NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Tuesday 3/12/24

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Luka Doncic recorded his seventh straight triple-double as the Dallas Maverick blew out the Chicago Bulls, while the Denver Nuggets rallied from 22 points down to defeat the Toronto Raptors and move within a half-game of the Western Conference lead.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $200 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

The Oklahoma City Thunder’s outstanding rookie center is not having the best start to his month, averaging just 13 points and going under this line in four of five games. However, there’s reason to believe that he’ll snap back into his usual self against the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday evening.

The 7-footer averaged 19.3 points per game during February and has proven that he can score at a consistently high level. He and the Thunder are also facing the Indiana Pacers, who, despite recent defensive improvements, rank 19th in points allowed per 100 possessions since the All-Star break and 28th in points in the paint allowed for the year.

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Walker Kessler Over 8.5 Rebounds (+100) at FanDuel

Kessler might not be a household name, but he’s a player who sticks to their role and does it well. He came up with 12 and 11 rebounds in his last two games and beat this line in six of his last 10 games while also playing a relatively consistent amount of minutes.

Kessler played the Boston Celtics one other time this year and came up with seven rebounds in just 14 minutes. If he can stay on the court long enough then he should be able to get over this total, especially since the Celtics’ player with real size, Kristaps Porzingis, isn’t beefy and doesn’t want to bang bodies for loose balls. 

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Rudy Gobert Over 15.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel

Gobert isn’t necessarily an offense-first player, but he beat this line in two of three games since Karl-Anthony Towns suffered a torn meniscus. He only scored seven points against the Cleveland Cavaliers in his last game but also hasn’t played since Friday and should be the freshest player on the court against the Los Angeles Clippers. 

The Timberwolves are still the third seed in the Western Conference but are only two games ahead of the Clippers and are starting to fade, and they’ll need a solid game from their second-best player. The Clippers also rank 19th in points in the paint allowed and have a center in Ivica Zubac who isn’t known for being a lockdown interior defender.

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Domantas Sabonis Under 14.5 Rebounds (+100) at FanDuel

Sabonis is having a historic month rebounding the basketball, averaging 17.6 boards per night and clearing this line in five straight games—but that makes this the perfect opportunity to fade him against a Milwaukee Bucks team that is rolling and has several players, namely Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis, that will give him a real challenge on the glass.

The Bucks take the second-most free throws per game, which will reduce Sabonis’ rebounding opportunities. Giannis also has games with 14 and 16 rebounds in two of his four outings this month, and Sabonis also only grabbed 13 rebounds in an overtime loss against Milwaukee earlier in the season. 

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Kyle Lowry Over 4.5 Assists (-111) at FanDuel

Lowry dished out five or more assists in four straight games after he had his minutes increased and only had his streak broken during the first game in the NBA since 2016 in which both teams failed to hit 80 points, Sunday’s 79-73 win against the New York Knicks.

While the Philadelphia 76ers are ready to square off against those same Knicks, it’s highly unlikely the final score will finish as low as it did during the first encounter. The Sixers also shot just 38.8% from the field and 30% from three and should help Lowry record more assists if they shoot anywhere near their averages.

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