NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Friday 3/15/24

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Jaylen Brown’s 37 points led the Boston Celtics to a huge win against the Phoenix Suns, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored another 31 points in the Oklahoma City Thunder’s last win against the Dallas Mavericks. 

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Friday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for a $200 bonus.

Miles Bridges Over 2.5 Threes (+114) at FanDuel

Bridges is not afraid to get shots up even if he isn’t shooting well from the field, which is great for over bettors. He made three threes in both of his last two games and is about to take on a Phoenix Suns squad that is 29th in three-pointers allowed since the All-Star break.

The Suns are 7-4 on the second night of a back-to-back but were just embarrassed by the Celtics, who never seemed to be in any real danger. They also allowed Boston to go 25-50 from three-point land and will have to guard Bridges, Brandon Miller, and the Charlotte Hornets’ other shooters on tired legs.

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Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 Rebounds (-142) at FanDuel

The Detroit Pistons aren’t that good at much, but they can rebound the basketball. Jalen Duren leads a team that held opponents to the third-fewest rebounds per game since the All-Star break and that features multiple big men, including Isaiah Stewart and James Wiseman, in its rotation.

Bam grabbed 13 and 16 boards in his last two games but went under this total in nine straight games just before that. Detroit tries to play fast, but Miami’s tough defense and methodical style of offense should slow this game down and lead to fewer scoring opportunities, thereby limiting Bam’s chances to come up with rebounds.

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Paolo Banchero Over 5.5 Assists (-130) at FanDuel

The first-time All-Star has made tangible progress as a passer, recording nine assists against the Brooklyn Nets in his last game, just a week after he dished out 10 helpers against the Washington Wizards. He still went under in four of his last six, but we believe he’s in for a reversal in fortune on Friday night.

The Orlando Magic are making the trip across the border to take on the Toronto Raptors, who allowed their opponents to record the fifth-most assists per game since the All-Star break. Banchero’s assists numbers have readily increased as the year progressed, and he should be able to take advantage of a poor and injury-depleted defense.

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Aaron Gordon Over 14.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel

Gordon’s importance to the Denver Nuggets’ system can be overlooked, but he could be in a starring role on Friday. He and his teammates will take on the San Antonio Spurs, who rank 23rd in points allowed per 100 possessions and have very little in the way of interior presence with players not named Victor Wembanyama.

With the way this matchup should go, Wemby will be stationed on Nikola Jokic. That should give Gordon free rein of the dunker spot, where he’ll be able to deal damage against smaller, less physical players assigned to guard him. He scored 16 and 19 points in his last two games and went over this line in nine of his last 12 games, which makes him worth the risk.

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Jalen Johnson Over 8.5 Rebounds (+104) at FanDuel

Johnson did not play in the Atlanta Hawks’ last game and is questionable for Friday’s showdown with the Utah Jazz, but if he can go, we like his odds to go over his rebounding line. The 22-year-old swingman is one of few players on the roster who is committed to clearing the glass, which is a much-needed asset against a Jazz squad that ranks second in rebound rate.

Johnson exited his last game prematurely but went over his line in six of seven games just before that. He’ll have his work cut out for him dealing with Walker Kessler and John Collins, but he’ll find it slightly easier since Lauri MArkkanen is still sidelined by an injury.

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