NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Monday 3/18/24

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Kyrie Irving sank a running left-handed hook shot at the buzzer to cap off the Dallas Mavericks’ win over the Denver Nuggets, while the Milwaukee Bucks sans Giannis Anteteokounmpo scored 140 points in a win over the Phoenix Suns.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Monday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for a $200 bonus.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 18.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

Haliburton’s season can be split into two parts, pre and post-hamstring injury. The 24-year-old averaged just 15.7 points on 29.3% three-point shooting since returning to the lineup on January 30, compared to 23.6 points on 40% from deep beforehand. 

The Indiana Pacers’ star point guard only went over this total three times in his last 11 games and went under in each of his last three outings. His next task will be to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers who, despite struggling recently, still rank third in defensive rating for the year.

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Lauri Markkanen Over 7.5 Rebounds (-128) at FanDuel

“The Finnisher” is questionable to play on Monday after being held out since March 2 with a quad injury. Assuming he does return to the lineup, he’ll be a major upgrade for a Utah Jazz squad that quietly has been one of the best rebounding teams in all of basketball.

The 26-year-old played the Minnesota Timberwolves one time earlier this year and grabbed eight rebounds in that encounter. He also will benefit from the Wolves missing Karl-Anthony Towns, who would grab many boards that may now belong to him. Plus, assuming health, he’ll be fresh after all of the time off.

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LeBron James Over 8.5 Assists (+110) at FanDuel

It’s easy to lose sight of what “The King” is doing in his 21st season. He’s up to 8.1 assists for the year after a slow start and averaged 9.5 assists over his last 13 games (along with 27.5 points and 6.7 rebounds), cashing the over on this prop line nine times during that stretch (including four straight).

The Atlanta Hawks rank 11th in defensive rating and 15th in opponents’ assists since the All-Star break, helped by their ability to put taller and longer defenders into the rotation in the wake of Trae Young’s injury. Even still, we expect LeBron to come out as a facilitator as he deals with the pangs of a controversial loss to the Golden State Warriors.  

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Jaren Jackson Jr. 3+ Threes (+210) at FanDuel

The former Defensive Player of the Year made three threes in both of his last two games and is shooting 44.4% from deep in March. He also cashed the over in six of his last 11 games, which makes the value for this line too much to ignore, especially against this opponent.

The Sacramento Kings allow their opponents to shoot 39.8% from three-point land, the second-highest mark in all of basketball behind only the Jazz. Jackson Jr. could lose a few shot attempts with Desmond Bane back in the lineup, but he could also gain more open looks with another shot creator and distraction on the floor. 

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Alex Caruso Under 13.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

Caruso, normally a defensive specialist, scored at least 16 points in three straight games and made 12 of 18 threes during that span. However, he went under this line in 17 straight games before that and is bound to cool off from behind the arc at some point, as the 66.7% standard he produced over his last few games is unsustainable.

The Chicago Bulls will be without Coby White on Monday, which is why Caruso’s line is inflated beyond what it normally would be. But with Ayo Dosunmu coming off a 34-point game and Caruso needing to defend a talented guard in Anfernee Simons, it’s reasonable to expect him to take a step backward.

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