NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Wednesday 3/13/24

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The Sacramento Kings annihilated the Milwaukee Bucks at home while holding all Milwaukee starters not named Giannis Antetokounmpo to 28 combined points, while Anthony Edwards’ 37 points allowed the Minnesota Timberwolves to erase an early deficit and take down the Los Angeles Clippers.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $200 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Mikal Bridges Under 18.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

It seems like a distant memory when Bridges was scoring nearly 30 points per game for the Brooklyn Nets. The 27-year-old dropped 25 on the Cleveland Cavalier in his last game but went under this line in seven of his last 10 games and is the second option on offense with Cam Thomas back from an ankle injury.

The Nets are taking on the Orlando Magic, who allowed the second-fewest points per 100 possessions since the All-Star break (107.3) and have a variety of tall, long defenders they can throw at Bridges. He’s finally shooting the ball well from three but has been off the mark by his standards for most of the year and could struggle again.

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Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel

Jokic made a statement against the Boston Celtics last week, dropping a 32-point triple-double on 57.9% field goal shooting, and could be in takeover mode again as he prepares to take on the Miami Heat in a rematch of the 2023 NBA Finals.

Jokic only scored 18 points on 40% shooting when these two met in Denver on Feb. 29, but he averaged 30.6 points over his last five games, while Miami is 12th in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break. The Joker scored more than 25 points in four of five Finals meetings between the two and simply does not have a defensive coverage that bothers him.

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Herbert Jones Over 1.5 Threes (+138) at FanDuel

The concern with Jones at the start of the year was that he would not be able to stay on the court in marquee matchups because of his inability to shoot the three-ball. While he’s not someone who will go dance in isolation and pull up for a step-back, he’s shooting a career-best 43.5% and making 1.5 threes per game.

The 25-year-old only went over once in his last five games but shot 53.8% from deep to start the month and is taking on a Cleveland Cavaliers defense that allowed opponents to shoot 39.2% from deep over their last six games. The Cavs are also missing several starters, which means their rotations will be off, and Jones should find space in his favored short corner.

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Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Assists (+106) at FanDuel

Sabonis is averaging a career-high 8.4 assists and split the over/under at two apiece during his last four games. He also dished out 12 assists against the Los Angeles Lakers when they played seven days ago and should be relatively fresh after he helped lead a dominant win against the Milwaukee Bucks last night.

The Sacramento Kings have been a bogey team for the purple and gold as they won eight of 11 matchups across the last three seasons. The Lakers also rank 28th in defensive rating and 30th in opponents’ assists since the All-Star break, which paves the way for another strong night from the Lithuanian big man. 

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Scoot Henderson Under 15.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

The third-overall pick in the summer draft has not beaten this line in five straight games and went under in nine of his last 11. He’s also been dreadfully inefficient, shooting just 37.7% from the field and 30.5% from three-point land for a team that posted the worst effective field goal percentage in basketball.

The Portland Trail Blazers are taking on the Atlanta Hawks, who have been great on defense ever since Trae Young exited the lineup with an injury due to the increase in height and length they can put on the court. Atlanta ranks 11th in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break and should have little trouble with slowing down the rookie.

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