NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Monday 2/26/24

WSN is the place to get the best NBA player props and betting picks every day throughout the 2023-24 NBA season.

Nikola Jokic dropped 32 points, 16 rebounds, and 16 assists and was the standout player of Sunday as the Denver Nuggets beat the Golden State Warriors by 16 on the road. The Sacramento Kings also beat the Los Angeles Clippers, while the Phoenix Suns took down the Los Angeles Lakers in a pair of important matchups for seeding purposes.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Monday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Myles Turner Over 1.5 Threes (-102) at FanDuel

Turner made two threes (on seven attempts) against the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday and beat this total in four of his last six games. That means he’s still managed to be profitable despite only shooting 29% from beyond the arc in February.

The Indiana Pacers are taking on the Toronto Raptors, who rank 27th in defensive rating over their last 15 games, on Monday. With the playmaking ability of Tyrese Haliburton and the extra distraction of Pascal Siakam, Turner should get plenty of opportunities to cash this prop. He did not play when these teams matched up two weeks ago, though Indy made 17 threes as a team. 

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Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 Points (+102) at FanDuel

Did Thompson learn how to shoot yet? No, not quite—he’s just 15.1% from downtown on the year and made two threes in the whole month. However, the athletic 21-year-old has still found ways to score, cracking double-digits in six of his last eight games and averaging 11.1 per game for the month.

Thompson is a jump shot away from being a game-breaking player, but even now, he’s crafty when moving downhill and gets a ton of second-chance buckets. The New York Knicks have an excellent defense but are missing a couple of their top rebounders and interior defenders, which means Thompson could be in for a decent night.

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Cam Thomas 4+ Assists (+150) at FanDuel

Look, Thomas is probably never going to be a full-time distributor—but he dished out 4+ assists in six of his last 10 games, a few of those coming against strong defenses (such as the Boston Celtics on Feb. 13. He also played 30 and 35 minutes in his last two games, which shows that his playing time hasn’t been affected by the firing of Jacque Vaughn.

The Brooklyn Nets are taking on the Memphis Grizzlies who, despite their injuries, are still a formidable defensive team. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Memphis hound Thomas on the perimeter to try to force him into being a passer, which would bode well for his assists total. 

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Bam Adebayo Under 36.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-106) at FanDuel

Bam continues to fly under the radar as one of the most slept-on players in basketball. That said, this line is just a little too high. The 26-year-old only beat this line three times in his last 13 games and zero times in his last five games against Domantas Sabonis (three of those since the latter was traded to the Sacramento Kings).

Although the Kings aren’t an amazing defensive or rebounding team, Sabonis will make Bam’s job very difficult as a scorer and glass-cleaner. Miami also struggled on offense for the past month or so, which could lead to fewer assists for its star center.

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De’Aaron Fox Under 23.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel

Fox started the year red-hot but slowed down the last couple of months. He still averaged 25.8 per game in February and went over this total in four straight games, but he also had four straight games scoring below 20 points just before that.

Miami allows the fifth-fewest points in the paint per game and should close off the majority of the driving lanes Fox loves to penetrate. He also struggled in nearly all of his previous matchups with Miami, going under this line in nine of 11 matchups (including their only matchup this year, when he scored 13 points on Jan. 31).

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