NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Thursday 2/23/24

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The Dallas Mavericks used a second-half comeback and 70 points from Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving to power themselves to a 10-point win over the Phoenix Suns, while the Oklahoma City Thunder blew the Los Angeles Clippers off the court in a 22-point win over one of the top teams in the Western Conference.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Friday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Jalen Williams Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-111) at FanDuel

J-Dub and the Thunder are riding high after their win against the Clippers last night and headed into the second night of a back-to-back at home. While the second-year pro was electric on defense, he didn’t have much involvement in the offense (but still finished with 18 points, six assists, and four rebounds).

With the deplorable Washington Wizards coming to town, we expect to see the ascending star come out looking to score from the get-go. Washington has the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league and is last in rebound rate, which gives Williams a launching pad to go over his total.

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Damian Lillard Under 24.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel

Dame Dolla went into the All-Star break averaging 21 points in February and going 4-2 on unders of this amount. He has not played the Minnesota Timberwolves yet but is scoring 1.5 fewer points per game on the road and is shooting just 32.3% from long range outside of his building.

The Wolves lead the league in defensive rating and hold opponents to the sixth-lowest three-point percentage. Lillard won the All-Star Game MVP and the three-point shootout and will have confidence, but we need to see him consistently back at his usual level before we’ll believe he turned the corner.

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Draymond Green Over 6.5 Assists (+102) at FanDuel

Draymond only managed five assists (in 21 minutes) against the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday and has not gone over this total in three straight games. However, he and the Golden State Warriors are finally clicking again, and they’re about to take on a Charlotte Hornets team that has no defense to speak of.

The Dubs are at home in this one, which means they should find it even easier to get past a team that, rather unbelievably, won four straight games. Watch for Green to have his fingerprints all over the ball and to get his teammates into the right positions.

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Anthony Davis Over 24.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Think A.D. is worried about Victor Wembanyama deterring him at the rim? Think again. He dropped 37 points on 56.5% shooting (without LeBron James in the lineup) in his only matchup with the San Antonio Spurs in December and scored 27 against Golden State last night.

As great as Wemby is, he isn’t on the court enough to totally protect the rim. Davis is also one of the very few bigs with enough skill, size, and touch to consistently beat the young phenom, and we like him to extend his run of four overs in six games. 

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Immanuel Quickley Over 2.5 Threes (+120) at FanDuel

Quickley drilled five of eight threes in a blowout win against the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, finishing with 24 points. He isn’t necessarily a deadeye shooter but he beat this total four times in nine games and is shooting 39.1% from deep in February.

The Toronto Raptors are facing the Atlanta Hawks, who rank 27th in three-point defense (38.7% against). Trae Young is also undersized and won’t be much of a deterrent for Quickley, who enters this matchup with the hot hand.

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