games, they rank 21st for the year and are facing a team that ranks second in points off turnovers.

Suggs is going to have a golden opportunity to pester a team that historically struggles to hold onto the ball. He only scored nine points in his last outing but went over this line in five of six games just before that and scored an average of 14.1 points at home compared to just 10.8 on the road, which should work to his benefit since the game is in Orlando. 

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James Harden Under 15.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel

Harden said that he wasn’t sure if the Los Angeles Clippers are the team that went 26-5 in one stretch or the team that went 18-22 on the other sides of that streak. Whatever the answer is, his recent play can be directly attributed to their struggles as he averaged just 13.1 points over his last eight games.

The former MVP cashed the under on this line in three straight and seven of his last eight games and is shooting just 34.1 percent from beyond the arc in March. He also managed just 12 points on 5-13 shooting the last time he faced the Philadelphia 76ers, seventh in points allowed per game post-All-Star break, three days ago.

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Scoot Henderson Under 1.5 Threes (-125) at FanDuel

Scoot is one of the worst shooters in the NBA based on the numbers. The third-overall pick has an average stat line of 37.8 percent from the field and 30.5 percent from beyond the arc, resulting in him making 1.2 threes per game. He made multiple threes in two of his last three, but he also made 2+ threes in two of his last 12, depending on the perspective one takes.

The Portland Trail Blazers lost seven straight games and are about to head out on the road, where they’re 8-26, to face the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta is regressing defensively but still has size and length and can make it tough for opposing teams, which is the last thing someone who struggled as much as Scoot needs.

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Nikola Jokic 30+ Points (+115) at FanDuel

Jokic is one of the most unselfish players in the NBA, but he also has no problem putting the cape on or asserting his dominance against a perceived contender. He’s yet to score more than 25 points against the Phoenix Suns this season, but that could change in less than 24 hours.

The Joker put up 30+ points in three of his last five games and averaged 27.8 points on an ultra-efficient 58.7 percent field-goal and 40.7 three-point percent shooting splits. Phoenix is fresh off an embarrassing loss to the San Antonio Spurs and beat the Nuggets the last time they met, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see Jokic come out looking to score.

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Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 Assists (+100) at FanDuel

The Utah Jazz are one of the best rebounding teams in basketball, which is why looking at Wembanyama to go over his rebounds total is a steep ask. However, asking him to grab five or more assists is just asking him to do what he did in nine of his last 16 games.

No team allowed more assists per game since the All-Star break than the Jazz did (30.8). The Spurs also look better on offense than they did earlier in the year and are fresh off the win over the Suns, which should give them plenty of confidence—not to mention Utah’s bigs should be focused on Wemby, giving the Spurs’ guards space on the outside.

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